The Kashmir conflict 2025.

Tomboy

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3 rafale

1 one with M88 engine & tail in a farm field crash site, second explosion kills bystanders
2 one with Rafale specific launch rail, a video clip shot in the dark
3 one with a French drop tank in a front yard, crash roofs in surroundings

2 Russia jet crash site, and one likely Mirage2000 crash site picture of engine and nose dome.
I'm ngl but the M88 and the Tailfin seem to be from the same field look at the vegetation
 

bsdnf

Junior Member
Registered Member
3 rafale

1 one with M88 engine & tail in a farm field crash site, second explosion kills bystanders
2 one with Rafale specific launch rail, a video clip shot in the dark
3 one with a French drop tank in a front yard, crash roofs in surroundings

2 Russia jet crash site, and one likely Mirage2000 crash site picture of engine and nose dome.
No, the pylons, engines, and vertical tail were all found in the same location, clearly the same Rafale

fuel tank belongs to Mirage, as evidenced by the engine in the same location
 

Expert1324

New Member
Registered Member
China should add a self-destruct function on the PL-15E for the scenario when it goes undetonated, and it only triggers after the Indians bring it into their science labs.

edit: people are claiming the PL 15 pieces are enough for india to reverse engineer it... doesnt sound good at all
 

GiantPanda

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Can you please link any evidence to the 7 claims?

Up till now I've only heard claims of 5 fighter jet kills, +1 drone. The drone was also confirmed with wreckage footage.

From what I gathered, claims not evidenced (yet):

Rafale: 3
Su-30MKI: 1
MiG-29: 1
Jaguar: 1
M2K: 1

Various tweets on M2K and Jaguar -- the Rafale, MKI and MiG-29 tweets are legion so will not bother with those.

 

Deino

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xyz4321

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In 2019, the IAF lost a MiG-21 on the Pakistani side of the border. This means other IAF fighters probably penetrated Pakistani airspace too, though likely only briefly, in 2019.
The way I remember the incident was that the Mig-21 was heavily jammed with major comms disruption which mistakenly led it across the border. And the pilot had no idea about it; once he ejected and landed on the ground, he was picked up local Pakistani Kashmiris; thinking they were Indians, he shouted Jai Hind and got beat up. << this was all captured on video.

____
May 9
Supposedly, F-16 tracking Harop
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IMG_20250509_075034_854.jpg

The intact Harop captured, hinting EW intercept
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IMG_20250509_075213_221.jpg
Why is this $10 million, while the Shahed-136 is just $20k?

There's no way they'll be delivered that soon. China has zero operational J-35. It's not even confirmed in LRIP yet. They're not gonna build out Pakistan's order before they get them in some number to the PLAAF/PLAN. We face threats a lot more serious than the IAF! Then it takes time to train and form combat doctrine with them as well. After they go into true mass production, an export variant is going to be created, and that is where Pakistan's order will start to be filled. Worry not, in the mean time, it appears those extra 36 J-10CE will hold you down plenty well if it's India you face.

That order... might have some problems.
Afaik, PAF hasn't recieved 36 yet. More like half that number.

Not trying to be a killjoy, but someone needs to say this out loud.

The Chinese MIC, blessed by PAF competence and IAF misadventurism, has a lot to be proud about right now.

However, a single air battle doesn't make the J-10CE infallible or the Dassault Rafale unredeemable. There are going to be many, many sorties to come.

Sooner or later, might be the day after tomorrow or a decade from now, the PAF is going to lose a J-10 or two. Such is the nature and rhythm of warfare.

So let's not gloat too hard! :cool:
I'm sure a big part of IAF's failure is due to non-exposure to JF-17 and J-10, unlike PAF who has trained with Egyptian, UAE, Saudi, Qatari and probably Chinese Rafale, M2K, Su-30, Mig-29, and whatever other relics IAF has (Jaguar and Mig-21). Upon receiving the J-10, PAF immediately went to exercises with foreign countries.
This is my problem with decision-making. In 2019 PAF could have put down 4 aircraft, but took only 2 shots - Mig-21 & SU-30 MKI.

2 nights ago, PAF could have shot 10-12 IAF aircraft, but chose to target only 5-6. I do not understand the value of this restraint from PAF. It reduces the effectiveness of results & signals a certain apprehension about escalation. To deal with a bully, a punch in the face is better than a slap. You put the fear of God in the other person for being evil. PAF does enjoy a psychological edge, but this obsession with restraint is not only counter-productive but an own-goal is some ways. If the other aircraft are in the air with a threat, they should be shot down.

Showing restraint in 2019 led to India making political moves without fear. Showing restraint now will also come back to us. The blow must be so hard that the other party forgets all their plans. Pakistan can not combat a certain negative perception in Western world by showing useless restraint & leadership must focus on portraying ourselves as aggressive & resilient. This world does not respect restraint. It respects power & intent.
Harder blow can cause harder introspection, correction, self-assessment. If PAF has found easily exploitable weaknesses with Rafale and other jets, then it's probably better to put the IAF in a position where they keep current stock. Otherwise, if PAF shot a dozen down in one go, it may force India to seek a newer platform for which PAF will have to restart counter training.
Despite getting hit repeatedly, Pakistan hasn't performed its retaliatory strike. I feel it's a sign of Pakistan showing too much timidity and defensiveness in the face such overwhelming Indian aggression.

Just cause India launched air launched missiles doesn't mean Pakistan must also launch air launched missiles which is one of the weak spots for Pakistan. They probably don't have very long range air launched cruise missiles.

They can probably go asymmetric and use ground launched cruise missiles. Although this might lead to similar Indian attacks, they way India keeps escalating, this might be inevitable.
There are some operations that aren't being exposed much on media. The artillery fire from Pak Army into Kashmir is causing a lot of damage and India isn't reporting on it much. Many indians have claimed it is because those regions are Muslim and BJP doesn't care what happens to them. Reciprocal artillery fire from India is largely missing. Indian artillery, as i remember, is weaker than Pakistan's in both quality and quantity. I have not seen any reports of damage inside Pakistan from Indian artillery.
My gut feeling is the same — we should keep a close watch on the Kashmir region. Yesterday, they nearly dismantled the Jammu Air Base, which suggests that something significant might be unfolding.

Given that over 700,000 Indian Army personnel are stationed in the area, the situation warrants serious attention.


Fingers crossed.
Most of the 700,000 is stationed inside the Kashmir valley. Jammu is outside it, and the road to the valley isn't an easy one. Outside the valley, Indian Army, BSF and other forces total around 50k - 75k in Jammu, Samba, Nagrota and Akhnoor. Every road in the mountains is a major bottleneck and troop movement is limited. If the airport is rendered inoperable in Jammu, that will limit troop movement significantly. The other road to Jammu comes from the south east, from Panjab, along a narrow corridor of 8-15km sandwiched between mountains and the Pak border. It's these regions that are being targetted by Pak artillery.
Screenshot_20250509_085302_Google Earth.jpgScreenshot_20250509_085155_Google Earth.jpg
Mind my poor editing skill

Big circle: Kashmir valley, surrounded by mountains on all sides.
Small circle: Jammu, outside the valley.
1. Akhnoor
2. Nagrota
3. Jammu
4. Samba

This flight detour pathway gives a hint of where operations are occurring.
Screenshot_20250509_084713_Flightradar24.jpg
Traffic accident… yeah I’m not buying that.
They did not specify air traffic or vehicle traffic. Could be air traffic with jets scrambling to return to base.

Courageous local yokels in Lahore, Pakistan appear to be engaging visiting Indian drones with indigenous artisanal firearms!

Not sure if they hit anything, but great to see Indian drones bringing the local community together. Looks like they had fun!
Didn't i tell you everyone carries guns in this country?
 

Randomuser

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