Here's the reality of Trump's beautiful deal.
Restrictions are not going anywhere, no matter what anyone claims.
No evasion and no stockpiling allowed.
Western companies say they are receiving barely enough magnets for their factories and have little visibility of future supplies. Firms are waiting weeks as Chinese authorities —only to be rejected in some cases. And applications for raw rare earths, which are used to make magnets, are rarely granted.
As a result, Western companies are concerned that the shortages could soon affect manufacturing. Companies are so desperate for magnets that they are opting for expensive airfreight whenever licenses are granted to prevent costly production shutdowns. Some manufacturers are that would allow them to make their products without the most powerful magnets.
Restrictions are not going anywhere, no matter what anyone claims.
Manufacturers have taken the continuing challenges as a sign that new Chinese rare-earth export restrictions, introduced in April after President Trump raised tariffs on China, are here to stay—contrary to White House assertions that the flow of the critical components would return to normal.
“Yes, the export restrictions have been paused on paper. However, ground reality is completely different,” said Neha Mukherjee, a rare-earths analyst at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. The licensing process is plagued by “bureaucratic drag.”
No evasion and no stockpiling allowed.
When companies skip certain questions on their magnet applications to avoid disclosing sensitive intellectual property or details of commercial arrangements, their applications languish or are denied. In some cases, the applicants have then been told to start over and include all of the required information in a new application, which takes 45 days to process, according to companies involved in rare-earth imports. “The control is real,” said a representative of one such company. “There are thousands of applications the [Chinese authorities have] received.”
Beijing also appears to be trying to prevent stockpiling by Western businesses. One Chinese magnet maker has warned clients seeking to import more magnets than usual that they may have to explain to government officials the “business drivers” behind such large orders, according to an advisory note the magnet maker shared with clients.