Eh I’m arguing that the new MBT is pretty irrelevant to the Taiwan campaign. For other engagements please review what I’ve already shared about thinking in terms of changes in maneuver doctrine.I concur with the argument that the new MBT is well suited for a Taiwan campaign, but given the limited role the PLAGF would play in such a campaign, wouldn't there be other theaters that this tank is more likely to fight in?
For instance - how would this tank do vs the Indian Army at 2km engagement ranges in Aksai Chin, or vs insurgents in a hypothetical Chinese intervention in Myanmar?
This is my initial view on the matter as well. If a good share of offensive capabilities is offloaded to networked close air support assets then ground fighting might increasingly favor tank forces that can be transported more quickly and execute faster maneuvers. After all a critical dimension of advantage in systems centric warfare is speed.
Even if this is the case though I do think that ground forces still need a heavy tank to *hold* positions, so there probably should be a heavy tank in the works as well, though the number of different tank types in the future force structure might be changing if what we’re seeing with this new light/medium tank in fact reflects a change in thinking about tank warfare doctrine.
I don’t think of this as indexing on drone warfare in Ukraine so much as adapting to new technological and tactical contexts. The point of the argument isn’t to only to depend on light tanks, but rather how a different kind of light tank might fit into the context of new thinking on broader ground warfare doctrine. The thinking is organized not around counteracting the prevalence of drones but around how to leverage available new capabilities to best achieve the primary objectives of ground warfare (which is generate maneuver advantages to take and then hold territory). This new tank needs to be seen in the context of other potential future platforms around it. If the thesis for the thinking behind this tank is correct this is but one piece in a whole system of new ground warfare doctrine. That at least would be the case for this tank being the primary mainstay of the future tank force (which to be clear we don’t in fact know to be the case currently).