Ukrainian War Developments

Status
Not open for further replies.

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Russia says to publish retaliatory sanctions against West soon

Russia will publish individual sanctions against the West in the near future, Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said on Saturday.

"The lists are ready," Ryabkov said on Russian broadcaster Channel One, adding that the sanctions will be made public soon.

According to Ryabkov, Moscow sees no indication that the United States was ready to continue dialogue on Ukraine.

The diplomat also warned Washington against transferring weapons to Ukraine, adding that these weapons will become legitimate targets for the Russian forces.

IDK what it means by “individual sanctions” but if it’s just against some people then the retaliation is extremely weak.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
That is normal. The sight of dead people does NOT give normal people a hard-on for more dead people.
Well, I am not keen on attacking India for whatever reasons other than a defensive war, If that country chooses to attack China for whatever reasons. And the only time I am for war is if there's no other choice other than to fight against any enemy. And if China has to fight, it has to fight with overwhelming power, with unrelenting pursuit to defeat any enemies that the only option for them is to surrender or annihilation.
 

pmc

Colonel
Registered Member
Incompetent, egoistic commanders, afterthought logistics, corruption hampering military reform, ineffective doctrine.

I dont think generating daily 200 sorties for fighters show logistics problem or corruption when you look at overall context of entire aviation effort from transports to AWACS. by putting external fuel tanks on choppers. they are using it for deep strike. They are highly confident of reliability of systems to stress it with fuel tanks almost every Ka-52 and those are not from very developed fields so presumably near to the battlefield. bottom line is every thing is mobile and make shift.
than there is this concept of sending drone at speed of rocket instead of slow buzzing drone for highly dymanic targeting. they may similar capability without tube MLRS.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
The whole US military/biological labs thing is farcical. The US government funds work around the world in biology. The US funds work in China! The US funds work in Russia! Sometimes it is funded by the NIH. Sometimes it is funded by the Pentagon. Sometimes by other departments of the US gov. Sometimes the labs study specific genetic questions. Sometimes they are doing agricultural studies. Sometimes they are doing virology and bacteriology. This is NOT a new phenomenon.

How dare those countries have competent biologists!

What god in the heavens would ever let a first rate biological lab ever arise outside the land of the free and home of the brave!

Curse those DC insiders claiming good science is not restricted to the American shores! And the sheer audacity of funding them!

DarthVaderNoooo.gif

Snarkasm aside, Ukraine was just another place with competent people in biology. Ukraine inherited labs from the Soviet Union and with proper funding has been able to maintain them. From the sounds of things, some of those labs worked on nasty diseases. WHO requested Ukraine to destroy samples - including anthrax! - when the war started. I would speculate the reason Ukraine had them is because of those updated Soviet labs able to handle the vicious bugs.

In addition, pharma and biotech companies are largely global. Anything larger than a few hundred people has ties all over. It could be they have outsourced their sysadmin and devops to India. Or they are working on specific diseases or genetics common to one place only. I know a Russian woman - not at my company - who used to run human trials for a biotech company in Ukraine. Ever had a problem with falsified data? Nope. Was it the only place they were doing it? Nope. Reason? Cost and they had the competence to collaborate.
That's not entirely true. Go on to pubmed and see how many papers you'll find on vaccines for weaponised forms of biological agents (actually don't unless you want to end up on an FBI list). You won't find any, because no non-government sanctioned body will be anywhere near that. Very few countries around the world even have access to many of the pathogens being talked about, it is definitely NOT something that is global.

Biological weapons aren't like nuclear or chemical weapons where it is relatively clear what's permitted and what's prohibited. Like we saw with COVID, SARS, Spanish flu etc, a common pathogen that typically causes a mild respiratory disease can mutate into something a lot more deadly.

While there are a lot of very intelligent and highly qualified people from your part of the world, attitudes to health and safety are not up to western standards. I'd find it crazy that Americans would contract out ANY bioterrorism research to a foreign country, let alone one in Ukraine. In fact, I still think it's quite likely Nuland just misspoke because of how incompetent she is.
The speech by the Russian ambassador to the UN was painful in light of anyone who has knowledge. I imagine it was the same for people listening to SecState Colin Powell back in the Oughts about Iraq. Those speeches were comparable.
I'm afraid your opinion is a minority one here. We've had to endure some of the most absurd Alex Jones type accusations against China coming from both Trump and Biden administration. Even when WHO were permitted access, the allegations continued. Not only was it painful it lead to an upsurge in racist hate crimes in the west and around the world.

What parts of the speech did you find uncomfortable? I think both the Russian concerns and proposals were reasonable. The Slavic DNA harvesting aspect was odd, but I'd attribute that to vestigial Soviet era paranoia. I think a lot of older people in the Russian government do fear the idea a race virus could exist, and that won't go away until the older generation die off. But that doesn't address all the other points he made. If you're a Ukrainian, wouldn't be at least slightly concerned that your country may be used to research pathogens that could be potentially very dangerous? Bear in mind the last recorded case of smallpox was from an outbreak in a British lab.

It's largely a waste of time discussing this in the UN though. The Americans will 100% veto this proposal, but they can't veto domestic scrutiny. They will never let anyone look inside their labs like China agreed to.
 

wxw456

New Member
Registered Member
Ukraine released it's KIA for the first time since day one: 1,300. No mention about POW. I thought it would be around 2,500. Not long after, Russians released their version of Ukrainian casualties. 15,704. A ten to one disparity is big, even by propaganda war standards, usually it's 2-3x. Someones telling porkies. I think the Ukrainian number is closer to the truth. Russians claim they've captured 860 POWs, so if the Ukrainian number is accurate that's a very high POW/death rate, i.e. surrendering soldiers aren't being killed on the spot.
I would stay away from commenting on any alleged casualty counts before the war is over. Accurate casualty counts are notoriously difficult to assess during a war and sometimes even after a war! Even this assessment has some issues:
  • The Russian and Ukrainian figures are not counting the same thing (unless the translation is bad). Ukraine is releasing a KIA (Killed In Action) count and Russia is releasing a casualty count. Generally casualties is a much broader category that includes KIA, WIA (Wounded In Action), MIA (Missing In Action) and POW (Prisoner Of War).
  • Do not assume that countries count casualties or present casualty statistics in the same manner. I will use a historical example from the IJA in WW2. In the Second Sino-Japanese War surviving statistical documents compiled by the IJA could have Japanese fatalities split into four different categories: Killed In Action (KIA), Died from Wounds, Died from Disease and Died from Other Causes (the documents never went into details about this category). But often times battlefield reports would only have the Killed In Action (KIA) category available or reported. The Died from Wounds, Died from Disease and Died from Other Causes categories would generally only appear in medical data and not the battlefield reports. The most extreme example of this is during the Battle of West Hunan where IJA medical data recorded ~1,000 fatalities from Killed In Action and Died from Wounds category, but another ~5,000 fatalities appeared in the Died from Disease category.
  • The losing side often cannot get an accurate casualty figure. Lets say a 400 man battalion is defeated, how does the command of the losing side get an accurate casualty report? There is a real possibility that no casualty report reaches back to command. In this situation command has to make a choice of where to put the casualties; KIA, WIA, MIA or POW? Even if there are survivors from the defeated battalion there is no guarantee that they have an accurate picture of the casualties.
  • Casualty counts for the same battle can differ based on when they get compiled.
    • For example, in the Battle of Shanghai the Senshi Sosho lists Japanese KIA as 9,115 (this is based on surviving primary source documents). This is different from other sources that list ~18,000 KIA for the IJA. “The Diaries of the Commander of the 101st Division" gives 9,065 KIA with a division by division break down:
      • 11 Division - 2,202 KIA
      • 101 Division - 1,378 KIA
      • 3 Division - 2,857 KIA
      • 9 Division - 1,473 KIA
      • 13 Division - 784 KIA
      • Taiwan Garrison Brigade - 339 KIA
    • Surviving primary source casualty records in the JACAR for the 9th Division and 13th Division contradicts the above breakdown and more than doubles the number fatalities (support for a ~18,000 KIA count):
      • 9 Division - 4,562 Fatalities
      • 13 Division - 1,853 Fatalities
    • The most common explanation for the difference (besides lying) is that the casualty records for the 9th and 13th divisions were compiled after the Battle of Shanghai and that the ~9,000 KIA figures were based on immediate casualty statistics compiled during the battle.
  • Casualty documents do get destroyed during the war or documentation is poor. For example, the Japanese War Press released a ~80,000 KIA count in China from 1937-1941. Extrapolating to 1945 gives a ~160,000 KIA count. Post-war household surveys and studies by the Japanese government and academics found a range of 455,000-700,000 for fatalities. Essentially the military statistics by the IJA were missing hundreds of thousands of fatalities! It does not help that the IJA received and successfully carried out orders to destroy military documents before their surrender. I cannot stress this point enough, even if you went through all surviving IJA primary documents you would be unable to reach the 455,000-700,000 fatality figure that the post-war household surveys reached.
Counting casualties is hard. Counting casualties during a war is even harder. Sometimes we never ever get the correct casualty account!
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top