2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

[tamsen_ikard]

You can substitute AA launchers with combat air patrols. USAF has hundreds of F-15s and F-16s. They could have massed more frames to help patrol the skies and shoot down missiles.


US certainly has to get more assets into the theatre now I think, but of course... that means emptying out other theatres. Also, all of this is closely shadowed by the political aspect of United States. Money has to be appropriated, and unlike previous wars, there are deep questions within the establishment about whether it is in USA's interest to bother with continuing this war.

Fighter jets with aa missiles cannot shoot down ballistic missiles. They can shootdown cruise missiles or drones. But irbms will require a very different specifically designed missile and radar.

 

[supersnoop]

United States was poorly prepared. It's quite clear that they did not anticipate this level of resistance and needing this much time to defeat Iran. I'm not sure why they were so poorly prepared for what would be an obvious counterattack in the form of BM and Drone raids, but they were.

I think US and Israel really did expect Iran's ability to retaliate to falter and their C2 to fail once they killed Iran's leadership and hit Iranian defense nodes. If I had to guess, US forces expected this campaign to mirror Israel's campaign in Lebanon in 2025.

But even then, it's clear that there was no Plan B or failsafe. We were unprepared for what would happen if Iran didn't fall apart and sustained their counter-attacks. Jury's still out of course, but I think we can all see where this is heading.

Poorly prepared in the big picture. I think they well prepared for what they planned to do.

You can substitute AA launchers with combat air patrols. USAF has hundreds of F-15s and F-16s. They could have massed more frames to help patrol the skies and shoot down missiles.


US certainly has to get more assets into the theatre now I think, but of course... that means emptying out other theatres. Also, all of this is closely shadowed by the political aspect of United States. Money has to be appropriated, and unlike previous wars, there are deep questions within the establishment about whether it is in USA's interest to bother with continuing this war.

You answered your own question. They could have sent more fighters physically, but did they have the budget to?

It's pretty insane to think about it. The term "K-shaped economy" was recently coined, acknowledging that people who are already economically disadvantaged are falling even further behind. Yet the president can blindly charge into an expensive war, with shockwaves that are further making the cost of living even more difficult. The wealthy can mitigate some of the everyday shock with expensive electric cars, but affordable models were turfed due to government policy, and imports banned by the previous administration. Still, we are told this is democracy at work, and to look at the CCP who are telling young people to "eat bitterness", life is so much better in the USA!

 

[manqiangrexue]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2039040338111733866

Oh my gosh this woman's smile is so beautiful and energizing. They could put that interview on the big screen to electrify Iranian soldiers before they go into combat. If I were Iranian, it would make me want to marry her without knowing anything else about her and spend the rest of our lives fighting for Iran.

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MAGA USA: “I demand your unconditional surrender because I need to brag about it in China next month.”

Vance thinks that's a threat but he's just admitting weaknesses. Telling an enemy at war that your commander lacks patience is like telling a casino that you have no self control and several large lines of credit.

 

[HighGround]

Fighter jets with aa missiles cannot shoot down ballistic missiles. They can shootdown cruise missiles or drones. But irbms will require a very different specifically designed missile and radar.

The core problem is lack of air coverage to shoot down missiles and drones. SCUD hunting is going very poorly because we did not mass the air power we need and it does not look like we're willing to make that commitment.

Poorly prepared in the big picture. I think they well prepared for what they planned to do.


You answered your own question. They could have sent more fighters physically, but did they have the budget to?

It's pretty insane to think about it. The term "K-shaped economy" was recently coined, acknowledging that people who are already economically disadvantaged are falling even further behind. Yet the president can blindly charge into an expensive war, with shockwaves that are further making the cost of living even more difficult. The wealthy can mitigate some of the everyday shock with expensive electric cars, but affordable models were turfed due to government policy, and imports banned by the previous administration. Still, we are told this is democracy at work, and to look at the CCP who are telling young people to "eat bitterness", life is so much better in the USA!

This has more to do with internal US policies than the actual "money". But either way, the White House is working under constraints.

The past is the past, the most interesting question is whether USA will actually commit and double down on continuin this war, at least in the medium term. USA is better insulated from the energy fallout than most countries. Funnily enough, the most vulnerable actor in this situation is Israel, who probably lobbied the hardest for it.

It will be a funny reversal if Israel's lobby is the one that convinces Trump to try to end it.

 

[Atomicfrog]

Nothing, taking Kharg means nothing and people are delusional about it. The only reason they are doing it because is the only way to escalate for US and Trump is an idiot.

Kharg Island... even if US being able to put troops on it, most of that island is just a fuel dump and is covered with fuel tanks and pipelines. Iran just need to open the pipeline and push fuel out to make it a continuous burning hell.

 

[drowingfish]

Kharg Island... even if US being able to put troops on it, most of that island is just a fuel dump and is covered with fuel tanks and pipelines. Iran just need to open the pipeline and push fuel out to make it a continuous burning hell.

The "wishful thinking" here was that kharg is so valuable to Iran that they will be willing to negotiate for it. Americans love to project and never bother to really learn about their enemies, which was the reason why they are in this quagmire to begin with.
The obvious flaw in any plan to occupy a coastal island is, what if Iran mines the waters around it after you landed? you cannot supply your troops by sea, so you have to do them by air, which is neither sustainable nor safe.

 

[another505]

So what is everyone's guess for tn 9pm pt time TACO address?

I am now leaning that he is going to call it mission accomplished and leave the mess. Iran will keep attacking the region and keep the strait but he wont care and or call it fake news. Illogical but not beneath him.

The other side is that the americans are going boots in. This odd increased a bit after the narcissit was personally humilated in the supreme court today.

 

[Serb]

So what is everyone's guess for tn 9pm pt time TACO address?

I am now leaning that he is going to call it mission accomplished and leave the mess. Iran will keep attacking the region and keep the strait but he wont care and or call it fake news. Illogical but not beneath him.

The other side is that the americans are going boots in. This odd increased a bit after the narcissit was personally humilated in the supreme court today.

Both, I think he will TACO to try perfidy on Iranians again, and then he will employ boots on the ground soon. Mainly because Zionists own him.

Even if the war was going well, Zionists would want boots on the ground to try and cause as much damage as possible to Iran, not to mention now.

 

[tokenanalyst]

The Slop War.

 

[broadsword]

Both, I think he will TACO to try perfidy on Iranians again, and then he will employ boots on the ground soon. Mainly because Zionists own him.

Even if the war was going well, Zionists would want boots on the ground to try and cause as much damage as possible to Iran, not to mention now.

He might give conditions just to cloud his intentions. He probably wants to save face, giving insiders a chance to profit again.