supercat
Colonel
LMAO
Massive deflation in China due to the over-financialization in China with a severely underdeveloped financial sector and money-centered politics. Instead of finance serving its proper role in facilitating corporate investment, it went to chase speculative unproductive investment in residential real estate (instead of being channeled in debt/equity markets to fund corporate capital structures); yet China did nothing to block these developments, for fear of upsetting the suburban Karen’s of Yangzhou who would’ve lost money.
Now that the real estate bubble has popped; there is no other place to channel household savings other than to deposits at insolvent banks paying no interest, and this has caused a complete collapse in consumer confidence and they are doing hordes of precautionary savings, thus simulatojslt causing more deflation and severe declines in corporate investment, and declining wages., causing the deflationary spiral to continue.
what’s more - it’s clearly feeding into growth, China’s growth at 4% in 2Q24 has made China’s growth positively Latin American/Japanese and what’s even more surprising - multiple US states are growing faster than China. Heck, even Texas, with a gdppc well above the U.S. is growing substantially faster than China
If you like to argue about China's economy, at least get the numbers right. China grew 4.7% in Q2 2024, not 4%. 4.7% is about 3-4 times quicker than Japan, most OECD, EU, and quite a few Latin American countries.
So? It means China has tremendous potential for further growth. Indeed, China will be one of the fastest growing large economies in the world for the foreseeable future. As for the US, it has rather poor quality of life and a subpar healthcare system compared to other developed countries, as indicated by its life expectancy. Usually, life expectancy is strictly, positively, correlated to per capita income. However, it's not the case for the US. Its life expectancy not only lags behind other rich countries, its life expectancy and healthy life expectancy are even shorter than China's, which is much less wealthy on a per capita basis.Because it’s poor - China’s GDP per capita is the lowest among the large economies
The U.S. has the lowest life expectancy among large, wealthy countries while it far outspends its peers on healthcare
China overtakes U.S. for healthy lifespan: WHO data
The problem with American oligarchies is that they just can't cope with the reality.
Why America Should Drop Its Obsession With Being No. 1
A letter from Singapore to the next U.S. president.
