News on China's scientific and technological development.

Weaasel

Senior Member
Registered Member
Huawei has already failed and so has China.

China is being cut out of the global market and global supply chains controlled by the US.

Every country is at the mercy of the US. Not only China.

Tell me, was the Chinese economy booming during the autarky era of Mao Zedong in the 1970s? Was China rich then? Was China booming during the Qing Dynasty in the 1800s?

China should seek better relations with the US and the world.

When China seeks better relations, as under Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao, it will succeed tremendously. It will become the world's largest economy and the world's greatest power.

But when China turns it back on the world and starts picking a fight with everyone, especially the US, it will fail, as it did during the isolation era of Qing Dynasty and the Cultural Revolution.

The lesson of hundreds of years of Chinese modern history has never wavered for a moment.

Isolation and fighting is failure. But reform and opening up is success.

No matter what path China follows this iron law will never change. Currently under Xi Jinping China is returning to the path of Mao Zedong and the Qing Dynasty, isolation and fighting. Therefore, China will enter a new era of failure and stagnation.

If China changes course again, its fortunes will change.


This is a defeatist mentality that assumes China is completely helpless and that capitulation will make those that want to see China weak be kinder to China. It is a thoroughly flawed mindset to have.
 

Jiang ZeminFanboy

Senior Member
Registered Member
Huawei has already failed and so has China.

China is being cut out of the global market and global supply chains controlled by the US.

Every country is at the mercy of the US. Not only China.

Tell me, was the Chinese economy booming during the autarky era of Mao Zedong in the 1970s? Was China rich then? Was China booming during the Qing Dynasty in the 1800s?

China should seek better relations with the US and the world.

When China seeks better relations, as under Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao, it will succeed tremendously. It will become the world's largest economy and the world's greatest power.

But when China turns it back on the world and starts picking a fight with everyone, especially the US, it will fail, as it did during the isolation era of Qing Dynasty and the Cultural Revolution.

The lesson of hundreds of years of Chinese modern history has never wavered for a moment.

Isolation and fighting is failure. But reform and opening up is success.

No matter what path China follows this iron law will never change. Currently under Xi Jinping China is returning to the path of Mao Zedong and the Qing Dynasty, isolation and fighting. Therefore, China will enter a new era of failure and stagnation.

If China changes course again, its fortunes will change.

Are you a Pompeo advisor? Can't wait to see faces of Pompeo's cultist when China succed.
 

machupicu

Junior Member
Registered Member
Huawei has already failed and so has China.

China is being cut out of the global market and global supply chains controlled by the US.

Every country is at the mercy of the US. Not only China.

Tell me, was the Chinese economy booming during the autarky era of Mao Zedong in the 1970s? Was China rich then? Was China booming during the Qing Dynasty in the 1800s?

China should seek better relations with the US and the world.

When China seeks better relations, as under Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao, it will succeed tremendously. It will become the world's largest economy and the world's greatest power.

But when China turns it back on the world and starts picking a fight with everyone, especially the US, it will fail, as it did during the isolation era of Qing Dynasty and the Cultural Revolution.

The lesson of hundreds of years of Chinese modern history has never wavered for a moment.

Isolation and fighting is failure. But reform and opening up is success.

No matter what path China follows this iron law will never change. Currently under Xi Jinping China is returning to the path of Mao Zedong and the Qing Dynasty, isolation and fighting. Therefore, China will enter a new era of failure and stagnation.

If China changes course again, its fortunes will change.
The first sentence gave away your inner thought of feeling insecure, abt Huawei & china.

Where and how has Huawei failed? How has china failed? Foreign & mainstream media like to portray china as being weak.

If u really want to know the (evil) genius of how USA put a strong hold on countries incl china, plz read the book: confession of an economic hitman
In there you will find all the answers.
 

Weaasel

Senior Member
Registered Member
Yes, research can be done in tandem


Lack of equipment is what is holding back SMIC. Specifically high end EUV lithographs. There should be 1000 lithography start ups. Not 1000 chip design companies startups. Just my two cents. If SMIC had the right equipment they can achieve 5nm or 7nm much easier. But of course this will never happen, because China's culture has always been to go the easy route rather than conquer the core technology such as lithography. All these chip design companies and fabs will always be content on importing equipment. Thats why SMIC getting sanctioned wouldnt be all bad.

Had these companies had the same mindset of conquering core technology 10yrs ago we wouldn't be in this situation. Instead they were all content importing chips and chip making equipment.

Why is there only SMEE developing lithography equipment?

China has little choice now but to NOT GO the easy way out...
 

Weaasel

Senior Member
Registered Member
It has nothing to do with copying but everything to do with supporting your local company Eg both Samsung semiconductor and SMIC both started by emigre but that is the only similarity
Samsung family founder Lee took what was then a fledgling venture company under Samsung wing even against the opposition of Samsung board. He end up using his personal money to support the then venture company allowing it to grow because he has vision.

But SMIC languished for 10 years because they have to scrapped the bottom for living. Nobody give them support other than maybe local municipality

The attitude among Chinese companies in relation to semiconductors and semiconductor manufacturing equipment is or certainly was that the makers in the West and Japan will continue selling to China because China is the largest market in the world. There was a prevailing hubris that China's market would prevent the governments of foreign countries that sell high end tech to China from placing an embargo on such tech sales.

Now that the United States has demonstrated its capability in making other countries comply to ensure that their companies do not makes sales to China of items that the United States does not want them to sell to China, they are finally giving domestic makers MUCH attention.
 

Weaasel

Senior Member
Registered Member
Hi localizer,

Where can China get the talent needed for Chip development? the criteria is experience and tech expertise and Taiwan is where the talents are, with added advantage of shared language and culture.

Talent? Are they just magically talented or do they apply themselves? One develops the talent through proper application of research and development and recruiting Chinese citizens interested in science and technology, equipping them with the necessary resources, setting them tasks and permitting them considerable permission for exploration and innovation at the same time, and rewarding them very well for their success such as financially and with adulation!
 

ericlfh

New Member
Registered Member
And they will be refused. And when they are refused, they will comply. If they really sided with Huawei, they would say to hell with US suppliers, we will develop our own production lines without US equipment. But they will not do this. Instead, they will replace their sales to Huawei with sales to Apple, Intel, Google, and other US companies. Plus Taiwanese companies. Watch what they do, not what they say. Just watch.

This is something that China must overcome in this stage it is their final hurdle. If China can suceed like it said it can, then there is nothing else that can hold it back anymore. If it fail, then it will fall back to humiliation era.

However, if it give up now just accept US terms, of course things will turn up better immediately, but then China will be just like any other US dogs (Japan, Korea, India, Taiwan, Singapore etc) that had came and failed before.

If you want to be top, you have to take care of the of the number 1 first. It is exciting times we are living in (for Chinese anyway). It is either do or die and I hope the CCP have the will to fight on.
 

machupicu

Junior Member
Registered Member
But when China turns it back on the world and starts picking a fight with everyone, especially the US, it will fail, as it did during the isolation era of Qing Dynasty and the Cultural Revolution.

The lesson of hundreds of years of Chinese modern history has never wavered for a moment.

Isolation and fighting is failure. But reform and opening up is success.
You reverse the history upside down, it was British that forced China to accept opium, and when refused a war was forced on China. It was about colonialism.

Then early 20th century with the 8-country alliance attacking china. It's not about picking up a fight, rather they came to china looking for a fight. Your perception of reality is upside down
 

weig2000

Captain
And they will be refused. And when they are refused, they will comply. If they really sided with Huawei, they would say to hell with US suppliers, we will develop our own production lines without US equipment. But they will not do this. Instead, they will replace their sales to Huawei with sales to Apple, Intel, Google, and other US companies. Plus Taiwanese companies. Watch what they do, not what they say. Just watch.

I was merely trying to tell you the difference between "complying with US export control" and "teaming up against Huawei." They're very different in intention and in their broader dealings with Huawei.

It's probably too difficult for you to understand the difference, or you're just taking some simple pleasure in Huawei's temporary difficult situation for whatever reasons, judging from you postings here.

I will refrain from wasting more time on responding further to your posts. Just a simple note: Sanctions have never worked on China judging from the historical precedents, it's hard to believe this time will be different. It's very likely China will emerge out of this as a winner. You're celebrating way too early.
 
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