Some interesting claims about the new tank:
The poster is well known for his insider knowledge on Chinese civil aviation. He is also a frequent contributor to Guancha. Take the necessary dose of salt as you need.
Many technologies used in this "double absurd" model (DA thereafter) were originally developed but too expensive for type 15. This still sends the DA model's price through the roof even today. PLAGF will not be able to replace all the old tanks (the 96 variants?) with it because of the high cost.
The DA model's emphasis on ISR does not mean its design has neglected fire power and protection. The new 105mm APFSDS ammo can somewhat rival the current 125mm one. On certain directions and certain areas, DA has similar protection against AP as the current generation MBTs.
The crew of the DA model has only two members due to highly automated systems, including data and intelligence processing.
DA has a hybrid powertrain. This is nothing new by now.
some of this seems rather ridiculous, like the part about Type 15 finding it too expensive, so PLAGF will not be able replace old tanks with it.
Well, when Type 15 was developed, these sensors probably did have way too expensive cost, but that's no longer the case now. In fact, we saw all these sensors on all the UGVs and VT-5U at Zhuhai airshow. How do you go autonomous in the future without the sensors?
They in fact probably will not replace old tanks with it, because we just don't need as many crewed tanks in the future when UGVs will be increasingly important. Try to hit a small UGV with really good sensors & powerful motors and no thermal signature. It's just so much harder.
I also think it's bullshit to say the fire power and protection didn't decline. Okay, I'm sure new generation tech means your protection gets better with lighter and thinner material, but that's still not the same as what you would get on a 60-70t tank. Fundamentally, this is a shift toward network centric warfare and autonomous assets. Yes, this armored vehicle needs to be well protected, because any command node with crew member has to be well protected. Without it, all the unmanned assets will lose some effectiveness since they would need to rely on command nodes further away or more jammable satellite communication
The entire point of this is that you probably will target the enemy tank with bombs/missiles launched from autonomous asset in front or artillery further back.
just read through the article
"它的威力不在于它的炮,而是在于它身后看不到的各种远程火力"
the author is arguing that the new 4th gen mbt will co-exist with 3rd gen mbt by providing Enhanced Situational Awareness and provide recon for long range artillery.
the thing is, why does this need to be a tank? if it is supposed to be alongside other 3rd gens, why even give it a gun? just make a dedicated command/ recon tank. we already saw mengshi jeeps with such capabilities
"双离谱的两名坦克车组就是地上的飞行员"
also, the "fighter-bomber" analogy came from the assumption that there are only 2 crew. this, to my knowledge, was not confirmed.
you are right, it doesn't need to be a tank. You are essentially having a manned platform directing things closer to the action with enough protection and is very maneuverable and able to operate in different terrains. Ideally, it's a modular platform that can swap out weapon module on the chassis with different type of weapon modules.
That is solved through unmanned turrets which everybody seems to be heading towards regardless of caliber. At the end of the day, autoloader are more easily armored without increasing the turret volume to account for a crew.
they already have pretty large UGVs, but we are not at the point where UGVs can replace crew members, so we still need vehicles like this.
True though there are compromises derived from priorities in turn derived from doctrine. Bigger gun = bigger ammunition = more internal volume = heavier tank for the same level of protection. It makes sense if you are expecting to fight a land war in your vicinity while you don´t need to transport large amounts of tanks via airplanes or shipping. Thats why theres a case for huge guns to be used in Europe by European countries. China´s strategic situation is much different.
right, think about the need to transport vehicles to Tibet for an Indian scenario. It's so much easier to have lighter tanks that you can transport with your Y-20s along with a UGV & smaller drones. You can also transport spare parts more easily for lighter vehicles.