Renminbi (RMB)/Yuan Appreciation & Internationalization

coolgod

Colonel
Registered Member
What can these countries do with excess RMB?Simple,exactly the same way countries do with excess dollars. Buy Chinese Treasury bond,and invest in China.
I'm under the impression that there aren't enough RMB-denominated bonds on the market right now, hence why PBOC and MOC recently suggested Chinese banks make more RMB loans overseas. Chinese Treasury bonds cannot be the solution to this problem anyways as this would put China in the same position as the US gov which has to run a constant deficit.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
I'm under the impression that there aren't enough RMB-denominated bonds on the market right now, hence why PBOC and MOC recently suggested Chinese banks make more RMB loans overseas. Chinese Treasury bonds cannot be the solution to this problem anyways as this would put China in the same position as the US gov which has to run a constant deficit.
Chinese bond market, equity market and part ownership of companies are exactly the kind of places you would want to invest in if you are holding rmb. A lot more of these assets have become investable by outside investors due to the advent of Shanghai hk connect. Chinese bond market is huge. Whether outside investors are willing to invest in them is a different story.

The best way for countries like Saudi Arabia to use it's rmb is to then pay Chinese companies to build stuff for them. But of course, foreign investment of yuan into china is a good thing.
 

tonyget

Senior Member
Registered Member
Chinese Treasury bonds cannot be the solution to this problem anyways as this would put China in the same position as the US gov which has to run a constant deficit.

China's government debt to GDP ratio is already over 70%,and it is expected to going up in the future. So China does need to borrow lots of money to finance it's budget
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
UBS Wealth Management projects that RMB will strengthen to CNY6.5 per dollar by September.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
this kind of stuff is meaningless. Nobody can make accurate assessment on stuff like this.

It would be more useful if they can accurately measure increases in RMB in cross border payments and trade. Right now, they only use SWIFT, which is quite annoying because there are a bunch of activities that only go on CIPS.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
this kind of stuff is meaningless. Nobody can make accurate assessment on stuff like this.

It would be more useful if they can accurately measure increases in RMB in cross border payments and trade. Right now, they only use SWIFT, which is quite annoying because there are a bunch of activities that only go on CIPS.
Maybe the West has no access to the CIPS data.
 

BoeingEngineer

Junior Member
Registered Member
I would say that disintegration of EUR will be really good for CNH. The world does want a second legit currency option to USD. A strong EUR and Eurozone presence is not in China's interest.

Yeah, it will be good to China but nightmare for Europe !!

The Europeans are heading toward another mass killing civil war if European union falls apart !!

After getting butt Screwed by US this time !!
 
Top