They will switch their troops with Belarus when they will set a good sustainable defence line most likely.
Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
- Start date
- Status
The EU has a defense clause and it has members in NATO. So it would be Ukraine joining NATO by proxy. I think the Russians are making a mistake if they let them join the EU.
I can however understand that given the current situation in the terrain the Russians would be swapping the terrain they hold with the one in Donbass they haven't captured yet. And since Ukraine would give up on its territory lost to Russia and the Donbass in these conflicts then even if they join NATO the situation might be amenable to Russia. But if they start pulling shit like blocking water supply to Crimea or bombarding the Donbass then they will pay.
Right now the Ruble is close to the value it had before the war. Perhaps the Russian Central Bank is trying to increase liquidity in Russia now that foreign customers will need rubles. Otherwise they risk Russia itself having too few rubles in circulation and deflation. If the Russian Central Bank buys gold with rubles, then they will effectively be injecting more rubles into the system.
Azovstal was bombed with TOS-1 several days ago. At least part of it. From what I understand more Azov moved there afterwards though.
Well, this seems more like a cease fire in Kiev and Chernigov areas than a troop pullback. I heard yesterday that Russia was sending more troops into the East. I think they will be trying to make a push on the Ukrainian army on the field late this week.
As it is you can't buy much with those Euros. So I do not see the big advantage. Even the drug companies which claim to be still working are failing deliveries. What is the point of having all those Euros anyway? If you can't buy anything with them and they can just freeze them again just like they did with the Russian Central Bank reserves. Screw it.
I think the Russians will be making a strike on Nikolaev soon. If they do capture Nikolaev then Odessa is next.
It basically tied those units in that region to give the Russians free hand to do what they wanted East and South. Otherwise the Ukrainians could send units in Kiev to reinforce the other areas. Also like @plawolf said this way they prevented NATO sending a force via airplane or whatever similar to what the Russians did in Yugoslavia.
If it is true they will sign a peace just like that I think this will only cause another war later down the line. But then again this might be part of their calculus.
The West won't lift the sanctions. And Ukraine can't deliver that.
From an economy of force perspective the deal might make sense. But I think it will prove to be a bad idea in the long run.
Just like Finland in the Winter War the Ukrainians will still have a fake sense of victory and grievances with lost territory. And this will lead to another war later down the line.
Last edited:
Delete...wrong thread
If the Russians need somewhere around 150,000 troops to smash through the eastern front, can they post those numbers with their current force structure, or do they need some kind of additional mobilization to expand the size of the army? It seems like they need to expand the army, because they also have other theaters around the world they need to worry about. At the end of the day, I doubt that the Russians have any great tactical superiority over the Ukrainians in the east, so the only realistic way for them to win is to go in with a much bigger army. Where am I wrong? Before you say the Russians have weapons and all that, they've had that all along and still haven't broken through the eastern front.
Last edited:
Captured MAM-L : MAM-L small-sized ammunition for the Bayraktar TB2 UAV, captured by the Russian Armed Forces in the Kherson region. Strange, to find this lying around
Captured Ukrainian S-300 air defense system is now in the Crimea & UAV providing assistance : BM 21 Grad attacking Ukrainian positions.
Captured Ukrainian S-300 air defense system is now in the Crimea & UAV providing assistance : BM 21 Grad attacking Ukrainian positions.
Captured! Russian Spetsnaz (Special Ops) have apprehended the Azovites who, three days ago, tortured Russian POWs, shooting them alive in the legs while they were handcuffed - Vladimir Shamanov, Head of the Defence Committee of Duma.
S. Velichko, 28 y.o
In the first round of 'interrogations' they blamed their upbringing for their actions.
Assuming this is true, got to give praise to the Russian's restraint, a lesser army may go for revenge
The image that is considered not to be from Mariupol is from Russia :
Ramzan before leaving for Mariupol In Russia
During the battles for Mariupol, Ruslan Geremeev was wounded - Kadyrov
Ramzan before leaving for Mariupol In Russia
During the battles for Mariupol, Ruslan Geremeev was wounded - Kadyrov
- Status