sorry, I meant shaheed-type drones.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
this type of drone are not sophisticated as far I understand they are basically one use drones with commercial electronics attach to it. my guess a month for factories that do similar drones for surveying and agriculture.
economy didn't even build to support aggressive behavior lead to scare of fighting , don't dare to act aggressive , and even in case of fighting > it also cause scare to escalate cause so many trouble
in a world of "deterrence" . the winner alway be the one show more aggressive behavior dare to escalate first
and the loser alway be the one dont dare to tit for tat , eye for an eye follow thought
just look at russia right now , throw around empty nuclear threat for 5 years now ukraine with US/europe hell even canada and japan supprot openly lob missile and drone attack deep inside russia hit many big city , assassinated many high ranking military offical right in middle of moscow ...
if i ...a nobody can see that , don't be surprise some big head in pentagon and tokyo also able to
Even if that is that is the case you are seriously underestimating how massive China as a country is and how much stuff is in the country, and is a country with huge strategic depth, you will likely to deplete your entire arsenal in a month before doing any significant damage.
And in top of that Similar to Iran has a probably the biggest network of military tunnels of any country, with even underground fabrication facilities. That was China strategy from the 80s and 90s to deal with superior US military.
Yes you may hit stuff here and there but for countries in the region who are islands where everything is packed together with little or zero strategic depth is going to hell on earth when they start to get fire back. They could be deindustrialized really fast. Is ridiculous to even think about it.
And in top of that Similar to Iran has a probably the biggest network of military tunnels of any country, with even underground fabrication facilities. That was China strategy from the 80s and 90s to deal with superior US military.
Yes you may hit stuff here and there but for countries in the region who are islands where everything is packed together with little or zero strategic depth is going to hell on earth when they start to get fire back. They could be deindustrialized really fast. Is ridiculous to even think about it.
Mind helping me out with this source? I think Asia maritime transparency initiative but a tad pixellated
E* okay found it,
lol, CSIS
lcloo
Major
Peace time production rates depend on sales orders. There is always un-utilized production capacity. They could easily double production rates. For military related items 4X war time production rate vs peace time should be expected, they always have contingency plans for production surge as well as new production sites should existing ones destroyed in attacks.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
It’s a bit of a stretch to suggest that civilian factories would only be operating at 50% capacity in China’s hyper competitive business environment.
However, at the same time that 2X production increase estimate is almost certainly massively underestimating China’s war economic transition capabilities because China is far and away the world’s biggest and most comprehensive maker of industrial tools and production systems, especially so in cutting edge stuff like 3D printing and high automation production.
China’s greatest strength lies not in massive existing overcapacity as the Europeans and Americans accuses, but in how rapidly and comprehensively its manufacturing industry can pivot and spin up brand new production capacity.
COVID19 is probably the only remotely appropriate case study, and if you examine the scale, scope and speed at which Chinese industry was able to ramp up production of medical supplies (not just basics like face masks and gloves, but also testing kits, high end intensive care medical equipment and whole new hospitals etc), you will get a taster of the scale and scope of the changes possible.
Because of a hyper-competitive business environment, manufacturers require decreased operating costs. The market size is limited; producing too many products only leads to unsold stock and bankruptcy.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
So why eat all that additional fixed overheads?
One of the true strengths of Chinese manufacturing is how fast they can scale up and down.
If I normally make 100k units a month but I got a one-off bulk order for 500k units to be delivered in 3 months, is far better to either take out a short term lease and rent production machines and bring in a bunch of temp labour, or even subcontractor out part of the work, rather than make the massive fixed investments needed to permanently increase production capacity to be able to meet that spike in demand.
If in the course of fulfilling this bulk order I secure more such orders, I can just extend the lease arrangements for however long it’s necessary, and if demand continues to be at that level, then it’s a far smaller additional cost to make that arrangement more permanent.
That’s how most SME businesses operate, partly due to the additional safety margins of not being potentially overextended with long term commitments, and partly due to the reality that most companies are unlikely to have the financial means to massively permanently increase their output due to the huge financial outlay that would entail.