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siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
I predict there is 100% certainty the US will disintegrate with or without a civil war before 2035, and 90% before 2030. Depending on how Taiwan's scenario will play out.

Civil war doesn't need to be between federal and state levels, or between different states - It could also be within states themselves and people could clash too.

I mean there are all kinds of different groups in the US who hate each other on historical levels, even within the white people themselves (political and ideological differences).







If Biden Jake Sullivan is actually retarded enough to pick four I actually will send a letter to President Xi asking for support from J-20 multi role stealth fighters.
 

Stierlitz

Junior Member
Registered Member
Fall in line or suffer punishment - democracy the Brussels way

The European Union has drawn up plans to cripple Hungary’s economy if it blocks a €50 billion (£42.6 billion) aid package for Ukraine at a Brussels summit this week, according to a new report.

EU officials have proposed targeting Budapest’s economy by attempting to trigger a run on the country’s forint currency and collapse investor confidence to hit “jobs and growth” in a confidential document drawn up ahead of the leaders’ meeting.

Viktor Orbán, prime minister of Hungary, vetoed a plan to shore up Ukraine’s economy over the next four years at a summit in December last year. He has vowed to block it again at the emergency gathering on Thursday.

“In the case of no agreement in the February 1 [summit], other heads of state and government would publicly declare that in the light of the unconstructive behaviour of the Hungarian PM … they cannot imagine that” EU funds should be provided to Budapest, the document, cited by the Financial Times, claims.

“Financial markets and European and international companies might be less interested to invest in Hungary” if funding is blocked, the document states.

The punishment “could quickly trigger a further increase of the cost of funding of the public deficit and a drop in the currency”, it adds.
‘Brussels is using blackmail’

The plan was drawn up by an official in the European Council, which represents the bloc’s 27 member states, ahead of the summit.

It suggests Hungary is particularly vulnerable to economic threats because of its “very high public deficit”, “very high inflation”, weak currency and the EU’s highest level of debt repayments in proportion to GDP.

Balasz Orban, the Hungarian prime minister’s political director, said: “Brussels is using blackmail against Hungary like there’s no tomorrow, despite the fact we have proposed a compromise.

“Now, it’s crystal clear: this is blackmail and has nothing to do with the rule of law. And now they’re not even trying to hide it.”

The European Commission released €10 billion (£8.5 billion) in funds to Budapest which were frozen over fears of democratic deterioration ahead of last December’s summit, in a bid to end Hungary’s veto over the aid for Ukraine.

But Mr Orbán still blocked it and said the plan should not be financed directly out of the EU’s main budget.

He has since suggested that Hungary would be open to using the bloc’s financial coffers and joint debt to finance the scheme if Budapest is allowed to wield a veto at a later date.

Some EU leaders, and the European Parliament, had mulled over a plan to remove Hungary’s voting rights by triggering Article 7.

However, many European capitals deemed this measure to be extreme and suggested it would not get unanimous support from the member states.

Another plan B drawn up by European officials would see the bloc’s 26 other members finance the aid for Kyiv amongst themselves.

Brussels has often used economic threats against member states, including Hungary and Poland in disputes over the rule of law and Greece during the Eurozone crisis.

But it has never gone as far as threatening to crash a member state’s economy for not falling in line with a bloc-wide plan.

@ The Telegraph
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
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I am not a lawyer, but as I understand it, most prosecutors don't try to go for hate crime charges because they are much harder to prove and are quite specific. Although it is clearly racist behaviour, in a legal sense you would have to prove his motivation stemmed directly from race (ie Nazi tattoos all over his body, racist social media posts, etc.), rather than just being "simple" racism. Similarly, if someone hit a woman and called her a "stupid b**ch" in itself is not a hate crime, but if he had a whole manifesto as well, then it would be different.

Again, not a lawyer.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Brussels has often used economic threats against member states, including Hungary and Poland in disputes over the rule of law and Greece during the Eurozone crisis.

But it has never gone as far as threatening to crash a member state’s economy for not falling in line with a bloc-wide plan.
That is a lie actually. They cut off Greece from the Euro currency to get them in line.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
@Bellum_Romanum Bro the full speech countering the Marcos rally last night, most of those audience are from Visayas and Mindanao while Marcos supporters are in Metro Manila (the traffic is horrendous, my wife almost miss her flight to Hokkaido), You mentioned that the Romualdez may hold sway in the Visayas because of Imelda, maybe BUT that is Leyte and specially Tacloban, the rest are not as Duterte is a migrant from Cebu. There is a big fissure going on with Northern Luzon (the place where all the new bases under the new EDCA are located) are going for Marcos and the rest of the Country for Duterte especially in Mindanao. Will there be a Civil War? My hunch is that Western Visayas and Mindanao may secede if Marcos overplay his hand, his vote victory are not his as the Daughter carry the vote for him, like I said only Luzon are Pro American especially Imperial Manila while the rest of the country are not, don't believed any survey conducted as most of those surveyed are in the Metropolis

And what will Imee Marcos do? will she go against family and sided with Duterte? I think she will cause among the Marcos Children she is more politically astute and independent and hold grudges against the American.

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Former president Rodrigo Duterte gives a speech at the Davao City rally against charter change on Sunday, January 28.
New
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The Philippines had the golden opportunity to recalibrate its FOREIGN POLICIES AND THE UNEQUAL LIKE RELATIONSHIP w America due to DUTERTE'S forcible realignment when he was in power for essentially using/luring China as a counter-balance and corrupting/corrosive AMERICAN influence in the Philippines with almost nothing to show for it, except, OFW with your average FILIPINOS wanting to transfer to America in droves. While the elites/oligarchs park their money in the west, along with their interests leaving the Philippines economy as a laggard amongst ASEAN despite what western propagandists (Forbes, Economist) were saying otherwise during Aquino Jr. term in office.

As for the situation with China, Marcos Jr. approach changes depending on where or how strong the wind blows. It's like he really wants his cake and eat them too. One moment, he stupidly and publicly congratulated the recent Taiwanese president which caused great anger from China, then he weaseled himself by stating also very publicly that TAIWAN IS A PROVINCE OF THE P.R.C. which am sure made America and Taiwan very unhappy. The guy is being pulled at every direction and he's ending up passing everyone off, which probably includes his wife and maybe that's why he took her to the recent COLDPLAY concert thereby creating another headache for himself and his government.

The man is a rudeness, unprincipled dunce with no backbone. He's only going to cause more polarization and pitting people that are Pro and Anti Marcos/Duterte loyalists and for what?
 

coolgod

Major
Registered Member
I predict there is 100% certainty the US will disintegrate with or without a civil war before 2035, and 90% before 2030. Depending on how Taiwan's scenario will play out.

Civil war doesn't need to be between federal and state levels, or between different states - It could also be within states themselves and people could clash too.

I mean there are all kinds of different groups in the US who hate each other on historical levels, even within the white people themselves (political and ideological differences).






3 US carrier in the West Pacific.

Why does Biden have to pick? He can press all the buttons.
 
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