Miscellaneous News

tamsen_ikard said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010361479686435115

Iran feels eerily similar to hong kong rioters. Similar appeal to the west for intervention. Unrealistic senae western worship and destruction and rioting without restraint.

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The difference is that Hong Kong has a vibrant economy, while Iran's is in ruins. According to IMF, in 2025-2026, Iran's per capita GDP is $4,250, while India's is $3,050. Any government that runs the economy into the ground is in trouble. You can argue that Iran has been under sanctions. But it could still do better than this.

FriedButter said:

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Turns out critical thinking isn’t the only problem. The brain is fully smooth.

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Those are college students. Imagine those who do not go to college. You can't bring manufacturing jobs back if your workers and technicians are functionally illiterate.

_killuminati_ said:

Something all countries should do immediately,

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010370128895164618

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Decoupling is much more than Physical decoupling. West is state of mind. A country can be European but not Western. This Iran and India will have severe problem with millions of single women and it was written decades before in my favorite place. They watch every country in region. Russia is setting example due to Ukraine conflict. The coming generation of these Russians is that good that Russia can push greater %age of its population towards vocational, push women out of work (except culture and family business) and still can lead in most advanced industries in almost every field. All this thanks to Soft Power that Putin want to shape cultural life without hard crackdown.

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Our country is an integral part of the same cultural and value space in which the traditional Islamic world exists," Lantratova emphasized.

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Vladimir Putin: "We have enough of our own talent and production facilities."
May 23, 2025

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siegecrossbow said:

It’s been around a week since the blanket ban has been announced. Has any media outlet in Japan covered the true extent of the sanctions or are they still burying their heads in the sand still?

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I think the goal is to force Japanese companies to sign end user contracts to access this products. So if 95% of the revenue of a company depends on access to these resources will be very hard to justify the 5% that depends on military contracts. Like a Sword of Damocles of some sort, even the suspicion that these resources are being transferred to military purposes or worse if they are being used to arm the DPP could cause the MIIT to cut them off completely.

tokenanalyst said:

I think the goal is to force Japanese companies to sign end user contracts to access this products. So if 95% of the revenue of a company depends on access to these resources will be very hard to justify the 5% that depends on military contracts. Like a Sword of Damocles of some sort, even the suspicion that these resources are being transferred to military purposes or worse if they are being used to arm the DPP could cause the MIIT to cut them off completely.

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I know what the goal is. My question is has the Japanese taken any solid steps to even acknowledge the problems, let alone solve them.

siegecrossbow said:

I know what the goal is. My question is has the Japanese taken any solid steps to even acknowledge the problems, let alone solve them.

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Lol these people are right wingers stooges they will rather let Toyota fail than admit they are wrong and she probably feels that her popularity depends on it. So her mouth put her between a rock and hard place. These are industrial goods so it wont affect normal people but it will affect corporations, the people who donate to these politicians.

‘Kill Switch’—Iran Shuts Down Starlink Internet For First Time​

We have not seen this before. Iran’s digital blackout has now deployed military jammers to shut down access to Starlink. This is a game-changer for Plan-B connectivity for protesters and anti-regime activists when domestic internet plugs are pulled.

“Despite reports that tens of thousands of Starlink units are operating inside Iran,” Iran Wire reports, “the blackout has also reached satellite connections.” It is reported that about 30 per cent of Starlink’s uplink and downlink traffic was (initially) disrupted," quickly rising “to more than 80 per cent” within hours.

The Times of Israel says “the deployment of (Starlink) receivers is now far greater in Iran” than during previous blackouts. “That’s despite the government never authorizing Starlink to function, making the service illegal to possess and use.”

But Starlink receivers use GPS to locate and connect to satellites. “Since its 12-day war with Israel last June," The Times says, “Iran has been disrupting GPS signals.” That means shutdowns are localized, and has resulted in a patchwork quilt of Starlink connectivity, including near blackouts in some high-profile areas.

he Miaan Group’s Amir Rashidi told TechRadar “I have been monitoring and researching access to the internet for the past 20 years, and I have never seen such a thing in my life.” Monitoring the sudden drop in Starlink data packets supports reports on the ground that satellite connectivity has been heavily affected.

Simon Migliano, who has just compiled a comprehensive report into recent internet shutdowns, told me “Iran’s current nationwide blackout is a blunt instrument intended to crush dissent," and this comes at a stark cost to the country, underpinning the regime’s desperation. “This 'kill switch’ approach comes at a staggering price, draining $1.56 million from Iran’s economy every single hour the internet is down.”

Overnight, NetBlocks reported that “Iran’s internet blackout is now past the 60 hour mark as national connectivity levels continue to flatline around 1% of ordinary levels."

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It is reported that about 30 per cent of Starlink’s uplink and downlink traffic was (initially) disrupted, quickly rising “to more than 80 per cent” within hours.

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So Iran has the capabilities to shove the chair under Elon Starlink.

FriedButter said:

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So Iran has the capabilities to shove the chair under Elon Starlink.

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It's also not hard to have a couple of drones in the air and localize all Ku-band traffic.

Let's not kid ourselves, this is just war and Iran's job is hunt down Mossad infiltration, obviously the only appropriate way to deal with them after localization is death.

iewgnem said:

It's also not hard to have a couple of drones in the air and localize all Ku-band traffic.

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What does that mean?

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^^possible diversion from this:
"Certain tourists" have a habit of starting fires in Patagonia, a federally protected nature reserve. Milei recently abolished a law that now results in protected reserves, if destroyed by fire, no longer being protected reserves which Milei is putting up for auction. Straight up conman tricks.

Minm said:

Most likely the protests will be crushed, as they've always been. But then you'll say that because there could be protests again, it's still not safe enough to invest. The core problem is economic. It wouldn't be hard for China to help with development, paid for with oil and gas. Corruption is a consequence of the snuggling, sanctions busting economy. If China gave a way out of sanctions, that would also improve. Just like China used to be incredibly corrupt in an earlier stage of development. It's not that the Iranian leadership is unusually incompetent compared to other politicians, it's that there's no way for a middle income country to develop when sabotaged at every step by the West.

So if China refuses to invest because it's afraid of taking risks and the west attacks anyway, then that only leaves becoming pro western as an option. The former crown prince may be an awful human being, but if putting him on the throne will make the people rich, then they'll support that. If China actually made good on the 25 year agreement or gave Iran better market access or help with non US financial services, Iranians wouldn't need to protest. It's not about Islamic ideology, it's all the economy

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Tell me you're seriously not blaming Iran's economic problems on China's hesitancy to invest. Tell me you're also not seriously comparing Iran to China in its early stages of development.

China in its early stages of development was dirtpoorer than Africa and corrupt, but still managed to build an electrical grid, logistics network, and mobilize its population to build the largest industrial manufactering machine in human history. Iran cannot even manage its water resources properly. Any investor dealing with a chronic loss saver would tell them if they want to see a cent from them, again they either get their shit together or accept direct intervention on part of the investor's behalf, and that's that.

And the stuff about the crown prince is nothing but conjecture.

tokenanalyst said:

I think the goal is to force Japanese companies to sign end user contracts to access this products. So if 95% of the revenue of a company depends on access to these resources will be very hard to justify the 5% that depends on military contracts. Like a Sword of Damocles of some sort, even the suspicion that these resources are being transferred to military purposes or worse if they are being used to arm the DPP could cause the MIIT to cut them off completely.

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You are mixing up your sanctions. That was what the RE card was for. This is something fundamentally different.

This is almost full spectrum trade sanctions, and goes far beyond traditional dual use classifications. It’s actually hard to think of a similarly broad and deep sanctions regime that has been imposed on anyone else before. And this isn’t just direct sanctions, it’s go secondary teeth, so it’s not like Japan can just reroute imports from a 3rd country/party. Any intermediaries that tries to break China’s sanctions against Japan risk getting put in the naughty corner alongside Japan.

This is actually what war prep looks like. China has set a 3 year countdown for military action, and it’s actually being far more aggressive with its economic and industrial preparation strikes than even I expected. Since it’s basically kicked off with full deindustrialisation of Japan immediately as the opening move. That means it has even stronger cards up its sleeve to play later during the inevitable escalation rounds to come.

Its actually kinda chilling to see what China on the offensive looks like, because they are not fucking around with foreplay or warmup and went with a death blow as it’s first strike.

If Japan can last 3 years of this sanctions regime and still talking shit about getting nukes, the PLA will be looking to initiate military strikes that will culminate in China holding the next victory parade in Tokyo.

Even if Japan sees the light and wants to walk back its nuclear weapons nonsense, China is not going to let them off the hook easily. At a minimum their whole advanced manufacturing industry is going to take a hell of a beating and probably loose a significant number of firms and the few that survive will see their world market share slashed to a fraction of what it is now as Chinese competitors systematically target them for full scale replacement, on a global scale.

Additionally, China isn’t just going to take Japan’s word that they have given up their nuclear weapons ambitions. Part of any deal will involve nuclear inspection regimes that make Abu Ghraib seem like a dignified pat down in its thoroughness and comprehensiveness.