Yes, but that is irrelevant. Japanese did have cars and trucks and mechanized units -- and aircraft. And you are talking about attacking a fortified position (supply dumps, arsenals). If you stayed too long, rapid reaction units wouldl come and aircraft would start strafing and bombing. And how large a unit you can assemble without detection? You need a fairly large unit because those sites are garrisoned, or have garrisons near by.
LOL, why don't you back your argument up with some statistics? how long is too long? How do you strafe and bomb guerrillas in WW2? Which Japanese ammo dump in China had large garrisons? What was the guard detail? Guerrillas raids of 200~ men are reasonable, while Japanese dumps generally have a guard detail of 10~ men and a platoon or two near by?
Ma Zhanshan lead Chinese partisans to capture the Manchukuo treasury and captured a Japanese airfield with 6 aircraft? <- he shouldn't be able to do that had the rapid deployment force you claim existed.
The Filipino Guerrillas were successful in capturing the Japanese ammo dump in Paluan; and many cases shown Japanese supply dumps being destroyed by Guerillas after the men had taken what they have such as at Zaozhuang. Historically, supply dumps and supply columns were easy target.
You have answered your own question with the Tet offensive, The Vietnamese were able to mobilize 1/2 a million men undetected - 50 divisions equivalent - when the Americans had satellite surveillance, night thermal imagery and radar. How much do you think the Chinese can mobilize in a larger country with fewer enemies?
Give it up. This line of argument is convincing at best. Robbing an arsenal or supply dump is worse than robbing a bank. And bank robbery does not happen that often.
you should really back up your arguments with sources not your ego nor your beliefs. Fact is, as I have shown, there are multiple Japanese ammo dumps being captured and destroyed by Guerrillas - and they happen quite often.
Sophistry. Rear area is area not under threat -- for example, areas longer then distance you can march carrying supplies and food. Large units are easily detected from air, and reaction force can be send. Small units can be handled by garrison.
Again look at the Tet offensive, I bet you Saigon was quite a far march from the 17th parallel - and it was attacked by quite a large force which was undetected.
And again, Ma ZhanShan, Manchuko was quite far behind the front lines and yet the capital Changchun was raided successfully.
I have shown you a contemporary case where reality differed from your theories, you can either accept that you are incorrect or modify your theory to suit. But the fact is, places thought to be safe traditionally often were raided sucessfully.
While people are willing to sacrifice greatly to defeat invasion -- there is a limit. China did get conquered by Mongols and Manchurians. There are many stories of brave resistance, but ultimately, they failed.
Well it depends on your perspective, China was indeed conquered and I do not dispute that. But then again, the Ming began as a partisan movement to restore the Sung; and the Nationalists, Sun Yat San was a part of 天地會 which was a militant organization founded after the fall of the Ming and purposed to overthrow the Qing to Restore the Ming. So yeah, China was conquered, but the fight was never over.
There were literally hundereds of uprisings and rebellions in early Yuan and early Qing by Han loyalists. Both the Yuan and Qing were unable to stamp them out during their reign and today Yuan and the Qing is no more, and Han people are back in charge, did the Han people fail in their resistance?
Taiwan resisted fiercely at first against Japanese, but it was pacified at the end. Even now that Japan has gone after more than 60 years, you have people like Lee Teng-hui.
How did Taiwan fiercely resist the Japanese? The Mongols took 6 decades to conquer China (the Mongols took less than 10 years to conquer Europe). Japan took 4 months to conquer Taiwan.
I feel this statement is more political than accurate.
My point is US CAN occupy Vietnam, if it is willing to pay the cost (and China allows it). Japan almost did, but that was at the cost of the Pacific war -- I believe it was a close call.
Fact is, the US did NOT occupy Vietnam. Ghee, if the US is willing to surrender to Afghanistan, I am sure the US will lose the war.
You statement is based on alot of IFs which did not exist or happen.
In a way, American was screwed by it's own domestic politics to trying to portray the war as successful. After the Tet offensive, there was nothing left in the South and the network had to be rebuilt. It was a military catastrophe.
And so You agree with me that the Tet was a very successful Guerrilla operation? thank you.
I said North Ireland, which is still in UK. Israel has not won over Hamas, but it is slowly being ethnically cleaned -- and once that's done, it's over. Tamil Tiger was a guerilla force that tried to hold territory and became a regular army-- and got clobbered by traditional army. Chinese Civil war after 1945 is no longer a guerilla war -- once you have front line and territory, it is no longer guerilla war. And do remember CCP was almost terminated if not for the Japanese invasion -- and covert backing of USSR. And remaining of you example have significant foreign backers.
The guerilla wars without foreign backers are, more often then not, gradually suppressed.
Nothern Ireland treaty existed because the IRA was successful - The IRA split into the pro treaty and anti treaty group which fought the civil war. How can you claim that the IRA guerrilla operation were a failure?
like hell would the Palestinians be ethically cleansed - they will only be repopulated with Arabs, Israel cannot kill them all.
And you theory about Guerrilla war exist only when the Guerrilla holds no territory is wrong. The CCP always held some territory. only form the Jiangxi province can there be a long march to Yunnan. Similarly, Tito held territory in Yugoslavia against the Germans and the Mujihadeen held territory against the Soviets during their respective Guerrilla campaign. - Even the Quebec Guerrillas held land during 1759.
And I disagree that the CCP was nearly terminated, Statistically, they were greatly reduced by the long march. You seem to forget that the Jiangxi soviet is not the only one around. The long march also dispersed many soviet men through out the country to form soviets. This is very important in a Country which was mainly illiterate and had a negligible wireless radio reception.
Who supported the Yugoslavs?- as you claim that there was foreign support the soviet union definitely did not. Or lets say the bolshevik during the Russian revolution? the bolshevik guerrilla did win the war and their country.
If you are willing to resort to a boody operation, you can still do it.
US pacified Philippine after killing 800K people, for example. In fact, that's how Imperialists did it in Asia and Africa, not to mention Americas.
you are correct, the question is have you killed enough? Germany did not pacify the Soviet Union after killing 30 million, nor did Japan pacify China after killing 20 million nor did the Germans pacify the Jews after killing 6 million.
it is easy for you to say that you can kill them all, but reality is - can your soldiers do it? can your society bear it?
Why the hack would you move a major unit that for a a guerilla incursion?
There is really no point of guerilla operation if your opponents are weaker than you -- just go and kill him. So the opponents of the guerilla are stronger in strength, and more often then not, in number. Hence we are not talking about strategic mobility -- we are taking LOCAL mobility. And guerilla forces are weaker in LOCAL mobility. It does have the advantage in stealth and suprise-- but only if you keep your numbers low.
The 1st SS was only one division, 15,000 men and guerrilla forces are not small nor are they weak. As we have discussed previously, the Tet offensive saw a VC mobilized 0.5 million men undetected. Tito had 0.8 million guerrillas. 1 division is nothing much.
It is a common misconception the Guerrilla operation were small and it isn't true. Revolutionary war Minutemen units can be as large as 500 men easily (considering revolutionary war army size to be around 10,000 men).
Do regulars always have better mobility? i doubt it. Guerrilla warfare depend greatly on terrain, were the 1st air Calv more able to hack through the jungle of Vietnam? How well did soviet armored column fared in the rugged terrain in Afghanistan?
Yes, but are those troops able to handle the first rate armies? I admit there are cases where the American Riflemen licked British musketeers, but the regular armies more often then not has the advantage. And by the virtue of the control of the sea, British had the better supply line. Americans armies are often starved of supplies even on the rich land of the colonies -- because they couldn't find enough wagoners to transport the supplies.
Defeat a first rate army in battle? maybe not, but to contain one - definitely. The North Vietnamese and the Mujahadeen had already shown that.
The thing is a first rate army is good for one thing only and that is to fight big battles and to hold strategic locations, they are crap at holding vast ground over long time. A militia or guerrilla sucks at invading another but excels at defending home.
it comes down to purpose, the GI whom wants to do his tour and go home or the Russian whom want to complete his conscript and go home vs people fighting for their homes.
And I think you are wrong that the British controlled the seas during the American Revolutionary War. It was a contest at best. The Royal navy lost most of the major actions involving the continental navy.
Your argument that supplies were an issue because of navel supremacy is faulty. Most of the continental army was feed from the grounds, while the British had to bring in supply from Europe or buy them from stores. The Americans having navel supremacy would not change that fact.