2026 Israel-US vs. Iran conflict [Military updates/News Only]

A

Aval

Junior Member
Registered Member
2 weeks ceasefire. Decades could happen in this time.

I note that the US is likely in the weaker negotiating position going into this ceasefire, being the aggressor with publicly stated maximalist aims and having failed to achieve major strategic objectives. The ceasefire isn't long enough to replenish munitions, the most it could do militarily is to allow them to regroup and plan. Furthermore, it seems the US has accepted the Iranian 10-point demands as the basis from which the negotiations will work from. What Iran can actually get will never be the full demands, but even getting some of them is a win.

Lets see how much the world changes.
 
F

Friendly

New Member
Registered Member
According to
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: "The U.S. and Iran are expected to hold peace talks on Friday in Islamabad, two sources familiar with the plans told Axios. Vice President Vance is likely to lead the U.S. delegation."

Trump is known to start things like this, like in his first term with North Korea, then getting bored so the thing fails. If it's mostly given to Vance, it should have a good chance.

That aside, Trump has been sprialing in anger and fear as his latest tweets showed before this. He's all
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now that peace is on the horizon:
"Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks. This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE!"
 
P

PanAsian

Major
Friendly said:
According to
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: "The U.S. and Iran are expected to hold peace talks on Friday in Islamabad, two sources familiar with the plans told Axios. Vice President Vance is likely to lead the U.S. delegation."

Trump is known to start things like this, like in his first term with North Korea, then getting bored so the thing fails. If it's mostly given to Vance, it should have a good chance.
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Hopefully Israel will not be allowed to play spoiler and drag down the US more.
 
M

Minm

Junior Member
Registered Member
Difficult to believe that the US would really agree to the Iranian 10 point plan. Either there's a different 10 point proposal in private or it's deception from the US. Although I can't see what they gain from a 2 week break. Most likely Iran will get more supplies imported in that time and rearm faster than the US
 
siegecrossbow

siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
Minm said:
Difficult to believe that the US would really agree to the Iranian 10 point plan. Either there's a different 10 point proposal in private or it's deception from the US. Although I can't see what they gain from a 2 week break. Most likely Iran will get more supplies imported in that time and rearm faster than the US
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It’s all about manipulating the stock market. Trump is giving the oligarchs a two week window to drain working class Americans of their retirement money.
 
S

SimaQian

Junior Member
Registered Member
siegecrossbow said:
It’s completely irrational. Even if the war ends right now you can’t immediately replace all the oil producing assets destroyed during the war. Market is driven by speculators.
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The war is rigged from the beggining. It takes months to drill oil, refine and transport to destination. Yet the increase price shock is immediate ang the sudden decrease will take long to be felt
 
N

NorthKimBestKim

New Member
Registered Member
Minm said:
Difficult to believe that the US would really agree to the Iranian 10 point plan. Either there's a different 10 point proposal in private or it's deception from the US. Although I can't see what they gain from a 2 week break. Most likely Iran will get more supplies imported in that time and rearm faster than the US
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Two additional Nimitz-class carriers are under way, H.W. Bush and T. Roosevelt most probably as it is being deployed to an "unknown" location that hasn't been publicly announced yet. Although it is not hard to guess the location. That is additional 180 strike aircraft and other types of aircraft.

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A. Lincoln is already there with LHA / LHD USS Boxer and USS Tripoli. As long as these ships along with 14 Arleigh Burke destroyers hasn't been moved far away from Iran - well outside the strike range - the ceasefire is a deception, as you correctly pointed out.
 
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