Miscellaneous News

This stooge either works for defense contractors or he smoking some strong drugs. He believe the 102% with a 2% of margin of error success rate of UAE air defenses claims. If they hit your high end radars who are one the most valuable assets in war what else they didn´t hit.
I saw a Iranian missile eating SIX PAC-3 interceptors and still hit the US base.

JohnnyD said:

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Then perhaps you should do something about wannabe napoleon, granny fetishist, closeted Macron who said he wants to take on not just the US but China as well.

supercat said:

Today's contradicting news story:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2042659122433397191

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That’s not accounting for the shadow fleet and ships not appearing on western logs, as Citrini research discovered.


peace talks now underway.


Isrselis will say this with a straight face because they honestly do not see non Jews as humans, they see Koreans in this case as a case of cattle killing cattle, it’s not the same to them as a human dying because they only see Jews as people.

mat said:

I understand Philippines but can someone explain to me why Myanmar and Cambodia are leaning towards the US?

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Idk Cambodia but in Myanmar for some reason people blame China for the 2021 coup.

Trump's number one propaganda mouthpiece preparing their acolytes for the outcome of the US ceding control of Hormuz to Iran.

supercat said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2042655718663401596

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Quote from the tweet:

What's interesting here is that it's largely the more functional SEA countries that are going pro-China!

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So Myanmar and the Philippines aren't considered as "functional SEA countries," which sounds about right lmao (one is mired in decades of endless self-made troubles, the other is a literal troublemaker).

Vietnam needs to do better. But at least their CPV in Hanoi is more level-headed (for the time being) than those bootlickers in Ho Chi Minh.

As for Cambodia, I'd say that it's time for China to switch sides and support Thailand. What a bunch of ingrates after having China's backing for so many years, let alone housing so many criminal syndicates that preyed on not just people from China, but also people from all across SEA.

ACuriousPLAFan said:

Quote from the tweet:


View attachment 173274

So Myanmar and the Philippines aren't considered as "functional SEA countries," which sounds about right lmao (one is mired in decades of endless self-made troubles, the other is a literal troublemaker).

Vietnam needs to do better. But at least their CPV in Hanoi is more level-headed (for the time being) than those bootlickers in Ho Chi Minh.

As for Cambodia, I'd say that it's time for China to switch sides and support Thailand. What a bunch of ingrates after having China's backing for so many years, let alone housing so many criminal syndicates that preyed on not just people from China, but also people from all across SEA.

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This icon can actually be interpreted as indicating that the farther Southeast Asian countries are from mainland China, the better their relations. The Philippines is an exception mainly because it is foolish; it accepted becoming a puppet of the United States and Japan in their confrontation with China.

neutralobserver said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2042616593566367776

Wild that this is the takeaway they got from the Iran failure...

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There's too many funny sections in this op-ed, but there are moments of lucidity where the author regains his senses (if only for a paragraph or two):

[...]
There is one significant challenge that the United States and Israel did not overcome: preventing Iran from using antiship missiles, drones, and mines to close the Strait of Hormuz. They similarly have had trouble stopping the Houthis’ attacks on ships in the Red Sea over the past few years. Even the most sophisticated militaries struggle to locate and neutralize antiship missiles and drones before an attacker launches them. The difficulty is likely to persist because of the small size and mobility of these weapons. Surveillance and airstrikes can chip away at this advantage, but in general, approaching the shore of a hostile country by ship remains a dangerous proposition.

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...but he can't restrain himself from praising how effective American ABM defences were in Iran. Since the UAE intercepted 99% of Iranian BMs and drones without expending all of its Patriots, that obviously means that the outcome will also be the same with China. But in the U.S. Navy's case, they will (somehow?) intercept 100% of the PLARF/PLAN's larger stockpile of far more advanced BMs and AShMs!

[...]
But on the whole, Washington’s success calls into question pessimistic assumptions about Taiwan, particularly given how few Iranian missiles and drones were able to penetrate U.S. and allied defenses. Iran’s barrage was by no means small—it had launched approximately 850 ballistic and cruise missiles by mid-March—and was certainly large enough to warrant reassessment of how many Chinese missiles U.S. and allied defenses may intercept. Even a small reduction in the efficacy of Chinese strikes could be significant if it allows some U.S. bases and a good number of ships to remain operational. War games tend to assume that U.S. and allied air defenses can shoot down between 75 and 91 percent of incoming missiles, until interceptors are exhausted or destroyed by the enemy. But the war with Iran suggests that these numbers may be too low. The UAE appears to have intercepted 99 percent of all incoming missiles and to have done well against drones, too, without exhausting its interceptors. If U.S. and allied defenses again prove more efficient than expected in a war against China (and if Washington adequately restocks), bases in the Western Pacific might endure a Chinese bombardment, enabling U.S. air and naval operations to degrade Chinese forces amid an invasion of Taiwan. The U.S. military may still not be able to thwart a Chinese invasion, but if China expects to incur higher losses, it could change its calculations.

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Probably the most ridiculous section is where the author tries to insinuate that Chinese IADS is just as lacking as Iran's was (Venezuela-style). Therefore, the USAF and USN should be able to fly with impunity over mainland China, neutralising BM launch sites and simultaneously carry out decapitation strikes against the CMC...

[...]
China might also have reason to worry about the safety of its ballistic missile launchers and military commanders, depending on the effectiveness of Chinese air defenses. If those defenses match the U.S. and Israeli capabilities that have been on display over the past several weeks, there is less cause for concern, since the United States would be unable to conduct decapitation attacks or hunt ballistic missiles and other mobile targets in the event of a war. Yet if China’s capabilities are substantially weaker—unlikely, but a possibility China cannot rule out—its missile launchers on the ground and even its military leadership would be vulnerable.

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...and one last moment of lucidity:

[...]
A war in Asia would halt trade and suspend Taiwan’s semiconductor industry, hurting the U.S. and Chinese economies alike. Taking into account that unwanted consequence and the increased difficulty of a military campaign, Xi may instead focus on other means of pursuing “reunification” with Taiwan, such as diplomacy, economic coercion and incentives, and political subversion.

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You mean like what China has been doing for the last two decades?

I can't tell if American think-tankers really are getting dumber with every passing year. Then again, if the Pentagon and the White House are listening to the "advice" of people like this, then perhaps it is a good thing for China in the long run.

ACuriousPLAFan said:

Quote from the tweet:


View attachment 173274

So Myanmar and the Philippines aren't considered as "functional SEA countries," which sounds about right lmao (one is mired in decades of endless self-made troubles, the other is a literal troublemaker).

Vietnam needs to do better. But at least their CPV in Hanoi is more level-headed (for the time being) than those bootlickers in Ho Chi Minh.

As for Cambodia, I'd say that it's time for China to switch sides and support Thailand. What a bunch of ingrates after having China's backing for so many years, let alone housing so many criminal syndicates that preyed on not just people from China, but also people from all across SEA.

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China doesn't really support Cambodia much more than Thailand, they're about equal. The clearest sign of this was during the war you had Thai troops driving made in China tanks and IFV overrunning Cambodia position capturing made in China ATGM. Shilao even made a joke that next time Thai guys meets up with Norinco to get their tank serviced they should ask for user manual in Thai for those ATGMs they captured, and Norinco should totally do it and let them try it out then if they like them try to sell them more.

But yes I agree with the notion that it's better for Cambodia to suffer that set back when they did to cool their heads instead of in the future were they put their 056 into use against Thai and then eat a salvo of anti-ship missile in return.

tokenanalyst said:

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This stooge either works for defense contractors or he smoking some strong drugs. He believe the 102% with a 2% of margin of error success rate of UAE air defenses claims. If they hit your high end radars who are one the most valuable assets in war what else they didn´t hit.
I saw a Iranian missile eating SIX PAC-3 interceptors and still hit the US base.
View attachment 173271

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A scenario that could become a reality is the ability of China to lob missiles onto American cities, like Iran is doing to its Arab neighbors and Israel with abandon. When the Americans see the destruction of their critical buildings and infrastructures destroyed with pinpoint accuracy, haters will sober up.

ACuriousPLAFan said:

Quote from the tweet:


View attachment 173274

So Myanmar and the Philippines aren't considered as "functional SEA countries," which sounds about right lmao (one is mired in decades of endless self-made troubles, the other is a literal troublemaker).

Vietnam needs to do better. But at least their CPV in Hanoi is more level-headed (for the time being) than those bootlickers in Ho Chi Minh.

As for Cambodia, I'd say that it's time for China to switch sides and support Thailand. What a bunch of ingrates after having China's backing for so many years, let alone housing so many criminal syndicates that preyed on not just people from China, but also people from all across SEA.

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At the end of the day, it doesn't matter. There are some countries in South America that dislike the US as well. It pretty much boils down to, if one day, one of these countries goes too far in threatening the strategic interests of China, they will get a spanking. Simple as that.