This is very simple logic. The Gulf States shouldn't have antagonized Iran then. From their POV, it doesn't matter how bad Iran does, only how good they do. What, are UAE, Bahrain and Qatar willing to regress to 19th century or starve to death just to stick it to Iran? They wanna do that, trade 3 for 1 with Iran of all countries? No. So they should've been looking out for themselves in this war. If they were too scared of the US to resist the bases, well, now the question is, are they still more scared of the US, or of Iran?Of course alienate. Many gulf Arab countries like Qatar, Oman etc had very good relations with Iran and had even been trying for years to mediate and get sanctions off Iran. But now that Iran has been attacking (irrespective of if their reason is right or wrong matters little) their infrastructure, oil and port facilities etc with even casualties this countries will start seeing Iran in a new light as a hostile actor in the region which is exactly what Israel wants and what Israel has been claiming by trying to convince this countries for a long time that Iranian regime is a threat to the region . So this plays and favors Israel completely .
Moreover ,you are talking about how Iran has been sanctioned isolated and impoverished with this sanctions and isolation and how gulf Arab countries have prospered as if its gulf Arab states problem . lol Iranian Islamists leaders made their own choices and policies . You are free to make your decisions and policies but can’t be mad at the consequences of your very own decisions and act jealous and mad at others who made different decisions dude. lol Everyone is free to make their choices in life and so they should be ready to shoulder the responsibilities of their choices .
so acting like Arab/Gulf states /Turkey are at fault for Irans current condition is a fallacy . These countries are focused on their national interests, business, growing their economy, trade, and enriching their people and making their life’s better, which should be the priority of every government, and so far they have done spectacularly well at that. As Deng xiaoping once said: it doesn’t matter whether the cat is black or white as long as it catches the mice” . Couldn’t have said it any better .
you don’t have to be too ideological in life as a leader of a country . Have to be pragmatic and laser focused in doing everything possible to achieve your objectives and make your country prosper .
In this regard Gulf Arab states have done far better than Iran . Their leaders have been very shrewd and smart to be honest. It’s crazy to think they all have far better relations and economic ties with Russia/China US/India/West than Iran . This explains why no country is even coming forward to help them, they are isolated. This shows Iranian leaders have failed spectacularly in their foreign policy to be honest
Some did.Of course alienate. Many gulf Arab countries like Qatar, Oman etc had very good relations with Iran and had even been trying for years to mediate and get sanctions off Iran.
How do you know next one is not worse?If Israel wanted to reduce the Iranian threat to itself, it really really should NOT have killed the 86 year old man whose Fatwa prevented Iran from seeking nuclear weapons for decades. If they can't regime change Iran, and it really doesn't look like they have a coherent plan for that, now the new Iran that rises from this conflict will be determined to make the nuke, as they should. Killing old leaders that were corrupt and Mossad-inflitrated to replace them with extremely determined hardliners was a really bad idea.
We'll see. I previously expressed concern that if his son took over, he might continue his father's Fatwa but in general, I believe it became harder to sell to the Iranian public and all non-infiltrated officials that Iran should seek peace and avoid nuclear weapons.How do you know next one is not worse?
Based on previous cases like the president, the replacement is likely a traitor. You could say in the last war the sentiment for a dove is unlikely yet it is exactly what happened.We'll see. I previously expressed concern that if his son took over, he might continue his father's Fatwa but in general, I believe it became harder to sell to the Iranian public and all non-infiltrated officials that Iran should seek peace and avoid nuclear weapons.
Logistics companies in Dubai etc are saying they got food for only 10 days.What, are UAE, Bahrain and Qatar willing to regress to 19th century or starve to death just to stick it to Iran?
Iran hasn't claimed responsibility for any attacks on public infrastructure. There was an attack on Jebel Ali Port in UAE, but I don't know if Iran claimed responsibility.Welp so far Iran hadnt targeted any water plants in the gcc etc, now though???
There is one behavior of the Nazis that Israelis haven't been able to replicate: fighting their own wars.Israel is essentially the unofficial successor of Nazi Germany by this point, so why not copy their behaviors down to a tee? Now Netanyahu just needs to grow a toothbrush mustache and they're all set.
It may also be that US deliberately refused to defend the Arabs in order to goad them into war against Iran, to which the Arabs have been reluctant so far. But I feel the Arabs will join in, unfortunately.Real lesson is actually even simpler: never hold back due to diplomacy. Don't ever worry about mutual defense treaties or any other nonsense, if you are powerful enough they will look for 1000 cope reasons to not jump in.
Iran struck multiple US treaty allies. Did they jump in? Did they form a coalition of the willing? Or were they too scared and called deescalation immediately?
Did US escalate? No, their escalation is ability constrained not willpower constrained. Did they increase sorties to hit Iran harder and punish Iran? No, because their capability to launch sorties was decreased.
