The War in the Ukraine

[Abominable]

NASA's Fire Information system is a good way to get information about clashes in the Ukraine. It analyses satellite information for fires and is a good way of approximating the amount of fighting taking place.

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You can see that most of the assault on Lisichansk was in the last week of June, targeting mainly the industrial region and the roads leading out. It looks like the Ukrainians left Lisichansk towards Siversk via Spirne and were targeted heavily.

Today and yesterday there doesn't appear to be much activity in that region, but there's a lot on the flanks in regions like Svitlodarsk.

 

[Yommie]

low flying helicopters

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1544054894516109317

 

[Biscuits]

If your forces are so terrified of the enemy that their mere advance, not battle, causes retreat, it's a general collapse of morale - a rout. This is supported by the fact that Mariupol took months, Severodonetsk took weeks, but Lysychansk just took days and Sloviansk/Bakhmut is already about to be liberated.

If Russia takes Slavyansk within the coming days, then it would almost be safe to say that Ukraine is collapsing.

Based on its distance from Severodonetsk you'd expect it to take weeks for Russians to finish the fight there. Especially cuz Ukraine claimed they had successfully retreated without heavy losses, which would be exposed as a lie then if they cannot consolidate lines around Slavyansk.

 

[FADH1791]

Donbass is the shield of Ukraine. They spent 8 long years preparing highly sophisticated defensive fortifications. Once that’s gone the Only major fortifications are the regional cities like Kharkov, Zaporozhia, Nicolaev ,Dnipro,Odessa. Which means they’ll encircle these areas while taking the bulk of the province. This explains why Ukraine is sending everything they go to the Donbass to prevent that but they are wasting lots of quality manpower. And yeah Ukraine has lots of manpower they aren’t quality. They are conscripts with2-3 weeks basic training. They have nothing matching Russian firepower and aerial power which negates their manpower advantage.

 

[RottenPanzer]

Just noticed that there hasn't been a daily Russian MoD report for yesterday which usually consistently report of the developments on the SMO area every single day...

 

[Temstar]

Latest from HistoryLegends, he too thinks the next move for Russians will be against Seversk.

 

[drowingfish]

If Russia takes Slavyansk within the coming days, then it would almost be safe to say that Ukraine is collapsing.

Based on its distance from Severodonetsk you'd expect it to take weeks for Russians to finish the fight there. Especially cuz Ukraine claimed they had successfully retreated without heavy losses, which would be exposed as a lie then if they cannot consolidate lines around Slavyansk.

it doesnt look like Sloviansk will fall that quickly for two reasons. one, the units with collapsing morale are not the same as those garrisoned in sloviansk, as they have been preparing for an assault from izyum for months now. two, Putin ordered Russian units in that sector to take a break while offensive actions continue elsewhere. it is likely that the Russians are also exhausted and needed an operational pause before resuming their attack. in either case their gains in the last couple weeks definitely have been immense.

 

[FriedButter]

NASA's Fire Information system is a good way to get information about clashes in the Ukraine. It analyses satellite information for fires and is a good way of approximating the amount of fighting taking place.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

You can see that most of the assault on Lisichansk was in the last week of June, targeting mainly the industrial region and the roads leading out. It looks like the Ukrainians left Lisichansk towards Siversk via Spirne and were targeted heavily.

Today and yesterday there doesn't appear to be much activity in that region, but there's a lot on the flanks in regions like Svitlodarsk.

Maybe the Russians didn’t enforce a full encirclement but instead left gaps for Ukraine to retreat since cornering a desperate enemy would lead to stubborn resistance. Sounds like this could have been a trap to lure Ukrainian resistance out of the cities and inflict heavy damage on the retreat.

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The strategic road Seversk-Artemovsk is under the supervision of special forces of the "Otvazhnyh" (O group)

The fighters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who fled from Lysichansk to Seversk, already know what it means to retreat along a road that is under fire, therefore, unlike the comedians in Kiev, they have no particular illusions about the possible withdrawal of troops to Artemovsk.

The special forces of the "O" group leaked this footage to let Ukrops know they got control over the road and are watching them already. Everything is under supervision. The hunt will start soon.

This was posted earlier. There is a claim that the road between Seversk and Bakhmut is being watched by the O group. If Russia starts pushing on Seversk and target the retreating Ukrainians towards Bakhmut then it may cause a morale problem. Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut will see tons of wounded troops and damaged equipment flooding in from Seversk in small unorganized groups if they get hit during the retreat.

 

[Biscuits]

it doesnt look like Sloviansk will fall that quickly for two reasons. one, the units with collapsing morale are not the same as those garrisoned in sloviansk, as they have been preparing for an assault from izyum for months now. two, Putin ordered Russian units in that sector to take a break while offensive actions continue elsewhere. it is likely that the Russians are also exhausted and needed an operational pause before resuming their attack. in either case their gains in the last couple weeks definitely have been immense.

I said "if", not sure it will happen.

Honestly by my own assessment I think Slavyansk would hold for at least a week. But then again I thought Lisichansk would hold more than a week after Russia took Severodonetsk.

 

[Soldier30]

Russia uses guns against PAX STUPOR drones in Ukraine. To combat the drones, the allied forces of the Russian military began to use guns against the STUPOR drones in Ukraine. The complex against drones PARS "STUPOR" emits electromagnetic impulses and suppresses the control channels of drones.

Russian army units, the Chechen Akhmat regiment, captured four Ukrainian Varta armored vehicles. The vehicles are based on the MAZ-5434 truck and have enhanced mine protection, the armored vehicle is capable of transporting eight soldiers, including crew members. It is not clear for what reason the vehicles were abandoned, the Varta armored vehicles are 2018 and fully operational. According to preliminary data, the trophies of the Russian army will be sent to the front to strengthen the units of the Russian army.

Published footage of the impact of the Russian ATGM crew from a distance of 3500 meters on a military truck of the Ukrainian army.