Taiwan Military News, Reports, Data, etc.

siegecrossbow said:

I am baffled by the discussions about guerilla warfare when 1) it is infeasible on an island the size of Taiwan and 2) DPP decision makers hinges their entire defense plan on aid from U.S./Japan, which implies that they are not planning for guerilla warfare.

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There are at least a few American political elites – including those who hold or held national prominence and sway over Trump – inspiring naive, if not self-defeating expectations of Taiwanese Guerilla Independence Fighters® (TGIF™) repelling the PLA.


In fact, according to one such notable and current Ohio gubernatorial hopeful Vivek Ganapathy Ramaswamy, giving guns to untrained civilians is what will "stop Xi Jinping from invading Taiwan!"

Lots of guns!

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4Tran said:

It makes a lot more sense once you figure out who's discussing guerilla warfare.

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4Tran said:

The Americans won't do so because it would mean that they're unable to act fast enough to save Taiwan. So who does that leave?

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You might be giving some American political elites more credit than they typically deserve.

More than a few of them have a habit of saying things regarding the island of Taiwan that will inevitably age poorly.

4Tran said:

Just the military enthusiasts who want to "prove" that China can't win in Taiwan.

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Erik Prince, the founder of — a man who has reportedly fathered almost as many children as Elon Musk — apparently believes or disingenuously claims that separatists on Taiwan can raise a combat effective force of 720,000 guerillas!


This is despite explicitly characterizing a not insignificant portion of local forces as soy boys:

Their military is largely very weak, very [uncomfortable sounds of self-doubt] I'd say a lot of soy boys, not all, but uhh enough.

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If you think about it, it's absolutely insane that someone as operationally experienced as Erik could say this with a straight face, especially given the assumptions he set forth:

Where there's armed people that know what they’re doing, that have maybe four to six weeks of partisan training, uhh makes conquering the island completely exceedingly difficult.

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Not sure how 720,000 civilians will not only learn to fight, but also develop both the will and skills to "live off the land" in 28-42 days, but who are we to doubt whatever training program Mr. Prince might be pitching to Mr. Lai and company at the moment!

4Tran said:

The entire urban combat part of the exercise is pure propaganda. Taiwan is fully aware that by the time there's fighting in the streets of Taipei, China has already won. Moreover, if they were serious about this kind of combat, then they'd be putting a lot more effort into training into urban fighting and there'd be far more exercises.

I will say though, that if it wasn't propaganda, all of the accidents and other inelegant shows of ROCA capability would actually be good for them. This kind of thing is bound to happen in wartime, so it's much better to use exercises to reveal as many weaknesses as possible so that they'd be able to come up with solutions for the real thing.


It makes a lot more sense once you figure out who's discussing guerilla warfare. The DPP wouldn't do so because the government will have fallen by the time they have to break out the guerillas so it means they've failed to protect Taiwan. The Americans won't do so because it would mean that they're unable to act fast enough to save Taiwan. So who does that leave? Just the military enthusiasts who want to "prove" that China can't win in Taiwan. If you pay attention, these are the same people who will say that losing Taiwan won't matter because Taiwan and the US have plans in place to blow up all of TSMC's fabs.

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I wouldn’t say the urban combat part is all propaganda, some definitely is like yes if China is fighting in Taipei, China won but same with if China lances on the beaches China won, but you it’s still important to do it because when fighting occurs you need to be prepared for every possibility even if the war is already lost

Since Han Kuang 41 has officially ended, here are some things I have noticed about this years training.
1. Taiwan has experienced with putting guns on their HIMARS, an idea that should not cross their mind.
2. Bad use of camouflage for military vehicles including Radars, AD systems, APC and HIMARS.
3. Taiwan seems to think China might attack the ports and airports something China probably wouldn’t do until it’s necessary.
4. related to #3 but Taiwan also seems to think they would attack it with helicopters and parachuters.
5. Taiwan seems to refer to “micro” drones as DJI size drones. Taiwan has purchased 1,458 of them for surveillance and counterattacks for $43.68 million, that means each drone had everything with it account to about 30k.
6. Taiwan still relies on WW2/Cold War weapons to “defend” the beach head including the 105mm M101 and the M39 cannon what is a fixed and manned system making it easy to destroy in modern combat.
7. Taiwan seems to have poor communication with civilians and military escorts as shown by the 7 accidents this year in the 10 days that injured 5 soldiers.
8. Taiwans military leadership and security analysts informing them seem to be stuck in a Cold War mindset and don’t understand how modern warfare works.
9. Taiwan does not seem to care much about their revisits, what will be imporant in any war.
10. Taiwans revisits seem in pictures to look bored and not interested in what they’re being taught what indicates poor morale and discipline.
11. Taiwan still fully believes they will be able to be resupplied during war and that the US will help even though that’s not a guarantee, a bad long term strategy.
12. Even though Taiwan can build their own weapons they seem to not be interested in doing so and instead rely on the US, what may indicate little trust in their indigenous products.
13. Taiwan seems to be interested in using HMMWV for their marines with T-75S auto cannons and an MK19 40mm grenade launcher, for counterattacks and patrols to make sure no enemy are left.
14. Taiwan seems to be interested in using the CM22 for combat roles as they did a few combat trainings with it but it’s based on the Cold War M106 and it requires two people to fire it and stable it and when it fires it needs and open top and the rear doors down, it seems risky in a modern war.
15. Taiwan is stuck in the Cold War model of blowing up a bridge would delay Chinese forces what they won’t for more than a few minutes.
16. Taiwan seems to think Cold War barriers will be useful to delay Chinese forces landing or moving what is also very outdated.
17. Taiwan simulated putting 18 anti ship missiles on a patrol ship to be used during war, it’s a risky move because if hit Taiwan loses 18 anti ship missiles what are ether the Hsiung Feng II or III and given their likely lightly armored it won’t be difficult to hit and along with the fact they have no protection like on board SAM
18. It doesn’t seem like every solider in the same unit get access to the same gear, but it is a possibility not all choose to wear the gloves.

It was a lot but I do think these were all the problems I saw maybe some more but idk.