Ukrainian War Developments

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Weaasel

Senior Member
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Russia is trying to surround most cities now, instead of trying a full combined arms onslaught to take them. The Russians blundered in the first week of the war by not showing sufficient caution in their advances, especially in the North...
 

emblem21

Major
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This is being tolerated on twitter. A lot of "westerners" are seriously mentally ill.
One of these days, people like him will suffer real discrimination for his racist and insane behaviour completely devoid of any empathy and any real understanding of what has caused this crisis. This man is not long for the world if he cannot views things objectively
 

Weaasel

Senior Member
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Well, Afghan claims of 770k Americans killed have never been taken seriously by any other major countries. Ukrainian claims is pretty assumed to be believable by many respected Western institutions and people.

As for you claims that some people become less pro-war as a result of this conflict, I would say that any normal person would start to lose interest in a war which only comes to pretty much a grinding halt (stalemate) in terms of positions held by the two sides, and only information come out of there is just more building, more people and more military equipment getting blown to pieces. If there are decisive progresses on either sides consistently coming out, I'm sure people would be more enthusiastic about war.
Those believing Ukrainian claims must either believe their propaganda or are extension of their propaganda. I don't believe Ukrainian claims, though Russian casualties have been heavy.
 

LCR34

Junior Member
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Russia is trying to surround most cities now, instead of trying a full combined arms onslaught to take them. The Russians blundered in the first week of the war by not showing sufficient caution in their advances, especially in the North...
Incompetent, egoistic commanders, afterthought logistics, corruption hampering military reform, ineffective doctrine.
 

Abominable

Major
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Okay my impressions from today & yesterday, lots of small things so I thought I'd make one big post instead of littering the thread with lots of smaller posts.

Not much happened on the ground again today. This looks like a pause for negotiations. Maybe the Russians are waiting to see how the biolabs story goes? Powers been cut off in Mariupol and it looks like the Russians are finally fed up with the hostage situation that's going on there.

The law and order situation in many Ukrainian cities still seems to be a mess. There's still street justice being dished out to "marauders" by vigilante groups. At this point I'm assuming they're just looking for food and supplies rather than trying to steal a TV. The fact that it's been two weeks now and the authorities haven't been able to re-establish order doesn't bode well for the overall state of the country. This is based on 100% Ukrainian sources. There aren't the street battles that were taking place between militia groups and "Russian saboteurs" earlier, so that's good. Maybe they finally realised they don't exist? I don't know the Ukrainian president isn't publically telling his people to calm down on this, yet he's got time to update them on the state of EU accession negotiations.

Ukraine released it's KIA for the first time since day one: 1,300. No mention about POW. I thought it would be around 2,500. Not long after, Russians released their version of Ukrainian casualties. 15,704. A ten to one disparity is big, even by propaganda war standards, usually it's 2-3x. Someones telling porkies. I think the Ukrainian number is closer to the truth. Russians claim they've captured 860 POWs, so if the Ukrainian number is accurate that's a very high POW/death rate, i.e. surrendering soldiers aren't being killed on the spot.

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The ex-Ukrainian president has been driving around in a technical with pro-Nazi collaborator slogans painted on it. Both Ukrainian and Russian sources are posting this. Again, I've no idea why mainstream media aren't picking this up. It would be like Saddam driving around Baghdad with a picture of Osama on the side of his car.

Given that each side has 200,000+ soldiers currently deployed, most are following protocol and not sharing pictures and videos on social media. What is being put out seems to be vetted, far away from front lines or from is from civilians or irregulars. I doubt any western army would have that level of discipline in this day and age.

Ukrainians still getting ATGMs as recently as yesterday. At this point I think they've got more than Russia has tanks. I think NATO have dumped their entire European stock of them. They've definitely received more in one month than the Afghan Mujahideen rebels got in 10 years. Back in Afghanistan the CIA set up training camps where selected militants had a 2 week training course. Then they'd pull them back every 6 months for refresher training. Looking at the way some of the militia are carrying them I doubt they know how to change the battery, let alone use them. I bet most of these end up in Russian hands unused.


Lastly, Russian sources posted a video of a hotel that got bombed in Chernihiv. That's right on the front line. They claim it was where a lot of foreign fighters were staying. I wonder if some volunteer posted where they were staying on an internet forum that got leaked to the Russians? If it's true it could be the first confirmed deaths of foreign mercs.
 

Tam

Brigadier
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That strikes me as surprisingly small.

For comparison, the Tomahawk cruise missile is often quoted to have a frontal RCS of 0.2m2. Compared to the Tu-141 it has less than half its length, 50% less wingspan with much smaller wings and weighs 5 times less. I would wager the Tu-141's frontal RCS is on the order of 1m2.

Quotes at the most optimal condition: X-band, straight ahead frontal aspect. RCS changes on both frequency and aspect.
 
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