2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

[manqiangrexue]

Similar outcome to Lebanon.

Israel will bomb them into submission. Iran will join negotiation table once civilian casualties and material damage become unbearable and sign a deal on humiliating terms. More high profile IRCG commanders and principalist politicians will be taken out. I don't foresee a regime change in a sense that Pahlavi will return to Iran and monarchy will be restored, but I think Israel and US will look to lift up the likes of Rouhani, Pezeshkian and Aranghchi. It's not a coincidence that Israel let them live.

Now now, that's the old Iran. Let's give the new Iran a chance to show what they're made of. Eversince the killing of their old leadership with the old man of flowers, they have refused to negotiate, refused to stop fighting, and there is no Fatwa holding them back from nuclear development anymore. Looks optimistic so far, but let's see if they can take it all the way. This is exactly the right time, too, because they have the chance to prove their worth, right at the time when America's main challenger is developing its military for global reach.

 

[AlexYe]

It's not a coincidence that Israel let them live.

Israel tried to target Iranian president multiple times, even yesterday they attacked the building his office is at, same for FM.

. Air superiority does not mean air supremacy.

Good point but one would expect with 400 israeli planes and 400 US planes plus all the others providing 'defense' that atleast ATLEAST there wont Iranian planes flying, Keep in mind there has been NO report of air-to air kill from either side (us n israel) against iranian planes,
The only ones they have shown/claimed are ones on land.

SOF is the likely ground work only.

Yeah I think they have a special operation planned with marines etc maybe to nab the enrichment uranium

If the October strikes

Dont you mean june? Did something happen in october?

I don't see missiles flying from Iran as much.

What ?? Iran hasnt slowed down firing missiles n drones at all, just 2 hours ago they fired at telaviv-haifa , at kuwait, jordan again.

industrial capabilities would be extremely difficult to

Part of irans missiles production and drone production facilities are inside mountains (old videos they posted) they cant be destroyed via airstrikes.
Israel defense minster staffer was saying yesterday that they destroy the entrances but iranians dig them up again in few hours.

 

[Intention]

It's mentioned in the Quran, in the context of the antichrist (dajal), but not in the book of Revelation. Biblical references to Persia come mostly from the Tanakh and in relation to the end of the Babylonian Exile of the Hebrews through Cyrus the Great.

Perhaps this is better reserved for a different thread though. The religious talk has dragged on for a couple pages now and is only superficially related to the war in Iran right now.

I agree this is only tangentially related but just as a point of clarification, Isfahan is not mentioned in the Quran. It is mentioned in Sahih Muslim but that isn't viewed as authoritative for Shia. There are some Shia traditions that mention it as well I believe but they are not as prominent.

In general, it is unusual for Muslims to be that concerned with eschatology other than saluting venerated figures. The idea of working towards the return of awaited figures through completing end times prophecies is not a major current that I have seen at all. Even politically, struggles are framed as against injustice or evil not as fulfilling requirements.

The attitude is generally that your death is certain so be more concerned with that, and if you are good then you won't have to fear, and if you aren't nothing will save you.

 

[anzha]

Good point but one would expect with 400 israeli planes and 400 US planes plus all the others providing 'defense' that atleast ATLEAST there wont Iranian planes flying, Keep in mind there has been NO report of air-to air kill from either side (us n israel) against iranian planes,
The only ones they have shown/claimed are ones on land.

The Coalition in the Gulf War had something like 2,300 fixed wing aircraft and the Iraqis still flew missions. 800? Even with modern technology? uhm.

Dont you mean june? Did something happen in october?

Probably. I've had a wild last 9 months. Doing 90 to 100 hour weeks when you're not in your 20s or 30s can be a wee bit rough.

 

[bagi]

The only ones they have shown/claimed are ones on land.

Even the TWO mig-21 destruction on the ground claim is very likely BS. It would have been a great PR win to show it in footage.

If they could so precisely know what they destroyed, they should have shown it. If they have intelligence inside the IRGC/artesh/IRIAF to know it and the IRGC/artesh/IRIAF are such a swiss cheese, they should show something, leaked.

 

[another505]

i wish people stop commenting that " we see less blah blah happening so etc." because it is pointless, that is all about your perception and your internet feed. We here in SDF nor any mainstream/underground media can tell you the answer how many actual ballistic missile/drone attacks are happening. How many iranian ballistic missiles there actually are or how many interceptors are there left.

 

[iewgnem]

On polymarket, there is 40% chance that Iran regime will collapse by June. I don't see missiles flying from Iran as much. It leads me to believe that their missile count is low. Right now, I don't think they are producing missiles at normal rate since their underground production facilities are getting bombed.

At the end, Iran will become more like Lebanon hezbollah, unable to hit back hard but only can offer word of encouragement.

Or you can just look at Yemen and then remember the petro dollar would not survive even if Iran turns into Yemen, and Iran is orders of magnitudes more fortified than Yemen.

With Russian energy gone and most of ME cut off, there is currently a clock ticking on the collapse on majority of western economies right now.

 

[sunnymaxi]

MACRON: France cannot approve military actions by US and Israel ..

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028908799776485506

 

[ForcedTrend]

this is who they are

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1856774955372818446

 

[ZeEa5KPul]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2028860385327989241

Operation Epstein Epic Fury is not a war, it's a "special combat operation." A lot of people are saying it's the most special combat operation, can you believe it? Nobody has special combat operations like we have, believe me.