Miscellaneous News

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Russia air/ground power is second to None. you can only get this picture by studying Arabic Soft power which EU is not paying attention. Perhaps EU should directly ask Arabs. Russian have made life easier for them by releasing so much material in Arabic but the dense minds of EU cannot understand it after three years.
Russia is doing so much more than just defeating Ukraine so the duration of war is not measurement of effectiveness of combat performance. and that so much more is more than most people realize.
This Russia infrastructure minister who did Early Feb visit to Russian controlled Ukraine to see the progress of reconstruction.
but few weeks later met Uzbek President to discuss construction sector. That Russian minister not just deal with Construction he deals with Muslim conferences and much more to transform the region through North-South. the Hard and Soft power of that one religion is on the ground in Ukraine. its a Permanent knock out punch.
Russia has the industrial capacity to fight a grinding war and the nuclear deterrence to make sure that no one will attack that industrial capacity.
 

GZDRefugee

Senior Member
Registered Member
Europe's economy is shambolic and it's only going to get worse. With Trump, Russia and China teaming up to enact economic pressure (export of energy just one of them) on EU, it would implode.

I reiterate, game theory is very simple. EU will always side with the US against China, just wait for the next Democrat to do an Obama-style apology tour and joint China-containment agenda would continue. So if they are always going to side with the US, why not take this golden opportunity and smash it?

No need to be visible though, China can always be the knife in the dark. Let Trump lead his megaphone diplomacy and start sanctioning EU, let EU "defend" Ukraine and provoke Russia and then massively provide weaponry to Putin to bleed and kill EU in Ukraine.

In the meantime, when Trump tariffs EU, China should also jointly tariff EU, digital market rules, environment rules, etc, just find an excuse. In the same time, let Trump threaten nations which export energy into the EU and further sanction EU energy imports.
Wouldn't be surprised if EU imploded within a single year.

You think that it's impossible for EU to crumble so easily? There is a reason why the world's biggest fear ain't US or China being hegemon. Their greatest fear is a G2 arrangement where they could unite forces to deal with someone. Now throw Russia into the mix and it's gg. Just a temporary joining of hands ofc, no permanent alliance

It all depends on diplomacy though, China shouldn't appear at any circumstances to be provoking fights. Just stage a good enough victim and righteous show. Let Trump and Putin do the dirty work
Garden vs jungle. My money's on the side with teeth and claws.
 

Hyper

Junior Member
Registered Member
She has literally zero power. Foreign policy in EU is controlled by a combination of large corporations. If they feel they need to pivot then these bureaucrats have to get out of the way. Always has been like that. If they had any power EU would be more powerful than the current disunity. VW and Total probably have more say than any diplomat.
 

Hyper

Junior Member
Registered Member
Everything hinges on tariffs. If tariffs go through then VW, BASF, Total will force policy changes without concerns of any diplomats. EU was created as an extension of ECC. It is a trade union first and foremost. I will definitely see a lot of changes in EU leadership. She will probably be replaced.
 

Randomuser

Major
Registered Member
The best way is to play the split of European Union, that is the final nail to the centro european industry, I say as a Spanish with no love for them.

China just need to earse Germany as a possible competitor, and for that nothing better than take away countries away from their control.

For example, why as I spanish I have to pay 30% tariffs in chinese cars. I want to buy chinese cars since they are cheap. I dont want to support high salaries in German industry paying overpriced cars. (I know what I talk about I worked there and in Switzerland).

China should keep competition with Germany in the world, should put tariffs to German cars similar to the ones the EU impose in them and should try to break countries like Spain, Portugal or Greece from the common market and add them to kind of a Chinese consumer market.

Eastern European states should be given to Russia (and across Russia anyway they are in Chinese market) and let the US remain controlling France, Germany, Netherlands..

Basically China needs to promote tensions within the EU, and that is notoriously easy, you just need to read a bit of European history to understand the different breaking points

But with China having each time more technology and better products
It sounds harsh. But at this point, the time for letting them off is done. One year ago Europe was yapping so loud like a Chihuahua and now they suddenly want to make good with China? By doing that they have showed they have absolutely no sincerity. They would be more honorable being full blown Nazis at this point because they will at least be honest.

When they decided to support Taiwan independence and other movements against China despite it being not their business, it showed what they truly are. When they beg China to help, they are deep down mocking it while waiting for the next senile democrat Joe Biden to come to power to write them a blank cheque.

Next time they wont be able to weasel their way out since all the exit routes will be sealed off.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
Predict:
Zelensky resigns
Ukraine talks directly to Russia
Why talk to Russia via the US and Europe? They are only looking out for themselves.
No NATO for Ukraine ever
Occupied territories become autonomous regions of Ukraine.
Russian language recognized as another official language in Ukraine.
Yeah that boat has sailed.
As the Chinese saying goes: one cannot take on the negotiating table what one cannot take by force.

If Trump actually halt weapons, which is questionable, but if he does, Ukraine is done and Donbas is the least of their problems.

Remember Russia had 3 objectives for their SMO and they're still sticking to it: De-militarization, De-nazification and Donbass.
Donbas is just one of the three, demilitarization means total disarment and Russian control of military, and de-nazification means elimination of all pro-west entities.

The best Ukraine can hope for is they're still officially a country instead of a Russian oblast.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
Someone who sees it the way I do!

The question is how. At the moment, China can't do much beyond economic pressure. Perhaps an under-the-table deal with Trump to goad him into moving forwards with his Greenland ambitions? Force Europe into managing two separate fronts while the raw inputs needed to ramp up defence production are cut off?
Economic pressure from China and destruction of European industry is more than enough and arguably the most effective way to destroy Europe as a competitor forever. Industrial base, institutional knowhow and infrastructure cost far more and take far longer than rebuilding a defeated army, and without which they cannot rebuild the army they lost in Ukraine.

The biggest challenge to this whole idea is actually European strategy of "you can't kill me if I kill myself", e.g. cutting off one's own energy supply at start of war is a tactic few has counter for.
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Hegseth Warned of Military Action if Mexico Fails to Meet Trump’s Border Demands​

MEXICO CITY—It was the first call U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth held with Mexico’s top military officials, and it wasn’t going well.

Hegseth told the officials that if Mexico didn’t deal with the collusion between the country’s government and drug cartels, the U.S. military was prepared to take unilateral action, according to people briefed on the Jan. 31 call.

Mexico’s top brass who were on that call were shocked and angered, feeling he was suggesting U.S. military action inside Mexico, these people said. The Defense Department declined to comment.

Hegseth’s private warning—echoed by other Trump administration officials—now looms over Mexico’s trade talks with President Trump. Their fear: Demands that Mexico end fentanyl smuggling and migrant trafficking are quietly backed by potential U.S. military action—and not just 25% tariffs that would cripple the country’s economy.

Trump said those tariffs would go into effect on Mexico and Canada—the U.S.’s two biggest trading partners—on

Tuesday, along with another 10% on China, sparking a mad dash among those countries in recent days to find a way to head off the levies.

“We still have three days,” Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said early on Friday. A spokesman for Sheinbaum declined to comment on January’s call with Hegseth.

Senior Mexican officials are focusing on delivering tangible results on the border and drugs that Trump can see as signs of progress, but there are worries that it won’t be easy to avoid tariffs as it was on Feb. 3, when Sheinbaum got a monthlong reprieve by sending 10,000 National Guard troops to the border.

In a post on his social-media platform Truth Social on Thursday, Trump said “drugs are still pouring into our Country from Mexico and Canada at very high and unacceptable levels.” Tariffs would go into effect “until it stops, or is seriously limited,” he said.

Mexico’s extraordinary handover this week of 29 drug gang bossesfacing charges in the U.S. marks another concession for Trump, said former U.S. officials.

Another concession floated by Mexican officials involves one common trade rival: China. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg TV on Friday that one “very interesting proposal” the Mexican government has made was matching the U.S. on China tariffs.

A spokesman for Mexico’s Economy Ministry declined to comment.

The proposal comes after Mexican authorities have recently raided shops and confiscated Chinese-made electronics and other goods thought to have breached import rules. Mexico’s government has also halted plans by Chinese electric vehicle maker BYD to open a factory in the country, launched a program to substitute imports from China, and started antidumping probes into imports of various Chinese products.

“There’s a sense that Trump wants specific things,” such as troop deployment, said one person familiar with the bilateral talks.

This week, half a dozen Mexican cabinet ministers flew to Washington where they met with Hegseth and other U.S. officials on Thursday to give an account of the actions Mexico has taken to shut down the fentanyl trade. Even before the meeting started, Mexico had already begun the historic rendition of the Mexican capos, including Rafael Caro Quintero, a notorious drug boss who is accused of killing Drug Enforcement Agent Enrique “Kiki” Camarena in 1985.

Mexico’s Attorney General Alejandro Gertz said that the prisoner transfer was made at the request of the U.S. government on Thursday.

Mexico’s government approved the handover invoking the country’s national-security laws because the extradition of many of those criminals had been bogged down in Mexican courts, four decades in the case of Caro Quintero and 11 years in the case of another criminal sent to the U.S., Gertz said at a news conference on Friday.

He said the criminals represented a threat to both countries. “There’s no way to justify sanctions against Mexico,” Gertz said.

The State Department said Thursday’s meeting represented a new stage of bilateral security cooperation. “Both parties agreed upon the importance of making sure there was continued action beyond meetings and suggested the implementation of a timetable and touchbacks to target clear goals and sustainable results,” State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce said in a statement on Friday.

Canadian officials are now aiming to convince the Trump administration that they have reinforced their border. A delegation of Canadian officials visited Washington in recent days to make the case that fentanyl and drugs are under control on the northern border, but officials say they suspect the numbers don’t seem to matter to Trump.

Trump has no incentive to allow Canada and Mexico appear to have solved the border issues, said Barry Appleton, an international trade lawyer and co-director of the New York Law School’s Center for International Law. By declaring an emergency on the border, Trump has a lot of leeway to impose tariffs, he said.

“If he loses his emergency, he loses his authority,” said Appleton. “So there’s nothing that could ever be good enough for the president on that until the president gets what he really wants. He wants a number of crown jewels, but he hasn’t actually decided what they are.”

Senior Mexican officials believe that they can make a deal with Trump on trade and migration. But the military tension with the U.S. is something new that is far harder to solve.

Hegseth’s suggestion of a potential U.S. military action struck a raw nerve for Mexico’s generals, who are brought up on stories of past U.S. armed interventions, including the 1846 Mexican-American war that cost the country half its territory.

Since the Jan. 31 call, Hegseth has repeated the same message publicly, from the U.S.-Mexico border, which he visited a few days after the call, to the U.S. naval base in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, which he visited this week.

“We’re taking nothing off the table. Nothing,” he said when asked if he would rule out military strikes in Mexico.

The once-improbable scenario that the Trump administration could make good on its threats to take military action has reverberated in Washington.

On Thursday, a group of former U.S. and Mexican military and trade officials, congressional staffers, analysts and drug policy experts gathered around a long table on Capitol Hill for a three-hour exercise to lay out what would actually happen if the U.S. carried out military strikes in Mexico. The exercise mapped out severe economic disruptions between the two countries, border closings, violent flare-ups, and civil unrest on both sides of the border.

At the same time, it could endanger security collaboration to crack down on drug cartels, including programs that allow U.S. drones to feed intelligence to Mexican law enforcement.

That same day, a group of two dozen U.S. lawmakers released a resolution condemning “any call for U.S. military action in Mexico without authorization from the U.S. Congress and the consent of the Mexican government.” The document highlighted that any such action could trigger “severe bilateral consequences.”
Hegseth told the officials that if Mexico didn’t deal with the collusion between the country’s government and drug cartels, the U.S. military was prepared to take unilateral action,
“We’re taking nothing off the table. Nothing,” he said when asked if he would rule out military strikes in Mexico.

Coming soon. The US Territory of Mexico instead of 53rd State.
IMG-0375.jpg

And beside the previous news of Mexico actions about China. They are targeting Chinese companies. Depending on how Mexico goes forward. China should launch economic retaliation on all Mexican products.

The proposal comes after Mexican authorities have recently raided shops and confiscated Chinese-made electronics and other goods
Mexico’s government has also halted plans by Chinese electric vehicle maker BYD to open a factory in the country,
started antidumping probes into imports of various Chinese products.
 
Top