Chinese semiconductor thread II

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Even Europeans can see the failures of US export controls.



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They are ignoring the elephant in the room, domestic equipment. The market share of domestic tools went from 1% in 2019 to more than 40% in 2026. that is an 39X increase. The government now feel confident enough that they could demand that domestic fabs use 50% of domestic equipment, materials and software. With 70% in future fabs, there are multiple suppliers for every category of tools already. Other fabs that are already export controlled are going almost 100% domestic.

Had US stooges go full in on export controls against China, like countrywide ban US toolmakers of selling and servicing US tools they would had done more serious damage BUT China would had retaliated with banning all critical materials to the US, a full blown trade war. Looks like China rare earth deterrence worked and the slow roll out of US export control give Chinese companies enough time to stockpile, to the domestic supply chain to build capacity and to US companies to move their production out of the US to SEA.
 

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
No way it was that low in 2019. 1%? Where did you get this figure. I don’t think it was this low .
I have been following the Industry for some time, 1% or 1.5% a single digit. Was said in Chinese forums that working for SME companies was the most boring job, as workers waited for orders doing nothing. Many companies survived by shifting to Photovoltaics, Packaging, Power semis and FPDs.
 
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