In the medium term Russia is screwed. In the long term it is really screwed:
In the 2016 Russia supported assault on Aleppo about 1,000 civilians were killed. Surprisingly, that's less than in the US led assault on Raqqa in 2017 that claimed 1,600 civilian lives and destroyed about 70% of the city. Despite large civilian casualties, the US concluded that no war crimes were committed.The outgoing city council and mayor, which no longer have any real power beyond fabricating propaganda about the Russian occupation from a distance, have said that about 5,000 civilians died in the siege. It's impossible to know right now, and we may never have a good idea. It could be 5,000, it could also be 15,000 or 20,000. It's probably a lot given the brutality of the siege.
Such an obvious solution no doubt China will adopt it as well.Demographic "crisis" is not a problem. Simple==> Germany/USA solution = accept immigrants. Problem solved.
Problem is, Russia is poorer by now than almost any of its neighbors. So what migrants should it attract? I doubt the Russians would be too welcoming to millions of Sub Saharan Africans.Demographic "crisis" is not a problem. Simple==> Germany/USA solution = accept immigrants. Problem solved.
I'm not Norwegian but have both family and friends there.Norway will actually be fine as long as your leaders put their country first, you will actually come out much richer than before. No subsidised gas to Europe, market prices only. No free energy exports.
I don't know what your politicians are like, is there a "Norway First" movement? I doubt Russia will invade you, Germany, England and/or France may do if you aren't giving up gas/oil and the people in their country are starving to death.
Ironically Russia has probably the best pro-natal policies in Europe. It's still bad, but it is demonstrably working better than anywhere in Europe. If needed they get plenty of immigration from central Asia anyway.Demographic "crisis" is not a problem. Simple==> Germany/USA solution = accept immigrants. Problem solved.
They haven't been read the script yet. It is total bullsh*t, and yet is being propagated across all new channels. Apparently Abramovich's own spokesman is saying it's true, so the Ukrainians will recant their version (even though they know it couldn't have happened).The Ukrainian government just called Bellingcat's story BS