Agreed, which was my whole point actually.Agreed that the wording by the Russians was pretty silly.
Won't fly. A carrier group is already in existance and is not an invasion force. The Russians already had peacekeepers in both provinces. The large invasion force takes a whole lot morer time to set up than a carrier group that exists as a matter of course. And having them right their next to the tunnel is the give away. They were waiting for something to happen, and the Georgian president played right into their hands.But there is always at least two ways to look at any given situation. You say the Russians were well prepared beforehand, and use that as evidence of premeditation. But one can just as easily say that the Russian deployments were meant to try and dissuade Georgia from making any ill advised moves, exactly the kind of reasoning the US gives for why it sends carrier battle groups into hot spots no? Given the growing tension and violence in the region leading up to the war, the Russians would have been pretty stupid not to increase their troop deployments to the boarder regions.
No mind control needed. It was the shelling of Georgian villages and killing of Gerogian civilians that percipitated the Georgian response. Not a premeditated "invasion." How can the invade their own province? They were reacting to seperatists in tha tprovince who upped the anty, and I believe they up'ed the anty in the hopes the Georgians would respond which wopuld give the Russians, who were styanding at the door, the pretext to come.I would also have to reject the whole 'Russia instigated the war' charge, because the Georgians launched a well planned per-meditated attack timed to coincide with the Beijing Olympics, when most of the world's leaders were in Beijing and not in a position to respond quickly to their attack. Unless the Russians have super secret mind control devices, you cannot pin the blame for starting the war on the Russians.
And they did.
The provinces in question were part of Gerogian soverign territory at the time. Seperatists were escalating fighting against Georgia. When Georgian civilians began being killed as an "ethnic cleansing," act, the Georgians acted to defend their own citizens in their own province.
After that, when the Georgians put that rebellion down, is when the Russians came in...about two days later. Far too qucik to assemble such a force as a response...unless it was already prepared to come in. Did Russian special forces shell the Gerogians? (No, very unlikely that) Did the rebellious province do so? (yes, that is what I believe), did the Gerogians kill their own? (Higly unlikely).
But, when the Georgian President ordered a full scale offensive against the province, he gave the Russians the pretext I believe they were looking for.
Look, this is simple stuff. The Russians had no intention of being blocked on the other side of those mountains with no access on the Georgian side to the Sea or to the oil. Now they have both, and are in essence, annexing those two former Georgian provinces.
That's what is was all about IMHO, and the Georgian President acted hotly (understandable given that his citizens were being killed), but also not a good overall move. He should have been more shrewd and appealed to the EU and UN and tried to get it all worked out that way becausue now he lost half his country anyway), which opened the door to the invasion.
Anyhow, enough "off topic" for me. It is what it is in Gerogia now, and is not likely to go back to the way it was any time soon.
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