TerraN_EmpirE
Tyrant King
So yesterday I voiced my opinion on the claims push for F15C/D retirement but why is there a case for it?
Holmes says a minimum of 100 new fighters are needed per year to reverse this situation and begin rejuvenating the force. He wants to expand the F-35A build rate to 60 per year, but only after it completes development, to avoid upgrade costs.
Air Force Assistant Vice Chief of Staff Gen. Stayce D. Harris tells Congress that the service cannot afford to drop below the minimum operational requirement of 55 fighter squadrons, and would rather grow to 60, about 2,100 aircraft. But it would prefer a healthy force of 55 fighter squadrons with enough pilots and maintainers to support operations than a stressed and undermanned force of 60 units.
ACC says it must retire some fleets to unlock money and personnel to transition to the F-35 and future PCA platform, while still modernizing the F-16 and F-22 fleets. The F-16 and F-15E Strike Eagle are relatively young, with plenty of service life left. The Air Force tried and failed to retire the Fairchild Republic A-10 Warthog, so the F-15C is the next obvious cut.
“We’re trying to work out that mix,” Holmes says. “One of those options is, what year does the F-15C go away?”
He says money being spent on F-22 upgrades will maintain its advantage over its Russia and China adversaries. “If the F-15s go away, eventually those F-22s will move into that role, so we need to get to Penetrating Counter-Air [for the high end],” he says.
PCA was born of the Air Force’s one-year Air Superiority 2030 study, which wrapped up last year. A follow-on 18-month analysis of alternatives will deliver its recommendations to ACC in 2018. Holmes says the Air Force is discussing various acquisition strategies and authorities with Congress to shorten or avoid the typically lengthy engineering and manufacturing development phase if the proposed aircraft is mature enough.
After the PCA study, the service hopes to move quickly into the prototyping and flyoff phase. The OA-X light-attack aircraft program is seen as a trailblazer for the next fighter buy.
Holmes wants to take advantage of the three-stream adaptive cycle engines being developed by and Pratt & Whitney under the Air Force Research Laboratory. However, the service could decide to field an initial batch of fighters sooner, powered by an existing engine, perhaps the F-22’s Pratt & Whitney supercruise propulsion system, he says.
He compared this type of acquisition plan to the Century Series during the Cold War, in which six distinct aircraft models were fielded in rapid succession—a mix of fighter-bombers and interceptors—each bringing improved capabilities.
John Venable, a former airman and defense policy analyst at The Heritage Foundation, does not believe the F-16 is a viable alternative to the F-15C, and it will take many years to complete the F-16 AESA radar upgrade anyway. He says radar size matters due to physics, and the F-15’s dish is significantly larger. There are not enough F-22As to fully assume the F-15’s role right away, and there is little hope of Lockheed restarting the production line, due to cost and dated technology. He doubts the Air Force can develop and field another aircraft in the time line needed before critical F-15C life-extension and force structure decisions must be made.
“The F-15C is still a great airplane,” Venable says. “It doesn’t have the maneuverability of the latest Russian aircraft or French , but the biggest thing it has going for it is tactics. What happens with those squadrons?”
The proposed retirement is a serious issue for the ANG, which is run by the states. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), whose state is home to the 104th Fighter Wing, an F-15C unit, raised the issue with Air Force leaders during a congressional hearing. They stressed it was predecisional, and the ANG’s adjutant generals are being consulted as studies continue.
John Goheen, a spokesman for the National Guard Association of the U.S., says the ANG would prefer to see these aircraft modernized, not retired. He acknowledges that the F-15C fleet presents a large bill at a time of constrained budgets and competing priorities, but the units in question are highly skilled in the air superiority mission, an Air Force core competency. “They provide the bulk of the defense of the nation’s air sovereignty and also deploy overseas,” he says. “These are busy aircraft and our preference would be for them to be modernized.”
The service says it is still studying the proposal, and cannot say how much it would save by retiring the fleet. The total operating cost of the F-15C/D fleet was $1.3 billion in fiscal 2016.
This issue would not affect the F15E fleet as those are manufactured differently.