So China will release these in Xiamen and Quanzhou where the ROC military leadership will be? Also, San Francisco and Seattle where the Taiwan government leaders will be?
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
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I'm so fucking tired of reading that China would not destroy the semi fabs on Taiwan. This obsession with China's dependence on cutting edge semiconductors is completely stupid. If cutting edge semiconductors become unavailable, we would resort to less advanced and legacy semiconductors—which are dominated by China.
Sanction or attack China after Taiwan's fabs go boom? That's a good way to go from degraded tech to no tech at all. Applause. Brilliant play.
Sanction or attack China after Taiwan's fabs go boom? That's a good way to go from degraded tech to no tech at all. Applause. Brilliant play.
It's a fiction that the Americans are trying to tell themselves. That China wants Taiwan for the semiconductors therefore it's possible to dissuade them from going through with it. Nevermind that China has wanted Taiwan since 1949, long before semiconductors were ever a product.
There are all sorts of wild scenarios about when and why China would attack Taiwan when anyone paying attention knows that it's not happening because China doesn't want to. And why would they? They're already getting most of the advantages of controlling Taiwan without having to fight, and if it does come down to a fight, China's chance of winning grows every single year. But if you listen to Western voices you'll basically never see anyone say it.
semiconductors is the key point for US/west "rally under the flag" when taiwan confict become real . because you can't rally american/western europe/australian/japanese/south korean with the true face off reason like
if we don't fight a ww3 with china now , they gonna break out 1st island chain design to contain them , they gonna control world most busy shipping lane , threaten our rule , our throne in pacific ocean and the world
only nut job will join the military or support a ww3 with china with those reason
but if you say : let fight china and help taiwan , save the semiconductor industy if you refuse china gonna control most advantage tech industry : no chip = no car , no washing machine , no TV , playstation , xbox , smartphone ...etc for your every daily life anymore
that gonna work much better , people fear the thing threaten their daily life comfort way more than some distance geopolitic issue
if china want to prevent this : taiwan semiconductor industry must be destroy first before invasion , or blockable even start
because there are no benefit doing after US/nato/west/japan already successful using it to rally their nations enter the war with china
once their nation enter the war that mean no chicken out because soldier die , ship sunk . aircraft shot down , military/nation pride under attack , superpower , most powerful military allied on earth lose face again "temu , wish.com ,cheap copy communist" their alway look down upon so most citizen will have no choice but to support the war
This reminds me of a funny conversation I had with an Iraq War veteran
I asked him what motivated him to fight in Iraq since all justifications for the war were exposed to be made up
he gave me the most clueless response that "they were commies" or something which absolutely makes no sense, I think the same will go for the majority of US servicemembers
So this is why I think the emphasis China puts on ideological education is really important
Because when US soldiers start dying left and right in the scs they would be in for a surprise that their sacrifice and PTSD is for snapdragon x2 elite
Their bravery only shows when they are fighting a weak enemy like Iraq. Definitely won't be the same for China
The US thinks if they arm Taiwan it will stop China from attempting AR. Arming Taiwan won’t prevent China but they don’t understand how patriotic Chinese people are. You thought they would learn in Korea but clearly they didn’t. But now China is way more technologically advanced than they were in the 50s
armed taiwan to the teeth isn't to stop china but to buy time for US and allied rally their own citizen support for the war
because they predict china will not have the will to destroy entire taiwan semiconductor industry first before blockable or invasion > remove entirely key strong point US/allied depend on to rally their people support the war
no normal citizen in US , japan , europe gonna support a ww3 with china if that world domination semiconductor industry no longer there to protect .
in this scenario any if US japan europe or australian new president still want a ww3 with china , they gonna get vote out of office the next day
Mainland China does not need to destroy Taiwan Province's semiconductor industry because after reunification, the U.S. sanctions originally imposed on China will also apply to Taiwan Province's semiconductor industry. Therefore, Taiwan Province's chip industry will no longer have the capability to produce advanced process technologies. SMIC will become the world's top semiconductor foundry.
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I don't know if you're familiar with Battletech, but suffice to say that even in the real world, many policymakers don't consider it that absurd to do exactly this.
So what