So you think, regarding the military balance in Asia-Pacific, China's position won't improve in the 2030s at the rate we see today?
I'd like to hear your opinion because, on this forum, I wrote things like this
This is a textbook example of why Opsec is so useful and powerful for the PLA, especially when it comes to experimental stuff still in the pipeline.
Western politicians and most of their most vocal analysts cannot help but look down on the Chinese. Thus it’s very hard if not impossible to convince them that China is working on super advanced next gen stuff, because even if there is credible intelligence of such, the politicians will simply chose to not believe it.
It’s only when China demonstrates actual operational capabilities that are basically indisputable that the politicians finally take notice, and promptly panic since the actual capabilities are so much more advance than what they expected the incapable-of-innovation-backward-Chinese to be able to achieve.
The 2030 timeframe is when the ‘hard counters’ for currently deployed PLA systems might be available by. There is no real hard counter for assets the PLA might be bringing online themselves by 2030 because China isn’t helpfully mapping out their planned future systems for the US to develop counters for. There might be intelligence on what China might be working on, but it’s not going to be anywhere close to 100% accurate or complete, with also the possibility China might deliberately feed the US false intel to get them to waste time and money developing counters to imaginary systems, so good luck convincing the politicians to allocate funds for those counters.
