News on China's scientific and technological development.

tphuang

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Well oil is not only for transport but they also use it as base product for Petrochemical . Long haul transportation still need oil there is move to replace it with Hydrogen but it will be a while. China domestic source of hydrocarbon is only 30% the rest still imported oil. Oil from Russia and central Asia constitute very small percentage maybe only 10% .The bulk of oil still come from Middle east and Africa using ship!
Yep, did a calculation on that also, China can get over 50% of its 2021 oil need through domestic production and from Russian pipelines, oil tankers and Central Asia/Myanmar pipeline. Over the next few years, China can function completely domestically with minimal ICE vehicles. And since that represents 60% of oil usage in China, china can pretty much survive any blockade of Malacca straits. And also, they would no longer be exporting stuff, so shipping sector demand would be way down.

I mean it never hurts to have additional way of producing what get from oil. It also never hurts to have ways of generating electricity in the event Australia decides to cut china off. But china's economy is pretty immune to event the worst case blockade now.
 

latenlazy

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Yep, did a calculation on that also, China can get over 50% of its 2021 oil need through domestic production and from Russian pipelines, oil tankers and Central Asia/Myanmar pipeline. Over the next few years, China can function completely domestically with minimal ICE vehicles. And since that represents 60% of oil usage in China, china can pretty much survive any blockade of Malacca straits. And also, they would no longer be exporting stuff, so shipping sector demand would be way down.

I mean it never hurts to have additional way of producing what get from oil. It also never hurts to have ways of generating electricity in the event Australia decides to cut china off. But china's economy is pretty immune to event the worst case blockade now.
You’d still need to factor in imports of commodities for minerals used in batteries I think. Not as easy to squeeze as oil, but nonetheless still a point of vulnerability.
 

Hendrik_2000

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Yep, did a calculation on that also, China can get over 50% of its 2021 oil need through domestic production and from Russian pipelines, oil tankers and Central Asia/Myanmar pipeline. Over the next few years, China can function completely domestically with minimal ICE vehicles. And since that represents 60% of oil usage in China, china can pretty much survive any blockade of Malacca straits. And also, they would no longer be exporting stuff, so shipping sector demand would be way down.

I mean it never hurts to have additional way of producing what get from oil. It also never hurts to have ways of generating electricity in the event Australia decides to cut china off. But china's economy is pretty immune to event the worst case blockade now.
It is not only oil that will get embargo but normal shipping of good will also got embargo. China try to alleviate this problem by opening new steel silk road thru Russia and central Asia but it still take time to expand the infrastructure. I think they will built new rail line in Central Asia after decade of negotiation. Sofar it is only minuscule compare to sea route trade. 60% Energy import is not to trifle. It will affect hugely on Chinese economy.
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But I guess they realized it too and try to mitigate by opening more pipeline and gas from Russia. Fortunately Russia is reliable neighbors and rich with mineral wealth. Today we have new that China and Russia will sign Power Siberia II agreement. China is probably better prepared than most when it come to embargo.
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With huge railway network crisscrossing the country and most big cities have subway and electric busses. Most of railway are electric. Yes they will suffer since there will be no gas or rationing for private car But they can get by. Still long distance freight will suffer and it will affect the economy. So time is now to prepared for the day. Oil and gas is also used for petrochemical feed, fertilizer, plastic etc .So it is not just transportation.
 
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eprash

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In 2018, a Chinese scientist just announced the results of his successful "8-photon entanglement" experiment, and the scientific community was instantly boiling as if bombed by an atomic bomb. This is because this problem has plagued the quantum field for many years, and there has been no solution, but Lu Chaoyang completed such a difficult breakthrough in just three years.

In fact, this is the fourth time that he has broken the world record. Not only that, but also a series of records on the "multi-photon entanglement" problem that has disturbed experts before are all solved by Lu. For such a talent, the United Kingdom promised an annual salary of one million euros. but he rejected and said, he was Chinese and it was his land that give him nutrients. he returned back to China.
I'm surprised they didn't place him under house arrest
 

tphuang

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Lol, no. It takes ~20 years to completely switch out a vehicle fleet even if everyone single new car sold was an EV this year - and it's not.
The average vehicle age in China is 4 years. Based on the current NEV sales explosion, we will be at 50% all new car sold being NEV by 2024. Which means, by 2027/2028, 50% of all PVs will be NEVs. If China cannot function with half of its current vehicles (keep in mind, a lot of people with ICE cars have bought NEVs recently) on the road, it has big issues.

China can accelerate the retirement of ICE cars by early 2030s if it implements a cash for clunker program. At a certain saturation point, people will just find it too inconvenient to own ICE cars and dump them.

So yeah, China's reliance on oil is going way down. No reason, China cannot survive on its own production and whatever it gets through pipelines and Russia.

Metals will actually be a bigger issue, but that's another topic.
 

latenlazy

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The average vehicle age in China is 4 years. Based on the current NEV sales explosion, we will be at 50% all new car sold being NEV by 2024. Which means, by 2027/2028, 50% of all PVs will be NEVs. If China cannot function with half of its current vehicles (keep in mind, a lot of people with ICE cars have bought NEVs recently) on the road, it has big issues.

China can accelerate the retirement of ICE cars by early 2030s if it implements a cash for clunker program. At a certain saturation point, people will just find it too inconvenient to own ICE cars and dump them.

So yeah, China's reliance on oil is going way down. No reason, China cannot survive on its own production and whatever it gets through pipelines and Russia.

Metals will actually be a bigger issue, but that's another topic.
Also turnover might be faster for domestic branded cars, especially older ones, since a good share of those were from older product lines that aren’t as reliable and durable.
 

tokenanalyst

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Shanghai Silicate Institute has made new progress in the research of 3D printing silicon carbide ceramics​


Silicon carbide (SiC) ceramics have become an urgent problem to be overcome in 3D printing ceramics due to their easy oxidation, difficult melting, and high light absorption. At present, most 3D printing SiC ceramic methods have low solid content, high silicon content, and mechanical properties. Lower, generally adopt chemical vapor deposition CVI (Chemical Vapor Infiltration) or precursor impregnation pyrolysis PIP (Precursor Infiltration Pyrolysis) and other post-processing processes to increase the solid content of the material to achieve the improvement of the comprehensive performance of the ceramic material, which is bound to reduce the 3D printing SiC ceramic process. the superiority.

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Schematic diagram of 3D printing of SiC ceramics

Recently, associate researcher Chen Jian of the research team of Huang Zhengren from Shanghai Institute of Ceramics, Chinese Academy of Sciences proposed for the first time a new method of high temperature fused deposition combined with reaction sintering to prepare SiC ceramics. The method adopts high-temperature in-situ interface modification powder and slow-release of low-temperature stress to prepare a high-plasticity printing body, and obtains a high-plasticity printing body with low melting point and high boiling point, and the solid content of the material exceeds 60vol%; After printing, the equivalent carbon density of the printed ceramic sample can be precisely adjusted to 0.80 g·cm-3 after degreasing. At the same time, the topology optimization design of the ceramic printing path can form tree-shaped multi-level pores in the sample; the final ceramic sample does not require CVI or After PIP treatment, direct reaction silicon infiltration and sintering can achieve high-efficiency infiltration of low residual silicon/carbon and material densification. The amount is 346.35±22.80 GPa, and the mechanical properties of the ceramics are close to those of the reaction-sintered SiC ceramics prepared by the traditional method. Relevant research results were published in Additive Manufacturing (doi.org/10.1016/j.addma.2022.102994), and 2 Chinese invention patents were applied for. At the same time, the plastomer printing method avoids the potential harm of powder printing under microgravity conditions, which is a future space 3D printing offers the possibility.

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SiC ceramics of different shapes and sizes

The co-first authors of the paper are master student Li Fanfan and doctoral student Ma Ningning of Shanghai Institute of Ceramics, and the corresponding authors are associate researcher Chen Jian and researcher Huang Zhengren. Relevant research has been funded and supported by the National Key R&D Program, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, and the Shanghai Natural Science Foundation.

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Machined ~200mm 3D printed SiC ceramic
 
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