The War in the Ukraine

3.000 Geran-2 are produced per month now. 3.000 ''Decoys'' Gerbera, 12 big attacks with 200-250 gerans + 150-200 decoys per month or 21 mixed attacks (15x200 drones and 6x500 drones)


We have seen targets being attacked/destroyed yesterday and right now (they are in the air right now).

We know that Russians tried to destroy strategic assets years ago but i guess that the amount of sustained Cruise missiles + ballistic missiles needed to create a big problem for ukraine wasn't there coinsidering the amount of soviet stockpiles they had. but now...

• Soviet AD stockpiles are gone.
• International soviet sockpiles (imported and given to ukraine) are mostly gone.
• western made AD is being delievered in quantity.
• Soviet designed foreign made AD missiles are being delievered in ¿low? quantity.

From this note:

''The Shahed has allowed Russia to continue its SODCIT against Ukraine and largely served to frustrate Ukraine’s attempts to expand and increase its air defence capabilities. In the event that Ukraine runs out of air defence interceptors altogether, the mass attacks would begin to generate very considerable damage and pressure to end the war quickly. This forces Ukraine to focus much of its resources on air defence of strategic assets rather than the frontline. ''

How long will it take for ukraine to ''run out of missiles'' or in other words not being able to shut down even a fraction of the missiles launched. Is it happening right now?

What happens if Russia keep increasing geran+gerbera rate of production? and if it introduces a new drone to the equation? Geran-3? What's happening with Iskander-M production, KN-23 imports, Kalibr, iskander-K, Kh-101...?

Is this the winning strategy?

I believe it is. This war will be over when russia can steadily destroy every oil/gas depot, repair plant, logistical hub, weapon storages sites, power plants, airport infraestructure, big/medium transformer substations, and even TCC buildings way faster than what ukraine is able to repair or regenerate them. we will see if drone/missile attacks are increased further to the point where ukraine cannot sustain it anymore in any way.

September 2022 to July 2023


compare it with 2025:

Footage of Russian Geran-2 kamikaze drones striking buildings of Ukrainian UAV assembly plants. The video was filmed in the Konotop area of Ukraine's Sumy region. It was not possible to determine what UAVs the company assembled

Episode of repelling an attack by Ukrainian sea drones in the waters off the Russian city of Novorossiysk. Presumably, the Ukrainian drones were destroyed by an ATGM. The video shows only one drone, how many were unknown. Perhaps the rest of the drones were destroyed far from the coastline. It is also possible that one sea drone was sent into the attack, in which case the coast guard may mistake it for an ordinary vessel.

Ukrainian servicemen showed an episode of counteraction to the Russian FPV drone in the Donetsk direction. The servicemen noticed the drone and started firing at it with small arms, but they were unable to destroy the drone. Since there could have been several drones, the soldiers retreated and used the forest belt as cover. As a result of a short battle, the drone destroyed the pickup truck. The video has been shortened.

The Russian army continues to use Geran-2 kamikaze drones to strike Ukrainian military registration and enlistment offices. The video published by residents of Kremenchuk shows Geran-2 drone strikes on the local military registration and enlistment office. The drone strikes were confirmed by Ukrainian journalist and video blogger Anatoly Shariy. Technical information about the drones is on the channel. The consequences of the drone strikes on the Kremenchuk military registration and enlistment office are shown at the end of the video.

Europe’s China Dilemma: Why Beijing Fears a Russian Defeat

Footage of the destruction of a Ukrainian 155-mm howitzer M777 and a military tractor, on the right bank of the Dnieper, in the Kherson direction. The attack was carried out by several drones at once, first the howitzer was hit by ammunition drops from drones, then an attack was carried out by FPV drones. M777 howitzers have been produced in the United States since 2005 by BAE Systems. Howitzers are capable of hitting targets at a range of up to 40 km using M982 Excalibur shells. Ukraine received 130 M777A2 howitzers for 2024, about 100 howitzers have already been destroyed.

The Dikobras M8 electronic warfare system for protecting vehicles from drones has been transferred to the Russian military. The Dikobras M8 electronic warfare system is manufactured by the Logos Group of Companies and is housed in a car box, which allows it to be disguised as a civilian device. The military is already using this model of electronic warfare system. The Dikobras M8 electronic warfare system suppresses drone signals at multiple frequencies, from 400 MHz to 6000 MHz. Confident suppression of drone control frequencies occurs at a distance of up to 200 meters, and video signal frequencies from 500 meters. The electronic warfare system has a radiation power of up to 50 watts, and can operate continuously for up to 60 minutes. The cost of the Dikobras M8 electronic warfare system is 750,000 rubles or 9,500 dollars.