Trump 2.0 official thread

[uguduwa]

India is more like late 1990s early 2000s China based on relative indicators. Still past the point of no return of suppression, but 2007 is quite generous as Huawei, Tencent and SMIC already took off and HSR was opening, while the same industrial investments in India are in their infancy.

I was talking about GDP, GDP per capita but yeah in some aspects it‘s quite slow because of its political system.

 

[Nevermore]

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For those who are talking about US is try to do to India, what they should have done to China, I guess this is a false narrative. India is roughly where China was in 2007. in 2008 there was Beijing Oympics and people started talking about China‘s rise aa early as in 2008 and the headwind started. Time to contain India has already passed.

It will end up being an economic giant regardless but what can be controlled is, how friendly India would be the West. Does the West want another pisses off economic giant or a friendly power.

As I've always said, India has broken free from that vicious cycle of chaotic and disorderly development. Now India can even rely solely on its domestic market to achieve industrialization and urbanization, let alone the fact that it is rapidly absorbing international capital from Europe, the United States, and Asia. The snowball of economic growth has already begun rolling, and compared to China, it's merely a matter of pace—it may be slower.
Given this reality, it is crucial for China to maintain a sufficiently large manufacturing base. Manufacturing is a highly competitive sector with limited global demand. If China grows stronger, other nations inevitably weaken. Should India's manufacturing sector expand at an extremely rapid pace, China's manufacturing industry would also face significant threats.

 

[tamsen_ikard]

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For those who are talking about US is try to do to India, what they should have done to China, I guess this is a false narrative. India is roughly where China was in 2007. in 2008 there was Beijing Oympics and people started talking about China‘s rise aa early as in 2008 and the headwind started. Time to contain India has already passed.

It will end up being an economic giant regardless but what can be controlled is, how friendly India would be the West. Does the West want another pisses off economic giant or a friendly power.

India can certainly be forced to fall into a middle income trap. They don't have the industrial fundamentals that east Asian countries built as they developed. India instead grew similar to Latin American countries.

They imported too much. Overconsumed too much.

So, there is a strong chance India will naturally fall into a middle income trap and stop growing. China and US can make that happen faster.