Its funny that Taiwan chooses to spend $62bn to buy 66 F-16Vs on a 10-year deal instead of spending that money on F-35s over 10 years.
The US is already selling to Taiwan Patriots, SLAM ERs, ATACMs, MQ-9 Reapers, Sea Mines, and submarine tech. So from that logic, I thought, why not go all the way? Besides the US and Taiwan can always claim that Chinese deployment of S-400s and J-20s is the reason for the Taiwanese getting their own F-35s. The risk of Chinese spying in Taiwan is perhaps overstated. F-35 designs have already been compromised by Chinese cyber hacking and spying even in the US.
The Taiwan Relations Act between US and Taiwan does not guarantee US military intervention to help Taiwan in case of a military invasion by China. It only stipulates that the US will make available arms to Taiwan for defense. So selling F-35s would have made perfect sense for Taiwanese defense. And if the US decides to join the fight, all the better.
I think the arguments here about being cautions about China's red line is quite strong. I am quite sure that the US and Taiwan still fear China's response. They have been pushing all the sensitive buttons for Beijing, but have always stopped short of going to far. For example:
1) Alex Azar's visit to Taiwan is not the same level as having Mike Pompeo visit Taiwan.
2) The new Taiwanese passport makes sure to still retain the ROC name albeit in smaller font.
3) Tsai didn't make any big declaration of 'Taiwanese Independence'. There was talk of doing a public referendum like Brexit, but that didn't happen. Instead, Tsai just said that Taiwan is de-facto independent from China, which is technically true.
4) Since 1979, the US have not placed a military base in Taiwan. And as of now are not even talking about it. Sure the US have better bases in Japan and South Korea, but placing it in Taiwan would be one hell of a statement.
5) The US and Taiwan are not talking of upgrading the Taiwan Relations Act into a true Mutual Defense Treaty not unlike the old one that ended in 1980.
So it does make me wonder if the US is serious about defending Taiwan from a reunification war with China. Whether all this Taiwan-China drama is still just a big show. Orchestrated as part of the new Cold War with China. To spread more Sinophobia.