I heard it was Russia and China while India abstained from commenting on it.
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- Thread starter bd popeye
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I heard it was Russia and China while India abstained from commenting on it.
The Japanese act like a reluctant lapdog.
They do not want to get involved, but due to having treaty agreements with the United States they are obligated to do something, at least when asked to.
Every time something develops, the Japanese stay silent. Then a few days later they might say something. That is not the reaction of someone who cares. That is someone going through the motions, because they were told to do so.
Remember Chairman Mao, the goal was to evict the Americans from East Asia. Even though no one says anything, this is the biggest split I have ever seen between the Americans and their allies in South Korea and Japan. Economic interests used to be in complete alignment. Now they are diverging sharply. That is a real split in terms of national interests.
1. National strength still rests on economic health. If we do not believe that, then why did the West sanctioned Russia the way it did.
2. The problem for South Korea and Japan is that there is nowhere to turn. They can turn away from China, but big hairy deal as far as the Chinese are concerned. Turn away from China for America then Chinese companies start cranking up the import substitution. Hence the big trading deficit those two have now with China. Trade is the life line for those two. Hence the caution and foreboding from those two.
3. The only Asian countries who are a problem right now are India, who is out gunned and Philippines who are too weak.
4. It always comes back to Taiwan. More military pressure will be applied.
5. That is why the West do not understand China, and it has reached the point where the Chinese don't even care about it anymore because people like Biden or Trump too dumb to know any better. If Chairman Mao was alive today, then how would he try to evict the Americans from East Asia? Surround Taiwan with the military, put the screws to Korea and Japan economically, and just play along with the low level political games from India and Philippines as they too weak to muster up anything else.
While all that was going on, echoing of Chairman Mao, a major war breaks out in Europe.
War and pandemic can have a tendency to accelerate current trends.
Destroyed Russian T-72 placed in front of the Russian embassy, Berlin. The tank it was transferred to Germany with the help of the Ukrainian Defence Ministry and the Ukrainian National Museum of Military History. The Russian tank has been standing in the middle of the street for a week with a cannon pointed at the Russian embassy. On the tank is a Ukrainian flag and a NAFО dog.
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India is poised to beat China in the near future. They will be more than happy to assist.
Wow a survey from a think tank that's basically gauging sentiment that's about as meaningful as a beauty pageant
With all due respect, Russia is not fighting the entire west, the West is shipping plenty of weapons but hardly at the speed and quantity that can be considered impressive.
This is a major underperformance, there's no need to sugarcoat it and it isn't helpful. The problems are deep, structural, especially in terms of organisation and build strategy, it can't be summed up as early situational mistakes.
I hope that is the not the take that PLA planners took away from the situation, because it isn't helpful at identifying long term problems, because a long and grinding attritional fight where both side slowly loses their military capacity is exactly what the US wants.
no, a slow grind is what the US is settling for. They'd much rather have a crushing victory at low cost on their side. That's why they always bring up Desert Storm.
It depends on their strategic goals. Very early on the war (like a month in) I had already said that it would be in the best interests of the US to drag this war for at least 5 (ideally 10) years to fully drain Russia's national comprehensive power.
However, this was conditional that the war wouldnt expand to such an extend that the US would need to dramatically expand its support to Ukraine. This point hasn't been reached yet.
The difference would be China entering the game. If China threw its hat into the ring, the US' number 1 strategic priority imo would then be to drop Ukraine asap otherwise instead of the US draining Russia, it would be China draining the US and its minions. That's why the West is so apprehensive about China sending any sort of lethal aid to Russia
They know that the moment this happens, this would be a losing battle for them. Of course the reason why China hasn't done this is due to wide ranging considerations that are too complex to explain here. However, the West and Europe in particular should be careful to not push too far. China has a bottom line on Russia and I suspect that the West is getting a bit too close recently.
Exactly.
The United States thought that they could bleed Russia to death in the Ukraine.
Since that has not happened, and the rumours of massive Chinese arms to Russia are floating around in the United States, the American panic levels are spiking.
The truth is that Ukraine already lost this war. However, NATO came to the recuse and resupplied them, so the war continues.
How long will NATO persist in this war is a great unknown.
What is really going on, is now NATO is in the business of turning everything they touch into Vietnam quagmires.
Maybe the European people love Vietnam style quagmires far more than the American people ever did. Can't wait until they bring back the draft.
Anything else we hear, that is all noise. All nothing burger propaganda to deflect attention of the fact the next Vietnam is right in Europe.
They deserve it, that propaganda.
