PRC military aviation export/sales

00CuriousObserver

Senior Member
Registered Member
Gonna kick the thread off with a good one, a post by Ayi

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!



I don't agree that China hasn't "lost" anything, but the story is interesting.

An update from Hole Hole aka Chengdu Gay Guy

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Ayi, don’t get emotional and start stirring things up here. The work with the Egyptian Air Force is far from over—it's actually at a critical stage. How did we jump to “they missed their chance and can’t buy it anymore” when we’re nowhere near that point yet? This time last year you were praising Egypt for being sensible and getting on the right track, and now suddenly it’s “brain-damaged,” “unworthy,” “preparing for national collapse”? And if the deal goes through next year, how exactly are you going to walk all that back…

Right now, the American position is actually not the main obstacle. The biggest hurdles are coming from areas no one anticipated before. Both sides negotiating are in a difficult position, but they are trying hard to find solutions.

As for this claim that “the Egyptian Air Force looks down on Chinese jets”—that’s a notion from several versions ago. At this moment, there is no potential customer in the world more enthusiastic about the J-10CE than Egypt. In fact, part of the problem arises precisely because the Egyptians like the aircraft too much. If they merely saw the J-10CE as a cheap Rafale substitute, things would actually be easier. But Egypt’s issues cannot be solved by buying a small batch just for show—their ambitions, realistically speaking, are far greater than those of Pakistan, Indonesia, or Azerbaijan.

Sisi’s personal will projected onto this matter means that, if finalized, this would be an unprecedented export achievement for China’s high-end aviation equipment. Egypt wants to become the largest super-user of the J-10CE. Naturally, something like that cannot be casually settled in just a year or two. Even when we were buying just 24 Su-35s back in the day, it still dragged on for many years.

Apologies for just bringing Weibo posts here. I think they are useful rumours at the very least.
 
Last edited:

mshrief303

Junior Member
Registered Member
Egypt's problem is their general economic and the defence budget, Egypt's economy have a huge dependency on US and it's allies, so the US can damage their economy in a serious matter. Even so they do somethings to guard themselves, they're not like China or Russia.

So Egypt will try to make an economic buffer, so that they can hold themselves if the US did anything. And of course they'll try to delay any announcement till the last minute they can reach, so that they lessen the capability & incentives of the US to hurt them.
Egypt's not a "sexy" county to follow as a military enthusiast, they're secretive & slow.

But Ayi's notion that Egypt left the deal is off the rail, and it's not confirmed in any way. Egypt literally had a huge joint training with China, they saw J-10C & KJ-500, and I'm sure there was a lot of missiles sent to be seen. And Pak-India fight actually will solidify the deal because it hurts any westernized lobby in the air force. And lastly Egypt have around 204 F-16s, all of the pilots of this aircraft will try to push for a new aircraft rather than this flying coffin.

Also, his historic comments are completely wrong and doesn't even deserve a reply.


I always advocate for 150 jets to be procured to be the core of Egyptian air force, 75 J-10C and 75 J-35A, with 6 KJ-500. and then start co-production of JF-17 to get the quantity needed for Egypt and get rid of the F-16 -- sell it or divest it.
But this project with the missiles stocks needed, maybe will between 15-30 billion dollars maybe raised to 40B, and that with my arbitrary estimation, and Egypt defence budget is so low to do something like that. But they have to do if they want to survive.
 

PeaceKrieger424

New Member
Registered Member
The upcoming visit of MBS in Washington next week is anticipated with big defence deals being signed. Now Israels seems to have thrown a spanner into KSA's future F-35 procurement:

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

My Question/Inquiry: Is there any chance of KSA getting interested in J-35A program OR going for an entire production line??

Yes, I'm aware that approx. 70-80% of KSA military equipment is sourced from the United States AND China's close relationship with Iran could become an issue (Beijing also played a peacemaker role between the two rivals not so long ago), BUT STILL...Could KSA go for J-35As?
 

_killuminati_

Captain
Registered Member
If you wanna give KSA a J-35, you might as well send a complementary unit to USA itself.

European and American personnel are integrated into the KSA military at a systemic level. They share bases, logistics networks, supply chains, and technicians. It was only a few years ago that PAF technicians were doing most of the field maintenance for the Saudis, complemented by other foreigners (although this is now changing to more Saudi locals). Command and advisory also has Western personnel integrated.
 

PeaceKrieger424

New Member
Registered Member
might as well send a complementary unit to USA itself
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
The risk remains for sure, on the same page with you on that.

China might consider measures similar to those debated by the US for its own fighter sales, such as selling a downgraded export version of the J-35A or implementing strict control over maintenance and updates to protect its most sensitive systems.
And given that the J-35A has yet to secure any confirmed foreign buyers, a potential deal with KSA would be a major test of China's willingness to accept technological risk for strategic gain.
 

tphuang

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
You obviously would sell export version. The radar performance would not bet the same. Neither would be the passive sensors. But there needs to be a balance between being concerned about leaking secrets vs achieving geopolitical goals from exporting military platform.

I think any deal would be accompanied by very strong terms from China side on preventing Western personnel from getting close.
 
Top