manqiangrexue
Brigadier
One person laughs at everyone and everyone laughs at 1 person. You can figure out who's crazy from that picture, right? LOLBAHAHAHAHAHA LOL!!
You guys are HOPELESS!
All you guys do are just personal attack me which has absolutely no effect on me. It only makes me laugh at how idiotic you guys are.
You guys are just a bunch of ostrichs with heads in the sand not willing to come up and see the real picture.
There is no conflict in my argument. Only your poor understanding of logic.
First, if Trump continues his attacks on his own western allies and leaders (he even making it personal), it is only logical these leaders will start fall into China's orbit to counter an aggressive "America First" policy on trade, which eventually lead to a Sino-centric global trade order.
Now, this is an optimistic scenerio - if Trump doesn't start a shooting war with China and allows it to eventuate to that.
But Trump is a narcissistic egomaniac. And he is willing to go at ANY LENGTH to win. And Americans LOVE THAT. It is already demonstrated Americans willing to go blindly into any silly shooting war without thinking because you cannot question your leader when they question YOUR PATRIOTISM.
And with America having at least a sizable lead in TECH and PURE MILITARY POWER, it isn't too far fetch that Trump will wage a war with China to either distract from his scandals at home, or his economic failing (when it starts failing). This is the WORST CASE SCENERIO.
There is no conflict of the 2 arguments. One is best case scenerio, one is worst case scenerio. This only shows your poor understanding of english or logic.
Now, I did say Trump will push that Taiwan button didn't I?
So now they are sailing destroyers over TAIWAN STRAIT. Destroyers that has cruise missiles that can strike Beijing at a moment's notice for a decapitation strike. This is basically Trump's overt warning to Beijing.
They are also stationing US MARINES in Taiwan now too. And there are talks of CVBG doing port calls to Taiwan, and probably making regular visits in the future.
And what's China gonna do when US start BASING in Taiwan AGAIN? (There were US airbases in Taiwan well into 70s)
With US military bases in place, Taiwanese president just might have the backing to declare Taiwanese independence. What's China gonna do then?
Like I said, the destroyers over Taiwan strait is only the beginning move, and Chinese leadership get the message. There are more and more severe "trump cards" Trump can play and Xi and his leadership team KNOWS they cannot allow it eventuate to that degree.
So there is a high chance he will fold. Because he cannot allow Taiwan to be independent, even if he has to suffer short term economic blackmail by Trump.
But the sad thing is you see, TRUMP WANTS EVERYTHING. Just like in the NK deal - he wants NK to completely denuclearized while not even giving any concession.
Once Xi submitted to Trump's economic blackmail, Trump will still do what he sets out to do, he will STILL antagonize China, probably put a few bases in Taiwan, and support Taiwan declaration of independence. That's Trump.
If you are imagining best and worst case scenarios, then fine, but it has no meaning. I buy a car: best case scenario, I discover my talent for driving and become the world's #1 professional race car driver; worst case scenario I get killed in an accident on my first drive. Nobody can argue against that but it has absolutely no meaning just like your stories.
Just to be clear, are you still imagining best/worst case scenarios? Because if you are, then there's no reason to respond; worst case scenario aliens end the human race tomorrow LOL. But if you're talking about what's likely to happen, then no, you're still way far off. Sailing destroyers through the strait is something Obama did as well. China got the message to back off? Yeah, they got the message by delaying US agricultural imports by 2 weeks customs check to let them rot in port. 2 destroyers have no power to do anything facing China's artillery forces and the entirety of American resolve cannot earn independence for Taiwan; at most, they will get Taiwan killed in the crossfire.
And Americans will NOT go to "any silly shooting war without thinking"; if you paid any attention to actual news, you would know that America picks its shooting wars very carefully, limiting them to non-nuclear technologically-challenged small nations that cannot fight back. Even then, they try to get 25 other little side-kick nations on board in case things somehow still go sideways.
Last edited: