The War in the Ukraine

Weaasel

Senior Member
Registered Member
I wonder if "feint" narrative still around.
But yeah apparently everything is concentrating in Kharkov nowadays. While Kherson front is not seem to favorable for Ukrainians.
I would expect people will hype and "larping" about Lyman as it's in rather critical condition.

Now that the Referendum is complete.. It should be time for Russians to set things in motion particularly on offensive department. As the longer it takes, the more chance Ukrainian forces to start entrench themselves in and if Kharkov is still on the table.. it will be tougher nut to crack.
Because of their negligence in keeping the necessary number of forces there prior to the Ukrainian Offensive, now, they must do everything all over again for any part of Donbass lost and parts of Kharkov lost...
 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
I wonder if "feint" narrative still around.
But yeah apparently everything is concentrating in Kharkov nowadays. While Kherson front is not seem to favorable for Ukrainians.
I would expect people will hype and "larping" about Lyman as it's in rather critical condition.

Now that the Referendum is complete.. It should be time for Russians to set things in motion particularly on offensive department. As the longer it takes, the more chance Ukrainian forces to start entrench themselves in and if Kharkov is still on the table.. it will be tougher nut to crack.

I have noticed that, at least according to Rybar's reports, a lot of the offensive in Kharkov revolves around using civilian or light skinned vehicles in order to move fast and overwhelm an area. This seems to be confirmed by that article on Iranian drones where someone mentions that they use mostly civilian vehicles in that area which exposes them to the effects of drones.

This makes me question if the Ukranians can really hold the areas should the Russians reinforce Kharkov and launch a counteroffensive there using heavy equipment.

So far, it seems they are using IFV and Tanks more in the south, with the corresponding losses. How much heavy equipment do they have left in the north to face a likely Russian operation?.

And "Inb4" our pro-ukranian friends come up with "they'll use the captured russian equipment"
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Wheeled vehicles will stop working properly in Ukraine once the rain starts falling. Most of their roads are dirt roads.
We already have videos of some wheeled vehicles getting stuck in the mud and this will only get worse.

The best way to fight these high speed technical vehicles, I think is, with helicopters and vehicles with the 30mm gun. Like the BMP-2 for example.
 

Zichan

Junior Member
Registered Member
The Russians sure a taking their sweet time to bring in reinforcements if that is the case... Why the Russians would be so negligent in terms of manpower in Kharkov, yet so proactive in Kherson and Zhaporizhizia is head scratching...
It's because they don't have much manpower to begin with. They've committed a fair share of the troops to continue their offensive in Donetsk and made some small gains in Bakhmut. That strikes me as a strange choice of priority when the line in the north is under immense pressure and the noose is tightening around Lyman.
 

Weaasel

Senior Member
Registered Member
It's because they don't have much manpower to begin with. They've committed a fair share of the troops to continue their offensive in Donetsk and made some small gains in Bakhmut. That strikes me as a strange choice of priority when the line in the north is under immense pressure and the noose is tightening around Lyman.
They must have already have ready active resting brigades within Russia itself (I am not counting those from the recently announced reserves that are now being raised) - or at least I assume that they must have many - that's why it's baffling that they have left Kharkov and northern Donetsk so short on manpower when even before the Kharkov offensive it was clear that the Ukrainians were not defeated.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
Ukraine liberates more land from Russian occupation.
IT's been a long long time that we don't see MBT with Ukrainian forces on the move on the east front. Clearly light cavalry bypassing the frontline and creating havoc on artillery protected lay chair soldiers.

Most probably the Russians manned artillery retreats and stop firing and the front line LPR DNR are sitting ducks if the Ukrainians are pushing without stopping for suppressing to byoass them.

They learned well, it's not static warfare anymore. It's probably costly in manpower for Ukrainians Infantry but they have many untrained troops to carry, no need for them to be good if the Russians just retreat when they feel they are in danger.
 

FriedButter

Colonel
Registered Member
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So, it is not millions / year, but ten thousands / year.

Pathetic.

30,000 shells per year? They shipped more then +800,000 shells to Ukraine. That would take 26 years to replenish if they don’t expand production by a significant amount. I think someone mentioned that the Russians made 1.2 million shells annually.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
The Russians sure a taking their sweet time to bring in reinforcements if that is the case... Why the Russians would be so negligent in terms of manpower in Kharkov, yet so proactive in Kherson and Zhaporizhizia is head scratching...
Kherson and Zaporizhzhia are absolutely critical for the Russian project by cutting Ukraine off from Crimea completely. If Ukraine took Kherson they can cut Crimean water. If they took Zaporizhzhia Generating Station they also can take Mariupol and threaten the Crimea bridge. But if Russia holds them it controls a land bridge from Donbass to Crimea and controls the Dnieper, making it from an asset to Ukraine to a liability.
 
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