i never said, total manufacturing output automatically translate into missiles/weapons but the point is, there is no comparison between Iran and China.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
China has huge manufacturing output, but we need to see how much of that is devoted to actual weapons production. Actually very little.
China produces 30 million cars per year but barely produces 100 tanks. China's total Jet fighter production is like 150 per year. Again a very small number compared to its huge production of millions of chips, machinery, civillian ships, components and so on.
That's why I have been saying how China needs to increase its military budget to boost up the numbers produced per year. Current production per year is proportional to the low GDP % (1.5) China is spending on the military.
When you compare China's spending on infrastructure and how much roads, Bridges, rail China constructs or how much civillian vehicles, machines and other stuff they make, it becomes obvious that China is indeed producing very low numbers of weaponry compared to its potential.
So China has 65x more missiles than Iran? I am talking about missile swarms/production on my last post.
I am not talking about GDP or total manufacturing output that includes EV cars, bridges, high speed trains etc.
"When you compare China's spending on infrastructure and how much roads, Bridges, rail China constructs or how much civillian vehicles, machines and other stuff they make, it becomes obvious that China is indeed producing very low numbers of weaponry compared to its potential."
China's military budget is a small piece in the national budget. Within the military budget, China wants to produce many things out of it including carrier, destroyers, warplanes so that leaves little money for missile production.
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Each carrier has around 14 F-35C onboard and the most carriers the US can deploy to a region is 2-3 so that is 28-42 F-35C the US can realistically have in Taiwan scenario. But given the fact China has hundreds of “carrier killers” (DF-21d) the US would try to stay atleast 1,000 nm from Chinas coast that is very risky for the F-35c to fly.
like you said, China spends a tiny proportion of its GDP, relative to other countries, on defence. What that means is if it wants, it can easily double or triple its defence spending. that it hasn't done so means it has determined what is being spent now is sufficient.
How many F-35As could the US realistically have in a Taiwan scenario? (sic)
Not alot. The phillpines house zero F-35, and Japan only houses less than 50 but those are up north so those are pretty nonexistent in any war and South Korea has none. So the most they could realistically do is 43 on their 3 carriers what is about the most they can deploy to any region at any given time. But given the fact that carriers would need to stay atleast 1,000 miles away from China to avoid sinking the F-35 would be close to useless against China.
How many F35s could the US realistically station and field in their own Kadena and Futenma air bases?
It's probably zero. These bases are probably deemed too vulnerable to attack so the US won't base any F-35s or F-22s there. These planes need special facilities to ease maintenance so if these facilities don't exist now, then they'll probably have to be built before it's practical to transfer fighters there.
They can field around 48-72 F-35 there but Futenma realistically cannot field alot due to runway limitations that’s why it’s mostly used for helicopters but given Kadena is 1,000 miles from China, 2 types of ballistic missiles can hit it DF-21 and DF-26 and some cruise missiles.