I think it's a bit much.
Still early days of course, but I wouldn't pin my hopes on those dates or even on all those projects
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- Thread starter Jeff Head
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I think it's a bit much.
Still early days of course, but I wouldn't pin my hopes on those dates or even on all those projects
Organizing by year for simpler reading as the years go by! (Assuming we find out the reliability of the user and/or realize some of the predictions soon.)
2021: 5 new aircraft = 3 variants + 2 clean-sheet designs
H-6X bomber
J-20 2-seater fighter
J-35 carrier-based fighter
J-15B EM-catapult carrier-based fighter
?-7 stealth attack aircraft
2022: 5 new aircraft = 1 variant + 4 clean-sheet designs
J-20 with WS-15
IAC-313A 14-ton advanced civil helicopter
10-ton special operations/assault helicopter
10-ton heavy armed helicopter
AC-332 4-ton civil helicopter
2023: 8 new aircraft = 1 variant + 7 clean-sheet designs
H-20 strategic bomber
F-15BB EM-catapult carrier-based electronic warfare aircraft
X814-15 ton heavy military helicopter (military version of AC313A)
AC-322 2-3 ton advanced civil helicopter
AC-352 7-ton advanced civil civil helicopter
Large tilt rotor verification aircraft
Long-range stealth attack aircraft
UAV with 20 ton payload
2024: 1 new aircraft = 0 variants + 1 clean-sheet design
Stealth attack aircraft
2025: 3 new aircraft = 0 variants + 3 clean-sheet designs
CR-929 long range widebody airliner
F-20BD two-seater electronic warfare
Heavy duty 35-40 ton lift helicopter
So, this seems beyond the wildest wet dreams of any fanboy of any military ever. Here is to hoping!
So apparently 5 bomber/attack, 4 fighter (2 carrier-based), 6 helicopters (5 heavy, 1 medium, 2 light), 1 tiltrotor, 2 EW (1 carrier-based), 1 civil passenger plane, 1 civil helicopter
For a total of 22 aircraft (17 clean-sheet designs), 18 of which (13 clean-sheet designs) in the next <3 years.
Definitely skeptical but gonna stay in fantasy land for now
**Correction**
Unknown type of high-speed propulsion full-size prototype (aircraft) first flight in 2025
While I do have a bit of skepticism about timeline, I am convinced these are all "must-have" requirements for the next 10 years. This simply attempts to achieve parity in quality with American assets in all classes, which is likely required in case of a full decoupling. Previously, there was the hope that China could spend less on military and the US continue its role as a global policeman. This possibility is now zero, and China will now unfortunately be required to "conventionalize" its forces and supporting logistics along american lines.
This is one unfortunate circumstances that I'm too happy about. Question, what is a clean sheet design?