PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

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votran

New Member
Registered Member
HardBall said:
Very valid points.

But you would also need to consider the positioning and topography after a considerable amount of destruction, building partially destroyed, and debris filling streets and alleys. That's always the most difficult type of challenge that ground forces would encounter, a partially destroyed complex landscape, where environment can rapidly change on tiny scales.

I'm sure technology would help with that. But they need to ensure that they are not bogged down over many small urban areas, which may prolong the conflict to the point where it is effectively a stalemate. Not saying that would happen, but they PLAGF and marines must have very robust plans to counter those types of scenarios. Many different powerful militaries have been endlessly bogged down in various theatres due to close quarter combat in unfavorable terrain for years, if not decades.
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as long as someone still have liberation of something wet dream . they will never escape urban warfare trap , more often than not they almost alway willing to jump right in , throwing away alot of their troops lives into the meat grinder without proper heavy fire power support
all for the so called humane liberation , avoid harm toward civilians , only target military target ...etc

specially when they trying to liberation somewhere full of people that look like them , same culture , just different political ideology
 
siegecrossbow

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Wrought said:
Historically, if you wanted to avoid a brutal urban grind then you just besieged the city instead of storming it. The same logic holds true today. If the US is involved in the conflict, then PLA resources are better used against them. If the US is not involved in the conflict, then why waste blood and treasure on a foregone conclusion?

Either way, there is no reason to rush. Let time do the hard work.
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Funny how you bring up history, since to the best of my knowledge Taiwan has never not been successfully conquered historically.

Eastern Wu — success
The Dutch — success
Ming loyalist forces — success
Qing Dynasty — success
Imperial Japanese — success
KMT loyalists — success

The odds are not looking good for the Pan-Green folks…
 
R

RoastGooseHKer

New Member
Registered Member
votran said:
as long as someone still have liberation of something wet dream . they will never escape urban warfare trap , more often than not they almost alway willing to jump right in , throwing away alot of their troops lives into the meat grinder without proper heavy fire power support
all for the so called humane liberation , avoid harm toward civilians , only target military target ...etc

specially when they trying to liberation somewhere full of people that look like them , same culture , just different political ideology
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There is another way, albeit extremely sadistic. It would likely NOT be the first choice for Beijing. Look up the book White Snow, Red Blood (雪白血紅). God forbids, something similar could happen to various Taiwanese pockets of resistance once the PLA successfully lands and still faces well-established insurgencies in urban and town centres.
 
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peekaboo

Junior Member
Registered Member
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1911516244844355607

If China doesn't let up on these mineral controls, that'll be the telltale sign they are going for the killshot and not just using it as a negotiating tactic. When you go to war, the best time to cut off critical supplies for manufacturing war material for the enemy is not when the war starts. It's 5 years beforehand.
 
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lcloo

lcloo

Captain
Though not directly connect to AR, this comparison shows the financial resouces of Guangdong province on Mainland vs Taiwan.

Guangdong province's GDP significantly surpasses that of Taiwan. For example, in 2024:

  • Guangdong's GDP: Approximately $1.99 trillion.
  • Taiwan's GDP: Approximately $773 billion.
This makes Guangdong's economy more than double the size of Taiwan's.

Financial resources is directly link to monentary budget, and thus link to defense budget and therefore procurement of weapon and training expenditure. Imagine if Mainland were to spend 10% of Guangdong's GDP specifically on munitions for AR, that is US$199 Billion worth of artillery shells, drones, rockets, bomb, missiles etc.

Consider China make weapons at cheaper cost than US and NATO, that is far more than the US and NATO can buy with the same $199 billion.

This means Mainland can drop a huge amount of explosive on Taiwan before they send soldiers to land on the island, destroying the morale and the will of ROC forces to fight back.
 
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manqiangrexue

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
bsdnf said:
6 active-duty Taiwanese NCO and soldiers waved the five-star red flag in the camp and filmed a video to pledge their loyalty to the mainland

Wow, their morale is really in trouble
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When you're strong, people look for reasons to identify with you. China's recent show of strength to the Trump admin compared to the weakness shown by every other Asian entity including the ROC has left them a very easy task of identifying with blood rather than media. Once the US is beaten down (not necessarily kinetically), the Taiwan issue will be very easily resolved, almost self-resolving. People are not as stubborn as one might think.
 
Z

zlixOS

New Member
Registered Member
manqiangrexue said:
When you're strong, people look for reasons to identify with you. China's recent show of strength to the Trump admin compared to the weakness shown by every other Asian entity including the ROC has left them a very easy task of identifying with blood rather than media. Once the US is beaten down (not necessarily kinetically), the Taiwan issue will be very easily resolved, almost self-resolving. People are not as stubborn as one might think.
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Apt username, Mr. 热血
 
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