Similar fentanyl accusation logic where Mexico cartels or any other drug producing countries buying raw materials from China to create drugs. Ukraine buying parts from China for their drones program and used it to attack Russia, Russia similar buy parts from China and used it to attack Ukraine. Similar EU and US buying raw nitrocellusose cotton from China for create bombs to bomb Iran and rare earth for their munitions to attack Iran. Iran buying raw materials from China and used it for their ballistic to attack US.....China produces everything. Trump has run out of topics that he wants to use as leverage for his China visit. Creating issue and nothing burger out of thin air.....I read, China already cut short his plan visit to 48 hours, maybe come for some dinner, prepare simple readout agreement and brief sightseeing and then pack him back to US.....
2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis
- Thread starter plawolf
- Start date
USS Bush has entered CENTCOM area.
There is some anti-aircraft fire in Teheran right now. Reasons unclear. However, what is clear so far is that Imperial forces are nearing the readiness for Round 3.
Iran has reported that around 3.500 civilians have been killed by the attacking forces (U.S. and Israel). More than 26.000 wounded.
Economic and infrastructure damage to Iran so far is between 200 and 270 Billion USD.
As it looks right now, it won't be long until Round 3 is formally on.
There is some anti-aircraft fire in Teheran right now. Reasons unclear. However, what is clear so far is that Imperial forces are nearing the readiness for Round 3.
Iran has reported that around 3.500 civilians have been killed by the attacking forces (U.S. and Israel). More than 26.000 wounded.
Economic and infrastructure damage to Iran so far is between 200 and 270 Billion USD.
As it looks right now, it won't be long until Round 3 is formally on.
Iran's nominal GDP is $300 billion dollars, so the country is ground into dust? Have its cement, automotive and steel factories been wiped off the face of the earth? There's no doubt that key infrastructure has been destroyed or damaged like hospitals, police stations and girl's schools, but Iran's industrial capacity remains. Its ports and power gen facilities are largely intact too. How is a figure of $200 billion calculated? If toilets are worth $50 000 then it makes sense.
The figure 200 - 270 billion comes from both Iran and U.S. sources. So they agree on that, at least.
Both direct and indirect costs. That is how it was calculated.
From Iran that demands the amount of 270 billion before peace talks continue:
This article is from last week:
The U.S. source also estimates between 200 and 270 billion:
What we know for sure is also that Iranian economy will experience a considerable recession this year, IMF estimates 6% contraction, from the link above.
Then there is inflation standing at 69% for this year. Last year inflation was at 51%.
Last edited:
manqiangrexue
Brigadier
This guy talks too much, runs around too often. Maybe the US/Israel will assassinate him during "talks" so Iran can replace him with someone who was born without a tongue and only knows how to launch missiles and drones.
manqiangrexue
Brigadier
Yes but I heard Pezeshkian is already dealt with. IRGC acts without him, doesn't listen to him and he can't even book an appointment to see the Supreme Leader. He was thinking about quitting sometime ago? The problem with all Iranian leaders is their mouths; the ideal Iranian leader is probably born mute. Whenever they talk, they lose. Whenever they fight, they win.
Did this guy Pezeshkian meet the Supreme Leader to "confirm" his situation in order to report to foreign intel? Perhaps this the reason he can't get a booking. To know who are the spy also need to trace their families, sons, daughters, son in law, grand daughter. Usually Intel agents works thru "familial" ties especially they are abroad. Similar situation with the CCP, where corrupt officials, spies usually having relatives over seas and once before many officials hid their stash to foreign land so perhaps buying their son/daughter future abroad. Later however Intelligence Agency surely would not let the opportunity pass by
They are counting into day to day cost/benefit analysis. Looking at Trump's style and way of him doing business. As long it wins, even small margin from his perspective of "money"...then he will continues the blockade strategy. My guess, he'd probably ask for report, how much this blockade consider a win for him in terms of cost/expenditure vs the Iranians. In his own calculation, probably he sees the oil business US side gain, maybe some billions revenue, squeezing of the Arabs, oil tanker business etc.....positive compare the war expenditures. Take example, cost of blockade and flying around ships, planes, soldiers pay, food, cargoes (I saw a post the US soldiers pitiful meal - probably to save some dollar amount, no more lobsters) with formula like Oil Business+ Squeezing Allies+ Stock Market manipulation + +....are 5 billions a day - Soldiers sandwiches used for the blockade+Fly around planes here and there, ships expenditure + listening to orders from AI Nentayahu of transporting equipment + giving Israel money + more ammos+ +...are 3 billions a day. Which mean 5 billions - 3 billions....net positive = 2 billion. Ok...then can continue the blockade. However, all these are tangible....what about intangible? reputation loss, long term cost, hidden unknown cost +++ who knows even this 2 billions net positive is even positive...but as long Trump read the report, and depending on the analysis summary or outcome, he may or may not continue the blockade. He needs to earn back the earlier 3 weeks~ 4 weeks war cost and losses which could be amount to 30~40 billions initial. So all these are formulas, cost benefit analysis which are put into AI crunching machine to give him that report. We will see....let's see and think out of the box, we don't know further what instruction will be given out from Israel/AIPAC masters behind. Probably for them, big business money already made behind the scene, at the cost of others suffering and losses. They just don't care (this nature of the world) because they aint' paying taxes or living in the street. Like I made 3~4 billions out of this war, who cares there are more homeless sleeping on the streets in US or my country (rich ppl have no sense of country but their own self) debt ballooning into the trillions. That's traditional individual capitalist view and greed. Me, I, alone.....others all can burn to hell, as long I make the money. That's the nature of Trump.