The War in the Ukraine

baykalov

Senior Member
Registered Member
@Rybar's comment оn the morning attack on Sevastopol Bay, automatic translation:

After reading a briefing from the Russian Ministry of Defence on the morning attack on Sevastopol Bay, a logical question arises as to why this was the case.

The Russian Defence Ministry points out that the operation was carried out by the 73rd Special Maritime Operations Centre stationed in Ochakov. British specialists are also stationed there.

This knowledge did not come out of nowhere, did it? So there is intelligence information, there is a definite source. There's an approximate area of operation. There's an understanding of the likely nature of the activity.

▪️ In September, let us say, the intelligence agencies and specialized specialists were thoroughly aware of the plans of the Ukrainian armed forces to cut the communications between Kherson and the left bank of the Dnieper. About the preparation of the landing troops, which were being formed just in Ochakov. They were working on the enemy, inflicting a systematic fire attack.

So it is not about the sources of information or ignorance.

▪️We have a wonderful stretch of terrain 8 km south of Ochakov, from where the entire city can be flattened. The Kynburne Spit is under the control of Russian troops. The spit was only finally cleared in the summer.

▪️At some stage, Russian groups with Irony reconnaissance complexes were stationed on the Kinburn Spit to monitor enemy movements on the opposite bank of the estuary. From the territory of the spit, roving "Grads" were working on enemy positions.

But it turns out that today it is in Ochakov where foreign specialists, whose activities are known, are operating. In a small town that is in direct line of sight only 8 kilometres from our positions.

And it turns out that for some reason that side is able to conduct operations in our deep rear. And we know who and what we are doing there, but for some reason we cannot stop this activity.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
It is important to have a clear perspective on the next two to three months for the RF.

Ukraine is not giving up, but has instead declared its withdrawal from any negotiations with Putin. The condition, full de-occupation of the country, security guarantees, reparations and contributions. The West is fully supporting and arming Ukraine. More and more every day.
The Russian Armed Forces, have completely lost their pre-war Armed Forces in men, and equipment, have almost completely lost their combat reserve and have started using second and third line equipment. Mobilisation and its effect is questionable, the rear is not coping, equipment and specialists are missing. There are no officers. Winter is coming, which will further exacerbate the problems. PMCs have exhausted their potential. and are moving into the category on the principle of mobilization.

The AFU has seized the strategic initiative and is dictating its will. They conduct a series of operations, the purpose of which is clear, but at an operational level it is not clear. The Russian Armed Forces are constantly suffering tangible losses, which are becoming more and more difficult to replenish.
Repairs and replenishment are already being carried out only by third-line equipment, with rare exceptions.

There are virtually no allies, and those that exist are small and militarily insignificant.

The mobilised are active in the troops, but the rear is virtually unprepared to receive them.
They are not trained, they do not have trained NCOs and officers. and it is only a matter of time. when the sense of mobilization becomes negative. The mobilized are not prepared for winter and with very bad material provision will enter the troops completely demoralized. And what will happen then?
Where did you take all these informations beside ''Ukraine is not giving up'' ? Maybe you need to revise your sources ?
 
Last edited:

B777LR

Junior Member
Registered Member
I'm curious what causes this huge explosion, certainly not a drone because of the size of it.

Drone hitting something flammable I guess. Fuel farm? Ammo dump? SAM launcher? Speaking of all the rumours that it is a frigate, while I can't say I have any experience with it, modern warships shouldn't really explode like WWI battlecruisers. But this war has surprised me in more than one way.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
Drone hitting something flammable I guess. Fuel farm? Ammo dump? SAM launcher? Speaking of all the rumours that it is a frigate, while I can't say I have any experience with it, modern warships shouldn't really explode like WWI battlecruisers. But this war has surprised me in more than one way.
Static targets are quite easy to hit... These targets are like a magnet for attacks and one will go through whatever they do to stop them. Having ships laying there is just some lazy stupidity. Don't know if something was hit hard but it will happen if they continue to sit on their bum waiting.
 
Last edited:

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
Allegedly footage from the drones on the attack, the counter-measures seems questionable? Admiral Makarov may have been struck.


If the RuAF have been underperforming this war, the Russia black sea fleet is busy outcompeting them on that front...

In the part 2 video we do see some countering fire from light weapons, but not at the volume that you would expect to repel such suicide speed boat esq attacks.
 
Last edited:
Top