Since Pelosi is visiting Taiwan suddenly on such short notice, I don’t think China had enough time to prepare the logistics of an invasion campaign yet. In my opinion China should let Pelosi land and do her stuffs and then leave. Then China can pick the right moment to do something. It would be too predictable if China does something big right away. It would be as if China intervening in Korea on the day the UN army crossed the 38th parallel, it would lose the element of surprise.
Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
- Thread starter sndef888
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Surely not all of the fighters will take off from Fuzhou.
I'm not sure that's a new reactor, there's been no indication of new reactor being built and the old ones has been shut down.
the reprocessing plant is the one that is being expanded, but currently
the real relevant parts from that source are the expanded facilities at Mianyang which are for weapons production.
Equation
Lieutenant General
What if Pelosi is not landing in Taiwan itself but instead will meet with the separatist delegation of Taiwan on a US aircraft carrier? That's why the US CBG is there near the Taiwan straight. By doing this she avoids confrontations directly with the PRC but still get to speak to the Tsai terrorist government regime aboard US "soil" of an aircraft carrier.
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Economic sanctions usually come in stages with increasing intensity and expanding scope similar to the current Russian sanctions. Even if the harshest sanctions are imposed from the get go (unlikely), the risk of actual involvement of US military could still serve as a further disincentive for China to invade Taiwan proper.
Tsai probably wouldn't give two thoughts about giving up Kinmen and Matsu islands due their indefensible nature located along mainland coast. Militarily strategic islands like Penghu (guarding Taiwan Strait entrance) would likely be defended with an actual fight (possibly at US request) regardless of Tsai's concern of its historical governance. Since Chinese public knows Kinmen and Matsu are easy and militarily insignificant prizes, would they be satisfy with just them when the inevitable high sanction costs are revealed?
broadsword
Brigadier
The Japanese loving c.. T isn't going to be picking up that phone. She wants to be next Elensky.
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