Trump 2.0 official thread

SinoAmericanCW

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Let me guess, war time president...:eek:
Not even. He could run as the VP candidate to, say, Vance (or even one of his sons), then have the latter resign upon being inaugurated. The presidency would therein be immediately passed on to him.

Some claim that the 12th amendment clause on VPs needing to be eligible to serve as president would bar him from such a sleight of hand, but, again, given how the 22nd amendment only bars someone from *being elected* president more than twice, the 12th amendment still wouldn't close the loophole.

One could argue, with some justification, that such a move would violate the spirit, albeit not the letter, of the law... But then any lawsuit would ultimately have to be resolved by the Supreme Court, which has a 6-3 conservative majority, including 3 justices appointed by Trump during his 1st term.
 

generalmeng

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A lot of countries are feeling disappointed by the U.S. right now. China should step up and offer a better economic deal to the world. Since China runs a big trade surplus overall and will have to reflate the domestic economy to boost aggregate demand lost due to tariffs, in the short run it can do this by increasing investment abroad in friendly countries. In the long run, China should move to a more balanced trade accounting that has roughly equal imports and exports, with imports coming from friendly countries. In exchange for helping other countries economically, China should require integration into Chinese digital networks, or at least explusion of U.S. ones, and abstention from entering into defense pacts with the U.S.

In my view, China's historic position was "We are just going to mind our own business and we don't take sides", but that is not feasible anymore since the world's #1 power has declared China an enemy. China is in the same position the U.S. was in in 1940-41. Even if China doesn't want to fight a new Cold War, a new Cold War has been brought to its doorstep. Every other country, such as Japan, the Philippinnes, India, and so on are much lesser threats to China than the U.S. is. China has to awaken that it now lives in a world of geopolitics and it should participate more actively in building up BRICS as an alternative, multipolar trade, investment & technology bloc that is more reliable than the U.S.
As much as trump, morin and bessent guy go about arguing the trade was not fair. It was actually very fair, infact more exploitive than stupid americans believed.

in the old system, essentially the world was subsiding the USA and purchaching their federal bonds, so their government can pump the money right back into their economy. basically the world was paying their tribute to the US overlord. If USA pull this stunt 20 years ago, i think the world would have swallowed it; because it would have been pay tariff, buy worthless bonds or eat freedom.

now, i don't think USA can actually shove freedoom down anyone's throat, not anymore. while many countries would see reduction in export to the USA. the market will just find new buyers, and the world will probably go on trading more among themselves.
 

JJD1803

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Good artical by Yanis Varoufakis, I think he might have actually guessed Trump's plan correctly.


I'm sure that everone will tie them up to America's wagon, give Trump whatever he wants. What could possibly go wrong, RIGHT?
Yeah Trump’s chief economic advisor Stephen Moran wrote a white paper with this theory. This plan is so short-sighted. Even if every nation agrees to this deal, those nations will have to place even more austerity measures and de-industrialization onto their populace causing even more anger and unrest than there is now. But now, all that anger and resentment will be targeted at the US. And that's before we get to the fact that most of the western allied world has had a stagnant GDP for the past 15+ years. Their economies are at a tipping point, and Trump's plan is just going to accelerate their downfall while propping up their dying empire.
It also assumes that there will be no resistance from other nations. Basically it gives no room
For failure. It’s similarly like those crypto scams peddled by fake gurus. This is a major gamble and if it fails it will lead to catastrophic consequences for the US.
 

lych470

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Feds are stuck between 2 boulders. Inflation is going to roar back but the economy is about to tank. Chances are they will maintain rates out of fears of stagflation.



The real fun begins when the mid terms come.

Bold of you to assume that he won't suspend elections due to this 'nAtIonAL EmERGencY'.

In fact I'm willing to bet that he will declare martial law and do a Zelensky if push comes to shove. I expect Trump to begin purging the military, national guard and law enforcements of unloyal elements and have a loyal security force ready to pounce for such a scenario (like the US Secret Service). Even the acronyms are the same; there's a poetic irony to it.
 

lych470

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US President Donald Trump has said he will get rid of any staff deemed to be disloyal, as it emerged at least three officials at the White House National Security Council had been fired.
"We're always going to let go of people – people we don't like or people that take advantage of, or people that may have loyalties to someone else," he told reporters aboard Air Force One, without confirming names.
It is not clear why the employees were removed, but the decision followed a meeting between Trump and far-right activist Laura Loomer on Wednesday.
Ms Loomer reportedly urged Trump to fire specific employees whom she suspected of lacking support for the president's agenda. More firings are expected.
The White House told the BBC that the National Security Council "won't comment on personnel" matters.
Those fired from the NSC on Thursday include Brian Walsh, a director for intelligence; Thomas Boodry, a senior director for legislative affairs; and David Feith, a senior director overseeing technology and national security, reports the BBC's US partner CBS.

I wonder who is 江青 in this US Cultural Revolution.
 

Wrought

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Not even. He could run as the VP candidate to, say, Vance (or even one of his sons), then have the latter resign upon being inaugurated. The presidency would therein be immediately passed on to him.

Some claim that the 12th amendment clause on VPs needing to be eligible to serve as president would bar him from such a sleight of hand, but, again, given how the 22nd amendment only bars someone from *being elected* president more than twice, the 12th amendment still wouldn't close the loophole.

One could argue, with some justification, that such a move would violate the spirit, albeit not the letter, of the law... But then any lawsuit would ultimately have to be resolved by the Supreme Court, which has a 6-3 conservative majority, including 3 justices appointed by Trump during his 1st term.

Obama is also eligible to run again by the same logic, and he would in all likelihood win easily after years of Trump-induced recession.
 

zscstephen

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Good artical by Yanis Varoufakis, I think he might have actually guessed Trump's plan correctly.


I'm sure that everone will tie them up to America's wagon, give Trump whatever he wants. What could possibly go wrong, RIGHT?
With tariffs imposed like this, will any negotiation or agreement with US gov be effective? This is an Indian-level trap that only the colonies can indulge in.
 
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