Zaporizhzhya is the more strategically important of all the provinces. Crimea is like a giant unsinkable aircraft carrier dominating the Black Sea. It secures Russia's southern flank. NATO desires the bases there as it allows a NATO naval battlegroup to operate at this southern belly. Zaporizhzhya provides an important logistical land bridge to Crimea, and every buffer added to that and on South Donetsk, secures Crimea to Russia further. This isn't going to end until Russia takes the Zaporizhzhya capital and sweeps across Dnipropetrovosk.
Dnipropetrovosk is next due to Pavlograd being the main logistical center of eastern Ukraine pass the Dnipro River. Not only that it has important electrical power power plants, gas refineries, air bases, and MIC infrastructure.
Conventional wisdom assumes Russian army wants Drobophilia and the Shakhove sector so they can sweep through the remaining Donetsk and outflank Konstantinovka. Hence so much AFU effort to stop the Russian breach head in this sector. This wisdom fails to assume if the Russians breakthrough at the south of Pokrovsk, they could sweep across at the back of the entire thing anyway.
There isn't any big city in the South anymore that serves as a big fortified obstacle for the Russians, but enough settlements and forests that can serve as stepping stones and staging areas to hide from drones, install artillery, drone units and logistics points for short arrow offensives to the next settlement or forest patch.
Dnipropetrovosk is next due to Pavlograd being the main logistical center of eastern Ukraine pass the Dnipro River. Not only that it has important electrical power power plants, gas refineries, air bases, and MIC infrastructure.
Conventional wisdom assumes Russian army wants Drobophilia and the Shakhove sector so they can sweep through the remaining Donetsk and outflank Konstantinovka. Hence so much AFU effort to stop the Russian breach head in this sector. This wisdom fails to assume if the Russians breakthrough at the south of Pokrovsk, they could sweep across at the back of the entire thing anyway.
There isn't any big city in the South anymore that serves as a big fortified obstacle for the Russians, but enough settlements and forests that can serve as stepping stones and staging areas to hide from drones, install artillery, drone units and logistics points for short arrow offensives to the next settlement or forest patch.