Demonizing China? They have been doing that for decades! The gain will be huge: Pelosi visit backfired and costed Taiwan heavily. Taiwanese will have to accept the fact that the peaceful reintegration of the main island is their best option and the only reasonable option left!
Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
- Thread starter sndef888
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Well, I'll be... we finally found something you don't know.
Was about to say that seems like the first seriously questionable thing I've heard him say.
@Patchwork_Chimera
Sure China hasn't been on LoW up to now, due to a combination of having a small silo based force, liquid fueled missiles, and lacking the infrastructure, but aren't all indications that they're moving to adopt that in tandem with the expansion?
Are you saying China would adopt a large silo-based force but NOT LoW? And compensate for that with a large number of decoy silos? Even then that doesn't provide second strike because the US has more than enough warheads to strike all the silos. I see basically 0 reason not to adopt it if your missiles are solid fueled, and you have the infrastructure.
I think what they should do, if building enough DF-41/45s to fill all of them is a problem, is fill a portion with smaller/easier to produce missiles, whether something like the DF-31AG or the Midgetman that can only carry 1 warhead, that I'd be okay with.
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That Scenario is under the assumption that there are still "Reasonable" people at politically important positions left who let's be honest if smart enough would have rejected the meeting with the old hag, however, under the current Tsai regime, there is only "we will fight to the last Taiwanese"
Night 10:30
China is still doing business with India despite being economically attacked by India. No wonder all of those China/India border meetings never result in any agreements. Why would India stop making unjust demands?
US would still sanction PRC over taking outlying Taiwanese islands. Why risk overwhelming sanctions and likely asset seizure over such small payoff? If war broke out over Taiwan with US, PRC should go big or go home instead of following Russian half-hearted attempt in Ukraine. We can all see how that's going.
US would still supply Taiwan with intel and military aids carried by US flagged ships even when PRC chose to only attack Taiwanese arm forces in hope of limiting the scale of the conflict.
What part of MORE excuses don't you understand? Taiwan doesn't want these rocks anyway cause they are part of Fujian province and a roadbloack to TAIWAN independence. China has the moral high ground right now, and hitting Taiwan will be seen as unnecessarily aggressive. If anything has to be hit by a rocket, then let it be Guam instead.
U only designs are less compact but are harder to detect both for startup and operation, especially if there's already existing civil enrichment programs. There's also the substantial fixed capital savings from not having to build new reactors. Compare Pakistani program to North Korean. Pakistan went with the U enrichment path, flew under the radar until it already was 99% done. North Korea went with Pu breeding, got caught pretty much instantly.
as well, so it's not like this is a serious downgrade, it is what Chinese designers 100% knew. Note that it was a miniaturized airdrop device test, not a stationary setup like Ivy Mike.
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