China has been tightlipped about what goes on in Red Sword or even Golden Helmet (far less opsec) since the start of the 2020s.Decent enough overview of the state of the PLAAF and AVIC's production capacities, as well as some space stuff:
China has been tightlipped about what goes on in Red Sword or even Golden Helmet (far less opsec) since the start of the 2020s.Decent enough overview of the state of the PLAAF and AVIC's production capacities, as well as some space stuff:
Satellite stills from said exercises, presumably from the video above.
If we ignore the complete omission of Hongdu's giant new facility East of Nanchang, and the coping about J-35, it was a good effort.The imagery tracking the 2025 aerial large force exercises were probably the most illuminating and valuable, decent effort.
What do Hongdu even build nowadays? AFAIK, it's really only GJ-11 and some missiles right now. JL-10 production is stalled due to a lack of engines as far as last year from the Chahuahui episode on the open day event.If we ignore the complete omission of Hongdu's giant new facility East of Nanchang, and the coping about J-35, it was a good effort.
GJ-11 is a big deal. Arguably the best UCAV in the world.What do Hongdu even build nowadays? AFAIK, it's really only GJ-11 and some missiles right now. JL-10 production is stalled due to a lack of engines as far as last year from the Chahuahui episode on the open day event.
Decent enough overview of the state of the PLAAF and AVIC's production capacities, as well as some space stuff:

I thought JL-10 was using domestic WS-17 engines now? There's also the new JL-XX. And I expect the PLA's demand for GJ-11/21 is very strong. Anyway the new facility is huge, and they built it for a reason:What do Hongdu even build nowadays? AFAIK, it's really only GJ-11 and some missiles right now. JL-10 production is stalled due to a lack of engines as far as last year from the Chahuahui episode on the open day event.

I don't see how PLAAF can be continually adding 4th generation aircraft as he is showing here.View attachment 170268
Interesting video! Thanks for sharing.
According to the speaker, retired USN Commander , who had previously served as the Assistant US Naval Attache in Beijing ():
- AVIC will be producing 250 to 300 4th and 5th generation fighters annually by 2027 (he probably actually meant 4.5 and 5th generation fighters).
- Under the "worst case numbers" scenario for the US, the PLAAF and PLANAF will have as many fighters as the USAF, USN and USMC combined by 2028.
- "By 2029, China will have the largest fighter force on the planet and will continue to grow."
I don't see how PLAAF can be continually adding 4th generation aircraft as he is showing here.
In fact, their numbers should start dropping. 2500 4th generation aircraft doesn't seem possible. By 2030, it looks like he is projecting about 1000 5th generation aircraft for PLAAF + PLANAF, which seems reasonable.

