2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
Iran Has Quietly Built a Trap That Could Hand It the Strait of Hormuz Forever

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The US has really "screwed the pooch" on this one......................:D

Regards,
I was going to say Iran's legal framework is called the IRGC.
But then I realized what the author's actually saying US has internalized the reality of Iranian control and their own helplessness.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
It's only a matter of time until the war fully resumes. This is the conflict that was in the pipeline for more than two decades. No way US will back out without a major victory (balkanization and vassalization of Iran).

It's to Iran's luck/benefit that the initial plans of US failed, namely a popular uprising led by the Monarchists, Arabs waging war on Iran and a Kurdish insurrection. US is surely organizing a Plan B (which doesn't revolve around ending hostilities and probably not a full ground invasion). My guess is: US is trying to recruit a regional player to commit to long-term hostilities against Iran. UAE looks likely but they don't got much of a punch. Perhaps, anti-Shia outfits in Iraq to destabilize the region more?
A major victory for the US is survival.
It's not about what America wants, its about the hard cold reality of American power, or lack thereof.
US weapons are old, their technology are from the 1980s and their industrial base is not even at Iran's level, they're simply not the global power they think they are, their vassals know it, the useful idiots like the Kurds know it, their own people know it.

The nature of war is defeat does not require your consent or satasification, defeat is imposed on you, whether you like it or not, and even the option to surrender isn't guaranteed, it's a luxury that you must work to secure.

If America can secure the option to surrender to Iran, be it paying $300B reparations or leave the region, it would have won, because the alternative is collapse.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
As long Iran can't defend its sky, balance is there.
Israel shall move on to Turkey.
Considering Israel's total incompetence in the face of FPVs despite years of demonstration in Ukraine, they might want to worry about the 80 year curse before they fantasize about being a real military power
 

burritocannon

Junior Member
Registered Member
this is far from over. if the goal is to further encircle china then the real wincon for the iran campaign in the near-term can be as simple as weakening it sufficiently that it is unable to intervene against democratic movements in, say, turkmenistan.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
This is just complete nonsense. By every measure the US industrial output is far great then Iran. Just because you lose a war, doesn't mean you don't have greater industrial output.
US lost the war primarily because its industrial output is inferior to Iran.
You can argue Iran is rubbing off China while America cannot, but that's not Iran's problem, that's America's problem.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
this is far from over. if the goal is to further encircle china then the real wincon for the iran campaign in the near-term can be as simple as weakening it sufficiently that it is unable to intervene against democratic movements in, say, turkmenistan.
Do people still not get it? It's not about what America wants, it's about what American can actually do. They can set their goal to encircle China or wishcast color revolution all day, but hard reality is Iran exterminated their color revolution assets in Jan then bombed US out of ME, and with that so can every other country under Chinese and Russian protection.

Iran now control the entire Persian Gulf and along with it the majority of ME energy while US is seriously considering paying reparations just to regain tolled access, does this look like a weakend Iran to you or does it look like a weakened America?
 

SlothmanAllen

Senior Member
Registered Member
US lost the war primarily because its industrial output is inferior to Iran.
You can argue Iran is rubbing off China while America cannot, but that's not Iran's problem, that's America's problem.
Can you show me a comprehensive measurement in which Iran outproduces the United States?
Industrials outputs measured in over inflated USD.

In what way? Can you show me a comprehensive measurement in which Iran outproduces the United States?
 
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