2026 Israel-US vs. Iran conflict [Military updates/News Only]

[TPenglake]

Successor has been appointed .

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034599334163984520

For those who didn't follow, the speculated frontrunner before this man's appoinment was Saeed Jalili who was thought to have been even more hardline than Larijani. He didn't get the job, but when it comes to the new guy it doesn't get anymore hardline than being one of the orchestrators of the 1983 bombing of the US embassy in Beirut.

Every assassination Israel has committed thus far has brought in more and more hardliners as replacements, with a greater sense of self-preservation of course. If the war ends with Iran's current government structure intact, the country will essentially become the Middle-East North Korea.

 

[EmoBirb]

US wants 200 billion fund for the war. That allows them to wage a war for 150-200 days. Once that is used up, the war will end.

No, they'll ask for more funding. Monetary cost doesn't end open hostilities, that's no cold war. Cost in material and personelle end hostilities because public support errodes.

 

[Faisal Iqbal]

Former Nato commander asserts Iran needs to recognise it is in a 'no win position at this time'
BBC Live

"It's plausible that Israel could have acted on its own" in its attack on Iran's South Pars gas field, General Wesley Clark says.

The former Nato supreme allied commander tells BBC News that things are moving very quickly in this war and "it could have slipped through".

He says that the Iranians need to recognise that they're in a "no win position at this time" and an agreement needs to be reached to cut off heavy investment in ballistic missiles and surrounding regional security.

"Two and a half weeks is not that long in terms of the way the human mind works in conflict, so I suspect this is going on for a while longer", he says.

He adds that the leaders of the Iranian regime need to realise that "the majority of their own people are not supporting them and will not support them".

 

[Archer357]

Former Nato commander asserts Iran needs to recognise it is in a 'no win position at this time'
BBC Live

"It's plausible that Israel could have acted on its own" in its attack on Iran's South Pars gas field, General Wesley Clark says.

The former Nato supreme allied commander tells BBC News that things are moving very quickly in this war and "it could have slipped through".

He says that the Iranians need to recognise that they're in a "no win position at this time" and an agreement needs to be reached to cut off heavy investment in ballistic missiles and surrounding regional security.

"Two and a half weeks is not that long in terms of the way the human mind works in conflict, so I suspect this is going on for a while longer", he says.

He adds that the leaders of the Iranian regime need to realise that "the majority of their own people are not supporting them and will not support them".

Wow so 3 weeks in and this guy still trying to keep the old narrative going?

 

[Temstar]

Can someone who is experienced or knowledgeable in this please explain to a layman like me what the strategy would be here? Is this posturing? Is it to force Iran into a preemptive move ? Or is there some corridor these marines have to actually get to irans land and capture something? I’m very curious and confused.

One interesting take I've seen is the intention isn't actually an amphibious landing, that's just a bluff. Rather they're just using the LHD/LHA as lightning carriers in all F-35B configuration to bolster the number of F-35 in theatre and make up for the issues with Ford.

 

[Mmmeeeto]

After a F-35 fighter jet was hit by Iranian air defense fire, data indicates that an American CH-47 Chinook helicopter carried out a search and rescue operation inside Saudi territory, suggesting that the aircraft crashed and was unable to land safely at one of the bases, as the Americans claimed.

 

[Gloire_bb]

Russian S-300 prob had a hand in this, a worthy riposte for the sinking of Moskva

S-300/400/HQ-9 have 150-180kg warheads. This is more than most light anti ship missiles.
You are not surviving such point blank hit from them - and their missiles are much larger.
"Even" Buk/Raad(Sevom Khordad)/HQ-16 is promptly out of question, 60kg is instant ticket to a better world.

 

[_killuminati_]

Alleged to have been hit.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034652228984680621

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034648466094280770

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034650125163798637

Was it an Irani missile though? Yesterday it was Hezbollah who claimed to have had fired at the Haifa refinery.

Large coal fired stations also have cooling towers, its probably just a conventional powerplant.

Israel does have a nuclear facility of some type in Haifa.

Do you have a link?
PS: Found it.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034663085193957737

Flying back, damaged with possible fuel leak, from central Iran - a distance of 450km to the closest Arab country - does not make sense. It should have been easy pickings after the first shot. Most likely it wasn't in central Iran if it made that trip back which is more probable if debris of it's wreckage hasn't been found inside Iran.

Lol

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034726710680150024

View attachment 171915

That image is from this video (below) of a short ranged SAM - the Qaem-118

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034616343266312649

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Multiple vehicles in an Israeli convoy ambushed by Hezbollah,

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034763093650415723

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2034651642457432142

 

[solarz]

One interesting take I've seen is the intention isn't actually an amphibious landing, that's just a bluff. Rather they're just using the LHD/LHA as lightning carriers in all F-35B configuration to bolster the number of F-35 in theatre and make up for the issues with Ford.

Assuming the report is accurate, I doubt it's a bluff. You don't move troops around just to end up with them sitting out the fight.

 

[TPenglake]

Assuming the report is accurate, I doubt it's a bluff. You don't move troops around just to end up with them sitting out the fight.

It's clear though the US has no idea what its doing since they didn't even plan for a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, thinking that the Iranian government would be overthrown within the first week of bombing. They are in fact making it up as they go.

The 2,500-5,000 men being relocated to the Middle-East is woefully inadquate for a country of Iran's size, and is just actually posturing and stuff to feed the media. Unless the US actually amasses a force of hundreds of thousands and begins the process of establishing logistics lines for them, then the current threat of a ground invasion is not serious.