Maggern
Junior Member
Aside from a politically weakened NATO, China has little to gain from a de-stabilized Afghanistan. As many of you point out, Afghanistan is next door, and with some kind of ties between the muslim population of Afghanistan and the muslim population of Xinjiang, there is bound to be some ramifications across the border if Afghanistan falls apart. In addition, stability in Afghanistan is alpha and omega when thinking about stability in Pakistan, which is a close Chinese ally. Not to mention SampanViking's (who presents really good points here) point about oil pipelines. China has every reason to have a positive interest in Afghanistan's stability.
An interesting point here is that NATO and Russia worked out a deal to use Russian railways to transport some supplies to Afganistan. If NATO can trust the Russians enough to let them transport some of their supplies, there shouldn't be much in the way for trusting China to at least have some kind of hand in the situation.
If Afghanistan decides to join SCO (currently an observer), and SCO agrees, there should be mechanisms available for a larger SCO operation in Afghanistan. It would be hard for NATO to try and stop this, as they use much energy to ensure the authority of the Afghani government.
An interesting point here is that NATO and Russia worked out a deal to use Russian railways to transport some supplies to Afganistan. If NATO can trust the Russians enough to let them transport some of their supplies, there shouldn't be much in the way for trusting China to at least have some kind of hand in the situation.
If Afghanistan decides to join SCO (currently an observer), and SCO agrees, there should be mechanisms available for a larger SCO operation in Afghanistan. It would be hard for NATO to try and stop this, as they use much energy to ensure the authority of the Afghani government.