PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

[Temstar]

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Womp womp womp

That's quite the big investment from Washington if F-16V are going to Kiev instead.

 

[Diaspora]

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According to SCMP, Chinese planners conducted their own war games, where they concluded that hypersonic missile strikes could destroy the US carrier fleet "with certainty"

 

[gelgoog]

That's quite the big investment from Washington if F-16V are going to Kiev instead.

I doubt it. But Poland and Romania probably could use more F-16s.

 

[abc123]

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According to SCMP, Chinese planners conducted their own war games, where they concluded that hypersonic missile strikes could destroy the US carrier fleet "with certainty"

Yeah, the wargames do tend to show whatever result is favoured by the country that organises them.

 

[Bellum_Romanum]

Yeah, the wargames do tend to show whatever result is favoured by the country that organises them.

That severely contradicts the numerous WAR GAMES your country has produced resulting into US defeat. As a matter of debate, the recent revelation just further support and credence to your own country's results. Even, the person who used to post here that was purported to work as an active duty defense analyst have said the same thing.

I would tend to agree with your post only if you can provide the data, results supporting your assertion since it would be interesting to read and analyze the results. But if you're going to use the NBC public propaganda idiocy as your evidence then you can just set that one aside.

 

[abc123]

That severely contradicts the numerous WAR GAMES your country has produced resulting into US defeat. As a matter of debate, the recent revelation just further support and credence to your own country's results. Even, the person who used to post here that was purported to work as an active duty defense analyst have said the same thing.

I would tend to agree with your post only if you can provide the data, results supporting your assertion since it would be interesting to read and analyze the results. But if you're going to use the NBC public propaganda idiocy as your evidence then you can just set that one aside.

Just a few examples- do you think that US wargames before invasion of Iraq showed the problems the US have after ousting Saddam? Same thing with Libya? Or, more recent example, what do you think Russian wargames about Ukraine were telling?

If nothing else, if China has such wunderwaffe and is so certain, what are they waiting for? Why don't they simply send the USN, Japanese Navy etc. to the bottom of the sea and voila- they won the war?

 

[dxq4412]

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According to SCMP, Chinese planners conducted their own war games, where they concluded that hypersonic missile strikes could destroy the US carrier fleet "with certainty"

I dug a little bit.
The magazine mentioned in the article, I think it might be this:

Provincial-level professional journal, impact factor 0.12.
And I also found the team leader mentioned in the article.

I didn’t buy that magazine, so I don’t know if she published a paper in it. But after checking, I found that she is engaged in virtual simulation experiment teaching. So assuming she did publish the military push paper mentioned in the article, I personally think she just wanted to increase her academic performance. It’s just that the impact factor of that metric magazine is not high, and I don’t know how much it will affect her professional title evaluation.

So, back to SCMP, the author of this news has many years of experience working for the Washington Post. No wonder he would describe this as ‘Chinese military planners have concluded… a rare public conclusion… 24 simulated battles… the mainstream war game software platform used by the Chinese military’ in this style.


In the end, anyway, I must be too bored to dig up such boring news…
If I made everyone feel bored, I’m sorry. If my English made everyone feel confused, it’s all thanks to AI translation.

 

[solarz]

There's few who will take up guns and become an insurgent. But picking up a gun, and sending cash, food, or offering shelter to insurgents is a totally different proposition. Very few.

But let's put it in numbers. Let's say only 2% of the population will actually participate in dissident actions. Like giving food, money, or shelter.

That's 400,000 people. Let's say 10% of those will take up arms. That's 40,000 people. With a logistical back-end of 360,000.

It's a fairly small part of the population, very small, but nonetheless a large number that can do a lot to make life hard.

This is hilarious.

Do you understand what makes a military force? It's not the weapons. Any civilian can pick up a gun. A military force requires first and foremost discipline and organization.

Wars aren't won by killing all enemies, they are won by breaking their morale.

Doesn't matter if you have 40,000 or 400,000 civilians picking up arms, without organization and discipline, their morale will be easily shattered.

 

[Biscuits]

Just a few examples- do you think that US wargames before invasion of Iraq showed the problems the US have after ousting Saddam? Same thing with Libya? Or, more recent example, what do you think Russian wargames about Ukraine were telling?

If nothing else, if China has such wunderwaffe and is so certain, what are they waiting for? Why don't they simply send the USN, Japanese Navy etc. to the bottom of the sea and voila- they won the war?

China is straight up that certain. That's why they keep the military spending so low. They believe an attack from US will result in certain defeat for the aggressor, even without increasing China's own relatively tiny spending.

The PLA isn't for subjugating other countries, primarily, it's meant to defend the homeland, because China is not reliant on continuous wars of aggression to prosper. Rather, just keeping the peace will by itself by a large boon to China.

 

[Bellum_Romanum]

Just a few examples- do you think that US wargames before invasion of Iraq showed the problems the US have after ousting Saddam? Same thing with Libya? Or, more recent example, what do you think Russian wargames about Ukraine were telling?

If nothing else, if China has such wunderwaffe and is so certain, what are they waiting for? Why don't they simply send the USN, Japanese Navy etc. to the bottom of the sea and voila- they won the war?

The same argument can be said and be applied to your country you support. Your post is highly emotional lacking the supposed geopolitical and geographical know-how and nuanced you demanded to people like myself - remember the 4 new U.S. bases in the Philippines debate.

The war in Libya by NATO was not wargamed where somehow Libya and its meager forces would have been able to credibly withstand the western might; you're making that one up. The wargame against Iraq stating that it would have problems post-Saddam did materialize unless you're forgetting the fact that the war has been branded by every credible foreign policy analyst as a strategic blunder in American Foreign policy. Trillions of $$$ wasted for what exactly and what was the objective? WMD or freedom and democracy? How's that working out?

Comeback with a reasonable and educated rebuttal and not just this half-baked flimsy argument that's easily refuted.